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Dodgers 5, Diamondbacks 4                                   2026-08-20 · #1427
at Wold Ground
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                        1    R    H    E
Arizona                 4    4    6    0
Los Angeles             5    5    6    0

DIAMONDBACKS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Maupin      c  ......    4   0   2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Tanabe      lf ......    4   0   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  a-Foyth   pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
McNutt      cf ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0  0.000
Alderman    3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Caniza  pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Pierre-Loui 2b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   1   .000
  c-Start   pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Gronowski   rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Ullstro ph ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Bektas      1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Schmelz ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.000
Halstead    ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  f-Sitanil ph ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Efird       p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
  g-Gibson  pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  h-Randall pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  i-Baxter  ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  27   4   6   3   0   0   3   4   5   1   1  0.222
  2B: Maupin (11), Ullstrom (16), Sitanilei (3).
  CS: Foyth (11).
  HBP: Alderman (3).
  a-Ran for Tanabe in the 9th.
  b-Ran for Alderman in the 7th.
  c-Ran for Pierre-Louis in the 4th.
  d-Doubled for Gronowski in the 5th.
  e-Batted for Bektas in the 5th.
  f-Batted for Halstead in the 5th.
  g-Ran for Efird in the 6th.
  h-Ran for Ullstrom in the 5th.
  i-Batted in the 6th.

DODGERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Eggleston   3b ......    2   1   2   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Byrd        p  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Maier       lf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Mokiao-Atim 1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Gerardy     rf ......    1   2   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
Ochoa       ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Swanson     2b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Guarnera    c  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  a-Roby    pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Garcés      cf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  b-Lepchen ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Richard pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  d-Gleason ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Querrey pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Abbott      j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Kromah      j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Monroe      j  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   .000
Totals                  17   5   6   1   0   0   4   4   8   0   0  0.353
  2B: Eggleston (14).
  CS: Eggleston (3).
  a-Ran for Guarnera in the 3rd.
  b-Struck out in the 5th.
  c-Ran for Richards in the 6th.
  d-Struck out in the 6th.
  e-Ran in the 5th.

DIAMONDBACKS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT    P P/BF    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR   IR
Efird (L, 10-8) .....    18   13   78  4.3    4    4    4    4    8    0    -
McDuffie ............     2    1    8  4.0    1    1    1    0    0    0  1-1

DODGERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT    P P/BF    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR   IR
Byrd (W, 7-1) .......    19   16   57  3.0    4    2    2    2    4    0    -
Sanchez .............    13   11   48  3.7    2    2    2    2    1    0  2-1

DIAMONDBACKS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-14)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Efird (Outs 1-13) → McDuffie (Outs 14-14)
CATCHER (C)       | Maupin (Outs 1-14)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Bektas (Outs 1-14)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Pierre-Louis (Outs 1-14)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Alderman (Outs 1-14)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Halstead (Outs 1-14)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Tanabe (Outs 1-14)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | McNutt (Outs 1-14)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Gronowski (Outs 1-14)

DODGERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Byrd (Outs 1-16) → Sanchez (Outs 17-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Guarnera (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Mokiao-Atimalala (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Swanson (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Eggleston (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Ochoa (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Maier (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Garcés (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Gerardy (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Dodgers (home) batted second; Diamondbacks batted first.
  First pitch 6:30 PM PT. Weather: 88°F · Wind in · Clear · Humid. seed 655280.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 0.56    Peak faced 0.68
    27 outs left: 0.56
    18 outs left: 0.67
     9 outs left: 0.33
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
T 13 Wallace Schmelzle Toby Start (3B) 1–0 —
T 16 Gavin Sitanilei Anderson Randall (3B) 2–0 —
T 17 Toby Start Isadore Gibson (3B) 3–0 —
T 20 Genta Tanabe Gavin Sitanilei (3B) 4–0 —
B 7 Wallace Monroe Tanner Gerardy (3B) 4–1 0.60
B 9 Elliott Gleason Eugene Roby (3B) 4–2 0.50
B 13 Lenny Eggleston Daylan Querrey (2B) 4–3 0.43
B 13 Lenny Eggleston Tanner Gerardy (1B) 4–4 0.21
B 14 Todd Byrd Lenny Eggleston (3B) 4–5 0.00
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 0.56
Peak faced 0.68
27 outs left 0.56
18 outs left 0.67
9 outs left 0.33
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Wold Ground's actual outfield dimensions (LF 338' · CF 395' · RF 346' · 13' wall). Balanced.
Knothole Gates
Diamondbacks — Batted Balls
18 BIP· 4 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
338' 395' 346' Huntley Maupin — double · EV 100 mph · LA +30° · 351 ft Genta Tanabe — single · EV 70 mph · LA +22° · 138 ft Phillip Bektas — ground_out · EV 74 mph · LA -25° · 71 ft Gregg Halstead — ground_out · EV 95 mph · LA -17° · 90 ft Irving Ullstrom — double · EV 102 mph · LA +21° · 278 ft Wallace Schmelzle — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA +2° · 74 ft Gavin Sitanilei — ground_out · EV 71 mph · LA +14° · 98 ft Toby Start — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +18° · 201 ft Huntley Maupin — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA -20° · 80 ft Miguel McNutt — fly_out · EV 82 mph · LA +37° · 261 ft Bryce Alderman — ground_out · EV 63 mph · LA -8° · 60 ft Gavin Sitanilei — double · EV 86 mph · LA +18° · 173 ft Miguel McNutt — single · EV 76 mph · LA +14° · 111 ft Huntley Maupin — fielders_choice · EV 85 mph · LA -9° · 81 ft Miguel McNutt — line_out · EV 77 mph · LA +19° · 148 ft Huntley Maupin — single · EV 92 mph · LA -14° · 87 ft Genta Tanabe — single · EV 87 mph · LA +10° · 109 ft Miguel McNutt — ground_out · EV 81 mph · LA +5° · 77 ft
Dodgers — Batted Balls
7 BIP· 4 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
338' 395' 346' Lenny Eggleston — single · EV 79 mph · LA +20° · 159 ft Colton Swanson — fly_out · EV 94 mph · LA +41° · 347 ft Tomm Kromah — line_out · EV 86 mph · LA -12° · 82 ft Tanner Gerardy — single · EV 85 mph · LA -20° · 81 ft Colton Swanson — single · EV 104 mph · LA -2° · 99 ft Lenny Eggleston — double · EV 107 mph · LA +12° · 179 ft Quentin Maier — single · EV 77 mph · LA -8° · 73 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Diamondbacks
84% deserve-to-win  ·  6.3 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  -2.3 vs expected
contact: 9.7 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 9.0 (-0.7 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Gavin Sitanilei 86 / +18° Oppo Double 0.6 → 2 +1.39
Toby Start 92 / +18° Pull Out 0.9 → 0 -0.90
Huntley Maupin 100 / +30° Pull Double 1.3 → 2 +0.66
Huntley Maupin 92 / -14° Pull Single 0.4 → 1 +0.63
Irving Ullstrom 102 / +21° Center Double 1.4 → 2 +0.59
Dodgers
16% deserve-to-win  ·  2.7 expected runs
actual 5 runs  ·  +2.3 vs expected
contact: 4.6 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 6.0 (+1.4 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Colton Swanson 94 / +41° Oppo Out 1.2 → 0 -1.17
Quentin Maier 77 / -8° Pull Single 0.2 → 1 +0.77
Tanner Gerardy 85 / -20° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.67
Lenny Eggleston 107 / +12° Pull Double 1.4 → 2 +0.62
Lenny Eggleston 79 / +20° Oppo Single 0.5 → 1 +0.46
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