==============================================================================
Rockies 26, Athletics 3                                     2026-08-22 · #1455
at Abdurakhmanov Yards
==============================================================================

                        1      2    R    H    E
Colorado               26      0   26   24    0
Oakland                 3      0    3    6    0

ROCKIES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Otamendi    cf ......    5   2   2   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.400
Goss        lf ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Alderman    rf ......    4   5   3   0   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.750
Kaiuway     2b ......    2   2   0   0   0   0   1   2   1   0   0  0.000
Ibarra      3b ......    6   2   2   1   0   1   5   0   4   0   0  0.333
Mondragón   c  ......    6   2   3   1   0   0   2   0   3   0   0  0.500
Dávila      p  ......    5   1   3   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   1  0.600
Poling      1b ......    6   3   5   1   0   0   6   0   0   0   0  0.833
Martinho    ss ......    6   5   4   2   0   2   5   0   0   0   0  0.667
  a-Conover ph ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Dowell      j  ......    1   2   1   0   0   1   3   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  45  26  24   6   0   4  26   4  12   0   1  0.533
  2B: Goss (42), Ibarra (4), Mondragón (12), Poling (17), Martinho 2 (58).
  HR: Ibarra (3), off Dreyer; Martinho 2 (30), off Delfino, MacPhie; Dowell (2), off Nwosu.
  HBP: Kaiuway (2).
  a-Batted in the 4th.

ATHLETICS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Beach       p  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Korda       lf ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Mascherano  1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Crutchfield 2b ......    4   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Molina      rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   3   0   0  0.000
Noel        ss ......    4   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.250
Saunders    cf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Wiesner pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   .000
Colón       3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Zago        c  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
  b-Rodrigu ph ......    2   0   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  29   3   6   1   0   0   1   3   9   0   0  0.207
  2B: Noel (2).
  SB: Crutchfield 2 (3), Rodrigues (1).
  CS: Noel (8), Wiesner (1).
  GIDP: Noel (5), Colón (1).
  a-Ran for Saunders in the 4th.
  b-Batted in the 5th.

ROCKIES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Dávila (W, 23-3) ....    18   15  56%    3    3    3    1    9    0   67    -
Ribas (F, 35) .......    13   12  44%    3    0    0    2    0    0   51    -

ATHLETICS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Beach ...............     8    6  22%    3    2    2    0    4    0   31    -
Nwosu ...............     4    2   7%    2    3    3    0    0    1   13  1-1
Delfino .............     8    4  15%    5    5    3    1    1    1   22  1-1
Dreyer ..............     5    1   4%    3    5    4    0    0    1   18  1-1
MacPhie (L, 4-6) ....     8    4  15%    6    5    5    0    1    1   26  1-1
Woodard .............    11    7  26%    1    5    5    3    5    0   47  1-0
Fehr ................     5    3  11%    3    1    1    0    1    0   22  1-0

ROCKIES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Dávila (Outs 1-15) → Ribas (Outs 16-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Mondragón (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Poling (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Kaiuway (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Ibarra (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Martinho (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Goss (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Otamendi (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Alderman (Outs 1-27)

ATHLETICS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Beach (Outs 1-6) → Nwosu (Outs 7-8) → Delfino (Outs 9-12) → Dreyer (Outs 13-13) → MacPhie (Outs 14-17) → Woodard (Outs 18-24) → Fehr (Outs 25-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Zago (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Mascherano (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Crutchfield (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Colón (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Noel (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Korda (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Saunders (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Molina (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Athletics (home) batted second; Rockies batted first.
  Seconds: COL o26 (26-0), OAK o25 (3-26).
  First pitch 4:05 PM PT. Weather: 80°F · Wind calm · Clear · Humid. seed 43714.
  Walk-Back runs: off Delfino 2, off Dreyer 1.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 3.00    Peak faced 36.00
    27 outs left: 3.00
    18 outs left: 4.33
     9 outs left: 8.00
==============================================================================
Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
T 1 Allen Alderman Ahkhari Goss (2B) 1–0 —
T 5 Reed Poling Allen Alderman (2B) 2–0 —
T 7 Thai-Son Dowell Reed Poling (2B) 3–0 —
T 7 Thai-Son Dowell Wesly Otamendi (1B) 4–0 —
T 7 Thai-Son Dowell Thai-Son Dowell (HR) 5–0 —
T 7 Allen Alderman Thai-Son Dowell (3B) 6–0 —
T 9 Aníbal Mondragón Allen Alderman (2B) 7–0 —
T 11 Markeylin Martinho Reed Poling (1B) 8–0 —
T 11 Markeylin Martinho Markeylin Martinho (HR) 9–0 —
T 11 Wesly Otamendi Markeylin Martinho (3B) 10–0 —
T 12 Dixon Ibarra Wesly Otamendi (3B) 11–0 —
T 12 Dixon Ibarra Allen Alderman (2B) 12–0 —
T 12 Dixon Ibarra Justin Kaiuway (1B) 13–0 —
T 12 Dixon Ibarra Dixon Ibarra (HR) 14–0 —
T 12 Aníbal Mondragón Dixon Ibarra (3B) 15–0 —
T 12 Reed Poling Aníbal Mondragón (2B) 16–0 —
T 13 Markeylin Martinho Reed Poling (1B) 17–0 —
T 13 Markeylin Martinho Markeylin Martinho (HR) 18–0 —
T 13 Markeylin Martinho Markeylin Martinho (3B) 19–0 —
T 16 Dixon Ibarra Aníbal Mondragón (2B) 20–0 —
T 21 Justin Kaiuway Allen Alderman (3B) 21–0 —
T 23 Leonel Dávila Garrett Conover (3B) 22–0 —
T 23 Reed Poling Allen Alderman (3B) 23–0 —
T 23 Reed Poling Justin Kaiuway (2B) 24–0 —
T 23 Reed Poling Leonel Dávila (1B) 25–0 —
T 25 Reed Poling Markeylin Martinho (2B) 26–0 —
B 3 Chet Noel Emmett Crutchfield (3B) 26–1 3.25
B 9 Wilfredo Molina Zane Wiesner (3B) 26–2 4.17
B 11 Zane Wiesner Alex Zago (3B) 26–3 4.50
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 3.00
Peak faced 36.00
27 outs left 3.00
18 outs left 4.33
9 outs left 8.00
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Abdurakhmanov Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 350' · CF 450' · RF 346' · 13' wall). Cavernous.
Death Valley
Rockies — Batted Balls
27 BIP· 13 1B · 6 XBH · 4 HR
350' 450' 346' Ahkhari Goss — double · EV 100 mph · LA +37° · 384 ft Allen Alderman — single · EV 85 mph · LA +1° · 81 ft Reed Poling — single · EV 100 mph · LA +7° · 95 ft Thai-Son Dowell — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +34° · 480 ft Leonel Dávila — ground_out · EV 115 mph · LA +8° · 148 ft Wesly Otamendi — single · EV 99 mph · LA +20° · 247 ft Allen Alderman — single · EV 96 mph · LA -25° · 91 ft Aníbal Mondragón — single · EV 88 mph · LA -11° · 84 ft Reed Poling — single · EV 88 mph · LA -6° · 83 ft Markeylin Martinho — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +39° · 480 ft Leonel Dávila — single · EV 100 mph · LA +4° · 95 ft Wesly Otamendi — single · EV 119 mph · LA +8° · 113 ft Allen Alderman — single · EV 78 mph · LA -12° · 74 ft Dixon Ibarra — hr · EV 115 mph · LA +34° · 480 ft Aníbal Mondragón — single · EV 85 mph · LA +11° · 105 ft Reed Poling — single · EV 100 mph · LA -7° · 95 ft Markeylin Martinho — hr · EV 118 mph · LA +31° · 480 ft Markeylin Martinho — double · EV 112 mph · LA +13° · 218 ft Reed Poling — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +54° · 382 ft Aníbal Mondragón — double · EV 100 mph · LA +26° · 318 ft Dixon Ibarra — double · EV 96 mph · LA +10° · 128 ft Allen Alderman — fielders_choice · EV 100 mph · LA -13° · 95 ft Wesly Otamendi — line_out · EV 119 mph · LA +14° · 271 ft Reed Poling — double · EV 100 mph · LA +48° · 398 ft Leonel Dávila — single · EV 85 mph · LA +22° · 199 ft Markeylin Martinho — double · EV 100 mph · LA +33° · 366 ft Reed Poling — single · EV 100 mph · LA +14° · 194 ft
Athletics — Batted Balls
19 BIP· 5 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
350' 450' 346' Emmett Crutchfield — fielders_choice · EV 58 mph · LA -18° · 55 ft Chet Noel — double · EV 92 mph · LA +45° · 339 ft Keaton Saunders — single · EV 76 mph · LA +23° · 168 ft Alex Zago — single · EV 76 mph · LA +15° · 114 ft Mauricio Rodrigues — single · EV 76 mph · LA +15° · 116 ft Mauro Mascherano — ground_out · EV 70 mph · LA -14° · 67 ft Randy Korda — line_out · EV 58 mph · LA +25° · 103 ft Chet Noel — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +15° · 169 ft Alex Zago — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +39° · 225 ft Raphael Beach — single · EV 92 mph · LA +13° · 148 ft Mauricio Rodrigues — single · EV 76 mph · LA -9° · 72 ft Emmett Crutchfield — line_out · EV 78 mph · LA +14° · 110 ft Randy Korda — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +8° · 72 ft Chet Noel — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA -22° · 50 ft Javier Colón — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA -10° · 49 ft Alex Zago — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +1° · 72 ft Raphael Beach — ground_out · EV 60 mph · LA -2° · 57 ft Emmett Crutchfield — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +21° · 156 ft Randy Korda — fielders_choice · EV 102 mph · LA +9° · 128 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Rockies
93% deserve-to-win  ·  17.2 expected runs
actual 26 runs  ·  +8.8 vs expected
contact: 36.1 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 41.0 (+4.9 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Leonel Dávila 115 / +8° Oppo Out 1.5 → 0 -1.52
Wesly Otamendi 119 / +14° Center Out 1.5 → 0 -1.52
Markeylin Martinho 118 / +31° Center Home Run 2.9 → 4 +1.07
Dixon Ibarra 96 / +10° Pull Double 1.1 → 2 +0.90
Reed Poling 100 / +54° Pull Out 0.9 → 0 -0.89
Athletics
7% deserve-to-win  ·  4.6 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  -1.6 vs expected
contact: 8.2 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 7.0 (-1.2 on contact)
running: 3 SB · 2 CS (-0.1 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Randy Korda 102 / +9° Pull Out 1.3 → 0 -1.25
Chet Noel 92 / +45° Center Double 1.2 → 2 +0.82
Chet Noel 92 / +15° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.81
Mauricio Rodrigues 76 / -9° Pull Single 0.2 → 1 +0.77
Emmett Crutchfield 76 / +21° Pull Out 0.5 → 0 -0.54
Compare basket · 0 max 4
Compare →