==============================================================================
Royals 4, Cubs 3                                            2026-08-22 · #1454
at Sokk Bowl
==============================================================================

                        1    R    H    E
Chicago                 3    3    4    0
Kansas City             4    4    3    1

CUBS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Cody        cf ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Solis   pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Segovia     rf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
  b-Palermo pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Shurtleff   2b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  c-Hollowe pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Heinze      c  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Casey       ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Seol        lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Sarkissian  1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Saprissa    3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  d-O'Flahe pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Wimer       p  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  e-Lamas   pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  f-McCullo ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   .000
  g-Kurth   pr ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  h-Santana ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Conn        j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Schellenger j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Verhoeven   j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  27   3   4   1   0   0   3   4  16   0   0  0.148
  2B: Cody (4).
  SB: O'Flaherty (10).
  CS: Kurth (6), Palermo (9), O'Flaherty (3).
  a-Ran for Cody in the 3rd.
  b-Ran for Segovia in the 6th.
  c-Ran for Shurtleff in the 3rd.
  d-Ran for Saprissa in the 9th.
  e-Ran for Wimer in the 3rd.
  f-Walked for Hollowell in the 3rd.
  g-Ran for McCullough in the 3rd.
  h-Grounded out for Palermo in the 9th.

ROYALS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Monson      2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Vera    ph ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.500
Rosales     3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Devens  pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Sabella     ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Talaver pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Graham      lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Alinen      cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Tanguilig   rf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Linnehan    c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.000
Espinoza    1b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  d-Altamir pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Li          p  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Selden  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Press       j  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   .000
Totals                  18   4   3   1   0   0   4   3   7   0   0  0.167
  2B: Vera (9).
  E: Sabella (14).
  HBP: Altamirano (2), Linnehan (3).
  a-Batted for Monson in the 4th.
  b-Ran for Rosales in the 7th.
  c-Ran for Sabella in the 4th.
  d-Ran for Espinoza in the 8th.
  e-Grounded out in the 7th.

CUBS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Wimer (L, 3-20) .....    15   10  37%    2    2    2    2    6    0   51    -
Reemsnyder ..........     8    6  22%    1    2    2    1    1    0   23  3-1

ROYALS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Li ..................     3    1   4%    1    0    0    1    1    0    4    -
Branstine ...........    17   14  52%    2    3    3    2   10    0   64  2-0
Kopinski (W, 1-4) ...    12   12  44%    1    0    0    1    6    0   41  1-0

CUBS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-16)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Wimer (Outs 1-10) → Reemsnyder (Outs 11-16)
CATCHER (C)       | Heinze (Outs 1-16)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Sarkissian (Outs 1-16)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Shurtleff (Outs 1-16)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Saprissa (Outs 1-16)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Casey (Outs 1-16)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Seol (Outs 1-16)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Cody (Outs 1-16)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Segovia (Outs 1-16)

ROYALS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Li (Outs 1-1) → Branstine (Outs 2-15) → Kopinski (Outs 16-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Linnehan (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Espinoza (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Monson (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Rosales (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Sabella (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Graham (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Alinen (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Tanguilig (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Royals (home) batted second; Cubs batted first.
  First pitch 6:30 PM CT. Weather: 84°F · Wind in · Clear. seed 836177.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 0.44    Peak faced 0.67
    27 outs left: 0.44
    18 outs left: 0.33
     9 outs left: 0.33
==============================================================================
Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
T 8 Josh McCullough Eddie Solis (3B) 1–0 —
T 8 Tomas Heinze Maurice Hollowell (3B) 2–0 —
T 15 Teófilo Segovia Víctor Lamas (3B) 3–0 —
B 9 Eugenio Vera Beau Devens (3B) 3–1 0.50
B 9 Eugenio Vera Ramon Altamirano (1B) 3–2 0.33
B 10 Chico Press Eugenio Vera (3B) 3–3 0.18
B 16 Rich Linnehan Chico Press (3B) 3–4 0.00
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 0.44
Peak faced 0.67
27 outs left 0.44
18 outs left 0.33
9 outs left 0.33
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Sokk Bowl's actual outfield dimensions (LF 278' · CF 521' · RF 288' · 32' wall). Bathtub.
Wire Basket
Cubs — Batted Balls
10 BIP· 3 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
278' 521' 288' Wall 32' Dudley Cody — double · EV 92 mph · LA +15° · 167 ft Ryan Schellenger — ground_out · EV 79 mph · LA -16° · 75 ft Brian Verhoeven — ground_out · EV 74 mph · LA +1° · 71 ft Davion Kurth — single · EV 73 mph · LA +4° · 69 ft Jaume Santana — ground_out · EV 94 mph · LA +5° · 90 ft Teófilo Segovia — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +9° · 103 ft Tomas Heinze — infield_single · EV 70 mph · LA -14° · 67 ft Eddie Solis — ground_out · EV 86 mph · LA -11° · 81 ft Teófilo Segovia — single · EV 84 mph · LA -10° · 80 ft Ivan Saprissa — error · EV 81 mph · LA +19° · 161 ft
Royals — Batted Balls
10 BIP· 2 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
278' 521' 288' Wall 32' George Graham — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +30° · 200 ft Luis Rosales — fielders_choice · EV 52 mph · LA +2° · 49 ft Kael Monson — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -9° · 72 ft Mario Espinoza — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -8° · 49 ft Eugenio Vera — double · EV 76 mph · LA +48° · 230 ft Ricky Li — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +7° · 87 ft Mario Espinoza — single · EV 64 mph · LA +12° · 69 ft Landon Tanguilig — single · EV 76 mph · LA -8° · 72 ft George Graham — ground_out · EV 86 mph · LA -4° · 82 ft Ricky Li — line_out · EV 52 mph · LA +11° · 60 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Cubs
14% deserve-to-win  ·  0.9 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  +2.1 vs expected
contact: 4.3 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (+0.7 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 3 CS (-1.6 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Dudley Cody 92 / +15° Center Double 0.8 → 2 +1.19
Teófilo Segovia 92 / +9° Oppo Out 0.8 → 0 -0.81
Tomas Heinze 70 / -14° Pull Single 0.2 → 1 +0.76
Davion Kurth 73 / +4° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.75
Teófilo Segovia 84 / -10° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.66
Royals
86% deserve-to-win  ·  2.2 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  +1.8 vs expected
contact: 2.4 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 4.0 (+1.6 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Eugenio Vera 76 / +48° Pull Double 0.1 → 2 +1.85
Landon Tanguilig 76 / -8° Pull Single 0.2 → 1 +0.77
Mario Espinoza 64 / +12° Oppo Single 0.3 → 1 +0.67
Ricky Li 92 / +7° Pull Out 0.4 → 0 -0.41
Ricky Li 52 / +11° Center Out 0.3 → 0 -0.33
Compare basket · 0 max 4
Compare →