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Guardians 15, Nationals 4                                   2026-08-20 · #1426
at Cleveland Coliseum
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Washington              4      0    4    8    0
Cleveland              15      0   15   12    0

NATIONALS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Alvarado    3b ......    4   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   2   0   0  0.250
Pastore     2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Corrales    cf ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.250
Burrows     c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Miguelito   lf ......    3   1   2   2   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.667
Giroud      1b ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   2   1   0  0.250
Devezin     rf ......    4   1   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Bartlett    ss ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Abadía      p  ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Thompki ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Totals                  29   4   8   3   0   0   4   3   9   1   0  0.276
  2B: Alvarado (11), Miguelito 2 (13).
  SB: Devezin (18).
  HBP: Bartlett (1).
  GIDP: Devezin (6).
  a-Walked in the 6th.

GUARDIANS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Carmona     lf ......    3   1   2   0   0   0   3   0   0   1   0  0.667
Céspedes    ss ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   2   0   0  0.333
Velez       1b ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   1  0.500
Bannatyne   3b ......    5   2   2   0   0   1   3   0   2   0   0  0.400
Ardón       2b ......    5   1   1   0   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.200
Tanner      rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Bronaug pr ......    1   2   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
Siereveld   cf ......    4   1   2   0   0   0   2   1   1   0   0  0.500
Cabrera     c  ......    3   3   1   0   0   1   1   2   2   0   0  0.333
Lue         p  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  b-Rollins pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Mayotte pr ......    2   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
  d-Granber ph ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  32  15  12   2   0   2  14   9  13   1   1  0.375
  2B: Bronaugh (6), Granberry (6).
  HR: Bannatyne (2), off Abadía; Cabrera (5), off Abadía.
  SB: Rollins (17).
  CS: Bannatyne (3).
  a-Ran for Tanner in the 6th.
  b-Ran for Lue in the 3rd.
  c-Ran for Rollins in the 3rd.
  d-Doubled in the 6th.

NATIONALS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Abadía (L, 8-19) ....    27   18  67%    8   11    9    5    9    2   99    -
Clemente ............    14    9  33%    4    4    4    4    4    0   54  1-1

GUARDIANS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Lue (W, 3-4) ........    13   14  52%    3    0    0    1    5    0   46    -
Harthan .............    13   11  41%    3    2    2    2    4    0   59    -
Galíndez ............     5    2   7%    1    2    2    0    0    0   12    -

NATIONALS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Abadía (Outs 1-18) → Clemente (Outs 19-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Burrows (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Giroud (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Pastore (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Alvarado (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Bartlett (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Miguelito (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Corrales (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Devezin (Outs 1-27)

GUARDIANS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Lue (Outs 1-14) → Harthan (Outs 15-25) → Galíndez (Outs 26-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Cabrera (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Velez (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Ardón (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Bannatyne (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Céspedes (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Carmona (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Siereveld (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Tanner (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Guardians (home) batted first; Nationals batted second.
  Seconds: WSN o26 (4-15), CLE o26 (15-0).
  First pitch 6:30 PM ET. Weather: 85°F · Wind calm · Overcast · Heavy rain. seed 813317.
  Walk-Back runs: off Abadía 2.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 1.78    Peak faced 36.00
    27 outs left: 1.78
    18 outs left: 2.67
     9 outs left: 4.67
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
B 7 Sekou Cabrera Sekou Cabrera (HR) 0–1 —
B 8 Marcos Siereveld Sekou Cabrera (3B) 0–2 —
B 10 Júnior Ardón Benoit Mayotte (3B) 0–3 —
B 10 Júnior Ardón Sekou Cabrera (2B) 0–4 —
B 10 Eddie Velez Júnior Ardón (3B) 0–5 —
B 17 Doug Bannatyne Marcos Siereveld (3B) 0–6 —
B 17 Doug Bannatyne Clint Bronaugh (2B) 0–7 —
B 17 Doug Bannatyne Doug Bannatyne (HR) 0–8 —
B 17 Boris Carmona Doug Bannatyne (3B) 0–9 —
B 17 Boris Carmona Eddie Velez (2B) 0–10 —
B 17 Boris Carmona Tayavek Céspedes (2B) 0–11 —
B 17 Kemari Granberry Boris Carmona (1B) 0–12 —
B 17 Tayavek Céspedes Kemari Granberry (2B) 0–13 —
B 24 Marcos Siereveld Clint Bronaugh (3B) 0–14 —
B 24 Marcos Siereveld Benoit Mayotte (2B) 0–15 —
T 15 Devron San Miguelito Rill Devezin (2B) 1–15 3.75
T 17 Óscar Giroud Devron San Miguelito (3B) 2–15 4.20
T 25 Júnior Alvarado Frickson Abadía (2B) 3–15 19.50
T 25 Júnior Alvarado Cooper Bartlett (1B) 4–15 18.00
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 1.78
Peak faced 36.00
27 outs left 1.78
18 outs left 2.67
9 outs left 4.67
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Cleveland Coliseum's actual outfield dimensions (LF 315' · CF 410' · RF 349' · 9' wall). Balanced.
Flag Pole in Play
Nationals — Batted Balls
18 BIP· 3 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
315' 410' 349' Devron San Miguelito — double · EV 101 mph · LA +34° · 376 ft Rill Devezin — double_play · EV 68 mph · LA -6° · 64 ft Cooper Bartlett — fly_out · EV 83 mph · LA +29° · 235 ft Frickson Abadía — ground_out · EV 91 mph · LA +3° · 87 ft Cooper Bartlett — single · EV 64 mph · LA +13° · 70 ft Renaldo Corrales — ground_out · EV 56 mph · LA -8° · 54 ft Rill Devezin — single · EV 100 mph · LA -6° · 95 ft Óscar Giroud — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA -4° · 78 ft Marcos Pastore — ground_out · EV 94 mph · LA +2° · 89 ft Devron San Miguelito — double · EV 92 mph · LA +26° · 267 ft Frickson Abadía — fielders_choice · EV 83 mph · LA +6° · 79 ft Óscar Giroud — error · EV 77 mph · LA +13° · 103 ft Renaldo Corrales — line_out · EV 82 mph · LA +10° · 94 ft Cooper Bartlett — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA +1° · 74 ft Frickson Abadía — line_out · EV 100 mph · LA +10° · 139 ft Júnior Alvarado — double · EV 96 mph · LA +43° · 365 ft Renaldo Corrales — fly_out · EV 86 mph · LA +31° · 260 ft Rill Devezin — single · EV 94 mph · LA +20° · 228 ft
Guardians — Batted Balls
18 BIP· 8 1B · 2 XBH · 2 HR
315' 410' 349' Eddie Velez — single · EV 75 mph · LA -29° · 71 ft Tony Tanner — ground_out · EV 98 mph · LA -27° · 93 ft Marcos Siereveld — ground_out · EV 95 mph · LA -5° · 90 ft Sekou Cabrera — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +34° · 480 ft Kemari Granberry — double · EV 104 mph · LA +18° · 257 ft Clint Bronaugh — double · EV 119 mph · LA +23° · 412 ft Júnior Ardón — single · EV 114 mph · LA -8° · 108 ft Doug Bannatyne — single · EV 80 mph · LA +21° · 167 ft Boris Carmona — fly_out · EV 88 mph · LA +27° · 249 ft Marcos Siereveld — single · EV 88 mph · LA -12° · 84 ft Doug Bannatyne — hr · EV 110 mph · LA +40° · 480 ft Boris Carmona — single · EV 88 mph · LA +25° · 236 ft Tayavek Céspedes — single · EV 81 mph · LA +3° · 77 ft Boris Carmona — single · EV 116 mph · LA -5° · 110 ft Júnior Ardón — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +26° · 318 ft Marcos Siereveld — single · EV 100 mph · LA +8° · 116 ft Júnior Ardón — fly_out · EV 96 mph · LA +14° · 170 ft Doug Bannatyne — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +6° · 87 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Nationals
20% deserve-to-win  ·  6.8 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  -2.8 vs expected
contact: 11.3 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 10.0 (-1.3 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Devron San Miguelito 92 / +26° Pull Double 0.7 → 2 +1.27
Frickson Abadía 100 / +10° Center Out 1.3 → 0 -1.25
Cooper Bartlett 64 / +13° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.67
Renaldo Corrales 82 / +10° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.58
Rill Devezin 100 / -6° Pull Single 0.5 → 1 +0.55
Guardians
80% deserve-to-win  ·  13.7 expected runs
actual 15 runs  ·  +1.3 vs expected
contact: 20.0 est bases + 9 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 20.0
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Júnior Ardón 100 / +26° Pull Out 1.3 → 0 -1.33
Júnior Ardón 96 / +14° Center Out 1.1 → 0 -1.10
Eddie Velez 75 / -29° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.76
Boris Carmona 88 / +27° Oppo Out 0.7 → 0 -0.73
Tayavek Céspedes 81 / +3° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.70
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