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Giants 2, Athletics 1                                       2026-08-21 · #1439
at Abdurakhmanov Yards
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                        1    R    H    E
San Francisco           2    2    3    1
Oakland                 1    1    3    1

GIANTS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Cardozo     3b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Rosado  pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Kelley      ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Short       1b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  b-Matos   ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Galloway    lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Reyes       2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Braxton     cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Jimenez ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Leininger   rf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1  0.500
McNeal      c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  d-Estrada ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Yamauchi    p  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  e-Anger   pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  f-Mantía  ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  g-Arbeloa pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Lacasse     j  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Capdevila   j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.000
Sundling    j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  27   2   3   0   0   0   2   3  15   0   1  0.111
  SB: Arbeloa (6).
  CS: Rosado (15), Anger (9).
  E: Cardozo (12).
  GIDP: Kelley (10).
  a-Ran for Cardozo in the 3rd.
  b-Grounded out for Short in the 4th.
  c-Batted for Braxton in the 5th.
  d-Grounded out for McNeal in the 7th.
  e-Ran in the 5th.
  f-Walked for Rosado in the 6th.
  g-Ran for Mantía in the 6th.

ATHLETICS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Mascherano  1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Crutchfield 2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-DeLong  ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Korda       lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Sinclai ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Molina      rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Noel        ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Saunders    cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Fehr    ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Leat        3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Sawchuk ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Zago        c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Gerlach ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Kitler      p  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  f-Wiesner pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  g-Weeks   pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Taygan      j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Ghannam     j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  28   1   3   0   0   0   1   1  14   0   0  0.107
  SB: Weeks (1).
  CS: Crutchfield (4).
  E: Kitler (1).
  HBP: Fehr (1).
  GIDP: DeLong (3), Sawchuk (5).
  a-Batted for Crutchfield in the 4th.
  b-Batted for Korda in the 4th.
  c-Batted for Saunders in the 6th.
  d-Batted for Leat in the 6th.
  e-Singled for Zago in the 6th.
  f-Ran for Kitler in the 3rd.
  g-Ran in the 4th.

GIANTS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Yamauchi ............     8    8  30%    1    0    0    0    4    0   27    -
Warburg (W, 10-13) ..    15   14  52%    1    0    0    1    6    0   55  1-0
Villasanti ..........     6    5  19%    1    1    1    0    4    0   21  2-1

ATHLETICS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Kitler (L, 7-5) .....    29   27 100%    3    2    2    3   15    0  108    -

GIANTS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Yamauchi (Outs 1-8) → Warburg (Outs 9-22) → Villasanti (Outs 23-27)
CATCHER (C)       | McNeal (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Short (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Reyes (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Cardozo (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Kelley (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Galloway (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Braxton (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Leininger (Outs 1-27)

ATHLETICS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Kitler (Outs 1-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Zago (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Mascherano (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Crutchfield (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Leat (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Noel (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Korda (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Saunders (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Molina (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Athletics (home) batted first; Giants batted second.
  First pitch 6:30 PM PT. Weather: 81°F · Wind calm · Overcast · Light rain. seed 519969.
  Powerplays: Giants — Matos NF (O14)
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 0.22    Peak faced 1.50
    27 outs left: 0.22
    18 outs left: 0.33
     9 outs left: 0.67
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
B 23 Chet Noel Chad Weeks (2B) 0–1 —
T 24 Pramod Estrada Cas Arbeloa (3B) 1–1 1.00
T 26 Hervé Capdevila Leo Lacasse (2B) 2–1 0.00
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 0.22
Peak faced 1.50
27 outs left 0.22
18 outs left 0.33
9 outs left 0.67
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Abdurakhmanov Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 350' · CF 450' · RF 346' · 13' wall). Cavernous.
Death Valley
Giants — Batted Balls
10 BIP· 3 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
350' 450' 346' Brad Galloway — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +10° · 81 ft Maximo Cardozo — single · EV 76 mph · LA -8° · 72 ft Cas Arbeloa — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA -14° · 72 ft Leo Lacasse — single · EV 76 mph · LA +11° · 85 ft Pramod Estrada — error · EV 57 mph · LA +10° · 60 ft Hervé Capdevila — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -2° · 72 ft Gaku Yamauchi — fly_out · EV 81 mph · LA +28° · 216 ft Raziel Jimenez — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -14° · 49 ft Reuben Leininger — single · EV 76 mph · LA +15° · 114 ft Alafia Kelley — double_play · EV 92 mph · LA +6° · 87 ft
Athletics — Batted Balls
13 BIP· 3 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
350' 450' 346' Emmett Crutchfield — error · EV 54 mph · LA +1° · 51 ft Randy Korda — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +14° · 112 ft Wilfredo Molina — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +16° · 178 ft Reggie Kitler — single · EV 76 mph · LA +16° · 123 ft Tobias DeLong — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -2° · 72 ft Ahmad Sawchuk — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -2° · 72 ft Frank Gerlach — single · EV 76 mph · LA +17° · 131 ft Zane Wiesner — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +41° · 229 ft Hal Fehr — single · EV 76 mph · LA +14° · 108 ft Mauro Mascherano — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +16° · 178 ft Wilfredo Molina — line_out · EV 57 mph · LA +13° · 60 ft Rick Taygan — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +50° · 228 ft Chet Noel — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +5° · 72 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Giants
11% deserve-to-win  ·  0.7 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  +1.3 vs expected
contact: 3.4 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 3.0 (-0.4 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 2 CS (-0.9 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Maximo Cardozo 76 / -8° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.77
Reuben Leininger 76 / +15° Center Single 0.5 → 1 +0.53
Leo Lacasse 76 / +11° Pull Single 0.5 → 1 +0.53
Brad Galloway 76 / +10° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.47
Alafia Kelley 92 / +6° Center Double Play 0.4 → 0 -0.41
Athletics
89% deserve-to-win  ·  1.9 expected runs
actual 1 run  ·  -0.9 vs expected
contact: 5.0 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 3.0 (-2.0 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Wilfredo Molina 92 / +16° Oppo Out 0.8 → 0 -0.81
Mauro Mascherano 92 / +16° Oppo Out 0.8 → 0 -0.81
Hal Fehr 76 / +14° Oppo Single 0.5 → 1 +0.53
Randy Korda 76 / +14° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.47
Reggie Kitler 76 / +16° Pull Single 0.5 → 1 +0.46
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