==============================================================================
Reds 3, Tigers 1                                            2026-08-25 · #1485
at Kuvvatov Bowl
==============================================================================

                        1    R    H    E
Cincinnati              3    3    4    0
Detroit                 1    1    3    0

REDS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Subhash     ss ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Villalobos  lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Foxworth    p  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Goodwin     2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Levy        rf ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Ribera      1b ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Morejón     cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                   7   3   4   1   0   0   3   0   1   0   0  0.571
  2B: Subhash (12).


TIGERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Amigo       cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Delatte     ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Peavy       lf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Grimaldo    2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Whorisk ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Cotzumalgua 3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Kuchiki     rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  b-Lutmer  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Zheng       c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Acebo   pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Marion      1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Monroe  ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Kobak       p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  e-McMicha pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  f-Ndiaye  pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Massey      j  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Soldan      j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  26   1   3   0   0   0   1   4   8   0   0  0.115
  SB: Acebo (18).
  GIDP: Amigo (3).
  a-Walked for Grimaldo in the 5th.
  b-Grounded out for Kuchiki in the 7th.
  c-Ran for Zheng in the 4th.
  d-Walked for Marion in the 7th.
  e-Ran for Whoriskey in the 5th.
  f-Ran in the 7th.

REDS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Foxworth (W, 14-15) .    29   27 100%    3    1    1    4    8    0  104    -

TIGERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Kobak (L, 6-6) ......     7    3  11%    4    3    3    0    1    0   22    -

REDS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Foxworth (Outs 1-27)
CATCHER (C)       | —
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Ribera (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Goodwin (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | —
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Subhash (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Villalobos (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Morejón (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Levy (Outs 1-27)

TIGERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-3)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Kobak (Outs 1-3)
CATCHER (C)       | Zheng (Outs 1-3)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Marion (Outs 1-3)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Grimaldo (Outs 1-3)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Cotzumalguapa (Outs 1-3)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Delatte (Outs 1-3)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Peavy (Outs 1-3)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Amigo (Outs 1-3)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Kuchiki (Outs 1-3)

  Batting order: Tigers (home) batted first; Reds batted second.
  First pitch 6:30 PM CT. Weather: 96°F · Wind calm · Clear. seed 343085.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 0.22    Peak faced 0.22
    27 outs left: 0.11
    18 outs left: 0.00
     9 outs left: 0.00
==============================================================================
Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
B 19 Raymond Acebo Gardnar Ndiaye (2B) 0–1 —
T 0 Felix Ribera Travis Foxworth (2B) 1–1 0.11
T 3 Zachary Subhash Jackson Levy (3B) 2–1 0.00
T 3 Zachary Subhash Felix Ribera (2B) 3–1 0.00
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 0.22
Peak faced 0.22
27 outs left 0.11
18 outs left 0.00
9 outs left 0.00
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Kuvvatov Bowl's actual outfield dimensions (LF 307' · CF 431' · RF 353' · 43' wall). Short Porch (Left).
Hand-Operated Scoreboard
Reds — Batted Balls
5 BIP· 3 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
307' 431' 353' Wall 43' Travis Foxworth — single · EV 80 mph · LA -6° · 76 ft Jackson Levy — single · EV 78 mph · LA +0° · 74 ft Felix Ribera — single · EV 91 mph · LA +21° · 223 ft Dariel Morejón — ground_out · EV 90 mph · LA +9° · 102 ft Zachary Subhash — double · EV 88 mph · LA +12° · 132 ft
Tigers — Batted Balls
16 BIP· 3 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
307' 431' 353' Wall 43' Ed Peavy — ground_out · EV 86 mph · LA -10° · 82 ft Jon Grimaldo — fly_out · EV 88 mph · LA +28° · 259 ft Yimmi Cotzumalguapa — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -7° · 72 ft Zixuan Zheng — fly_out · EV 90 mph · LA +38° · 315 ft Karl Marion — ground_out · EV 68 mph · LA -9° · 65 ft Kenyatta Soldan — single · EV 108 mph · LA +8° · 102 ft Raymond Acebo — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -18° · 49 ft Liam Lutmer — line_out · EV 91 mph · LA +14° · 158 ft Timothy Kobak — ground_out · EV 70 mph · LA +7° · 66 ft Karl Marion — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +37° · 223 ft Zixuan Zheng — error · EV 59 mph · LA -17° · 56 ft Eloy Amigo — ground_out · EV 79 mph · LA -16° · 75 ft Noah Massey — infield_single · EV 70 mph · LA -4° · 66 ft Yimmi Cotzumalguapa — ground_out · EV 66 mph · LA -9° · 62 ft Ed Peavy — single · EV 86 mph · LA +7° · 82 ft Eloy Amigo — double_play · EV 60 mph · LA -7° · 57 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Reds
15% deserve-to-win  ·  1.4 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  +1.6 vs expected
contact: 3.0 est bases + 0 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (+2.0 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Zachary Subhash 88 / +12° Oppo Double 0.8 → 2 +1.19
Dariel Morejón 90 / +9° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.81
Travis Foxworth 80 / -6° Pull Single 0.2 → 1 +0.77
Jackson Levy 78 / +0° Oppo Single 0.3 → 1 +0.75
Felix Ribera 91 / +21° Pull Single 0.9 → 1 +0.11
Tigers
85% deserve-to-win  ·  3.3 expected runs
actual 1 run  ·  -2.3 vs expected
contact: 5.0 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 3.0 (-2.0 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Zixuan Zheng 90 / +38° Oppo Out 0.9 → 0 -0.94
Noah Massey 70 / -4° Oppo Single 0.1 → 1 +0.89
Liam Lutmer 91 / +14° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.81
Jon Grimaldo 88 / +28° Pull Out 0.7 → 0 -0.73
Ed Peavy 86 / +7° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.70
Compare basket · 0 max 4
Compare →