Box Score — MON @ VCO — Super Innings

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Expos 3, Orcas 2                                            2026-08-25 · #1484
at Abdurakhmanov Park
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                        1    R    H    E
Montreal                3    3    2    0
Vancouver               2    2    2    0

EXPOS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Gareca      3b ......    1   1   1   0   0   1   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Solórzano   lf ......    1   2   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                   2   3   2   0   0   2   3   0   0   0   0  1.000
  HR: Gareca (5), off Kiesewetter; Solórzano (18), off Kiesewetter.


ORCAS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Delía       c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Vallado pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Mendez      2b ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Granber ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Peavy       cf ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.250
Noonan      1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Whitley     rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Godín   ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Krickstein  ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Badger  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Edmonson    3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Quintero    lf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Kiesewetter p  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  e-Irvin   ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Cuéllar     j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  28   2   2   0   0   0   1   3  11   0   0  0.071
  SB: Mendez (4), Peavy (12).
  GIDP: Peavy (6), Edmonson (4).
  a-Ran for Delía in the 6th.
  b-Grounded out for Mendez in the 6th.
  c-Batted for Whitley in the 4th.
  d-Batted for Krickstein in the 4th.
  e-Struck out in the 9th.

EXPOS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Bourne (W, 9-4) .....    20   20  74%    0    2    2    1    5    0   81    -
Drotar ..............     9    7  26%    0    0    0    2    6    0   34    -

ORCAS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Kiesewetter (L, 5-11)      2    0   0%    2    3    2    0    0    2    3    -

EXPOS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Bourne (Outs 1-20) → Drotar (Outs 21-27)
CATCHER (C)       | —
FIRST BASE (1B)   | —
SECOND BASE (2B)  | —
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Gareca (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | —
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Solórzano (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | —
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | —



  Batting order: Orcas (home) batted first; Expos batted second.
  First pitch 6:30 PM PT. Weather: 56°F · Wind calm · Clear · Dry. seed 643072.
  Walk-Back runs: off Kiesewetter 1.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 0.33    Peak faced 0.33
    27 outs left: 0.00
    18 outs left: 0.00
     9 outs left: 0.00
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Scoring Events

Half	Outs	Batter	Runner (from)	Score	RRR/3O
B	5	Jonás Quintero	Norris Mendez (3B)	0–1	—
B	6	Taylor Kiesewetter	Andrea Peavy (3B)	0–2	—
T	0	Rónald Solórzano	Rónald Solórzano (HR)	1–2	0.22
T	0	Román Gareca	Rónald Solórzano (3B)	2–2	0.11
T	0	Román Gareca	Román Gareca (HR)	3–2	0.00

Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting	0.33
Peak faced	0.33
27 outs left	0.00
18 outs left	0.00
9 outs left	0.00

Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.

Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error

Charts drawn to Abdurakhmanov Park's actual outfield dimensions (LF 282' · CF 485' · RF 283' · 12' wall). Bathtub.

Tal's Hill

Expos — Batted Balls

2 BIP· 0 1B · 0 XBH · 2 HR

Orcas — Batted Balls

12 BIP· 0 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR

Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.

Expos

43% deserve-to-win · 1.9 expected runs

actual 3 runs · +1.1 vs expected

contact: 6.6 est bases + 0 walks/HBP · actual batted 8.0 (+1.4 on contact)

Player	EV/LA	Spray	Result	Est→Act	Luck
Román Gareca	119 / +29°	Pull	Home Run	2.9 → 4	+1.07
Rónald Solórzano	119 / +37°	Pull	Home Run	3.6 → 4	+0.36

Orcas

57% deserve-to-win · 2.1 expected runs

actual 2 runs · -0.1 vs expected

contact: 3.0 est bases + 3 walks/HBP · actual batted 0.0 (-3.0 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 0 CS (+0.8 runs)

Player	EV/LA	Spray	Result	Est→Act	Luck
Mateus Delía	92 / +20°	Oppo	Out	0.9 → 0	-0.89
Yerry Cuéllar	76 / +10°	Oppo	Out	0.5 → 0	-0.47
William Krickstein	54 / +16°	Center	Out	0.4 → 0	-0.42
Jonás Quintero	76 / -16°	Center	Out	0.2 → 0	-0.24
Omar Godín	76 / -23°	Oppo	Out	0.2 → 0	-0.24