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Giants 3, Red Sox 1                                         2026-08-24 · #1478
at Kolenda Field
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                        1    R    H    E
Boston                  1    1    3    0
San Francisco           3    3    3    0

RED SOX
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Cameron     rf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Merrill     lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Suazo       2b ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Nytes       1b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   .000
Pfister     3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Saravia     c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Hodges      ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Pezzell ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Cordano     cf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Kamara  pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Castillo    p  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  c-Miranda ph ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
  d-Falby   ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Tatum   pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  f-Echever pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Malard      j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  24   1   3   1   0   0   1   4  14   0   0  0.125
  2B: Miranda (7).
  SB: Kamara 2 (3).
  GIDP: Falby (4), Pezzella (2).
  a-Batted for Hodges in the 5th.
  b-Ran for Cordano in the 8th.
  c-Batted in the 4th.
  d-Batted in the 6th.
  e-Ran for Miranda in the 7th.
  f-Ran in the 7th.

GIANTS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Kelley      2b ......    4   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.250
Reyes       1b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.333
Braxton     lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Gallowa ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Hoffken     3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Leininger   rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Marte       cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Connelly    c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Jimenez ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Short       ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Matos   ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Mateas      p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Cardozo ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Anger   pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Capdevila   j  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Lacasse     j  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Sundling    j  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Totals                  29   3   3   1   0   0   3   3   9   0   0  0.103
  2B: Kelley (9).
  GIDP: Kelley (11), Galloway (6).
  a-Grounded out for Braxton in the 7th.
  b-Grounded out for Connelly in the 9th.
  c-Batted for Short in the 4th.
  d-Struck out in the 9th.
  e-Ran in the 9th.

RED SOX PITCHING
                         BF  OUT    P P/BF    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR   IR
Castillo ............    24   24   98  4.1    1    0    0    1    7    0    -
Cortez ..............     6    2   21  3.5    2    2    2    1    2    0    -
Gullikson (L, 0-4) ..     2    1    3  1.5    0    1    1    1    0    0  2-1

GIANTS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT    P P/BF    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR   IR
Mateas (W, 16-10) ...    28   27  116  4.1    3    1    1    4   14    0    -

RED SOX DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Castillo (Outs 1-24) → Cortez (Outs 25-26) → Gullikson (Outs 27-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Saravia (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Nytes (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Suazo (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Pfister (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Hodges (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Merrill (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Cordano (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Cameron (Outs 1-27)

GIANTS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Mateas (Outs 1-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Connelly (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Reyes (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Kelley (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Hoffken (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Short (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Braxton (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Marte (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Leininger (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Giants (home) batted first; Red Sox batted second.
  First pitch 6:00 PM PT. Weather: 71°F · Wind calm · Overcast. seed 532549.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 0.44    Peak faced 1.80
    27 outs left: 0.44
    18 outs left: 0.50
     9 outs left: 1.00
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
B 26 Alafia Kelley Eddie Anger (3B) 0–1 —
B 26 Alafia Kelley Hervé Capdevila (2B) 0–2 —
B 26 Jhonny Reyes Leo Lacasse (3B) 0–3 —
T 2 Tony Cameron Manuel Suazo (2B) 1–3 0.36
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 0.44
Peak faced 1.80
27 outs left 0.44
18 outs left 0.50
9 outs left 1.00
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Kolenda Field's actual outfield dimensions (LF 322' · CF 445' · RF 350' · 13' wall). Balanced.
Wire Basket
Red Sox — Batted Balls
7 BIP· 2 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
322' 445' 350' Tony Cameron — single · EV 68 mph · LA +21° · 125 ft Vinicius Cordano — single · EV 84 mph · LA +3° · 80 ft Jide Falby — double_play · EV 69 mph · LA -6° · 65 ft Teófilo Pezzella — double_play · EV 61 mph · LA +3° · 58 ft Manuel Suazo — fly_out · EV 86 mph · LA +44° · 297 ft Daylan Miranda — double · EV 97 mph · LA +12° · 153 ft Andrés Castillo — ground_out · EV 79 mph · LA -11° · 75 ft
Giants — Batted Balls
16 BIP· 2 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
322' 445' 350' Alafia Kelley — fly_out · EV 75 mph · LA +38° · 217 ft Jhonny Reyes — ground_out · EV 65 mph · LA -10° · 62 ft José Marte — ground_out · EV 85 mph · LA +4° · 80 ft Jerome Short — line_out · EV 83 mph · LA +24° · 204 ft Tally Mateas — fielders_choice · EV 75 mph · LA -15° · 71 ft Brad Galloway — double_play · EV 88 mph · LA -11° · 84 ft Raziel Jimenez — error · EV 79 mph · LA -0° · 75 ft Hervé Capdevila — single · EV 97 mph · LA +22° · 260 ft Orien Hoffken — ground_out · EV 67 mph · LA -6° · 63 ft Alafia Kelley — double_play · EV 87 mph · LA +18° · 180 ft Jhonny Reyes — single · EV 97 mph · LA -24° · 92 ft Orien Hoffken — line_out · EV 84 mph · LA +11° · 107 ft Reuben Leininger — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -7° · 83 ft José Marte — line_out · EV 71 mph · LA +19° · 122 ft Jhonny Reyes — ground_out · EV 90 mph · LA -6° · 85 ft Alafia Kelley — double · EV 90 mph · LA +18° · 190 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Red Sox
29% deserve-to-win  ·  2.5 expected runs
actual 1 run  ·  -1.5 vs expected
contact: 2.9 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 4.0 (+1.1 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 0 CS (+0.8 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Daylan Miranda 97 / +12° Pull Double 1.1 → 2 +0.91
Vinicius Cordano 84 / +3° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.69
Manuel Suazo 86 / +44° Center Out 0.7 → 0 -0.67
Tony Cameron 68 / +21° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.59
Andrés Castillo 79 / -11° Center Out 0.2 → 0 -0.24
Giants
71% deserve-to-win  ·  3.8 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  -0.8 vs expected
contact: 7.1 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 4.0 (-3.1 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Alafia Kelley 90 / +18° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.10
Jerome Short 83 / +24° Pull Out 0.6 → 0 -0.61
Alafia Kelley 87 / +18° Center Double Play 0.6 → 0 -0.61
Orien Hoffken 84 / +11° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.58
Jhonny Reyes 97 / -24° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.56
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