==============================================================================
Provideniya-Reid BK 9, Yagodnoye Sharks 7                   2046-05-04 · #1500
at Yagodnoye Yards
==============================================================================

                        1    R    H    E
Provideniya-Reid        9    9    5    0
Yagodnoye               7    7    5    0

PROVIDENIYA-REID BK
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Williamsov  p  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   1   .000
Brunnbergov c  ......    2   2   2   1   0   1   3   0   0   0   0  1.000
Lanin       lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Hin         rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Poole       2b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Monova      cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Elliottov   3b ......    1   2   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
King        ss ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Oosterbaan  1b ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Stepanov    j  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Scott       j  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Elisaldezov j  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   .000
Totals                   8   9   5   2   0   2   7   4   1   0   1  0.625
  2B: Brunnbergov (14), King (3).
  HR: Brunnbergov (3), off Shunin; Elliottov (1), off Shunin.
  SB: King (1).


YAGODNOYE SHARKS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Sy          lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Nembhardov  1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Terrell     2b ......    3   0   2   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.667
Chalova     c  ......    2   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Grebenyuk   cf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   .000
  a-Danilin pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Isaeva      rf ......    3   1   1   0   0   1   4   0   2   0   0  0.333
Mukhin      3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Mdletshe    ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Goloviz ph ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Shunin      p  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   1   .000
  c-Bautist pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  d-Quiñone lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Ledovsk ss ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   .000
Fedorov     j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Aalto       j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Lapushchenk j  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
Totals                  27   7   5   2   0   1   7   6  12   0   1  0.185
  2B: Terrell (1), Goloviznina (2).
  HR: Isaeva (1), off Williamsov.
  CS: Terrell (5), Lapushchenkova (4), Goloviznina (5).
  a-Ran for Grebenyuk in the 6th.
  b-Doubled for Mdletshe in the 7th.
  c-Ran for Shunin in the 7th.
  d-Replaced Lapushchenkova at LF in the 8th.
  e-Entered at SS in the 9th.

PROVIDENIYA-REID BK PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Williamsov (W, 2-2) .    31   26  96%    5    7    7    6   12    1  103    -
Iwabuchi ............     1    1   4%    0    0    0    0    0    0    7  1-0

YAGODNOYE SHARKS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Shunin ..............     7    4  15%    4    4    2    0    1    2   23    -
Lo (L, 0-2) .........     5    1   4%    1    5    5    4    0    0   22  1-1

  Batting order: Yagodnoye Sharks (home) batted first; Provideniya-Reid BK batted second.
  First pitch 7:15 PM MAGT. Weather: 52°F · Wind out · Clear · Dry. seed 883918.
  Walk-Back runs: off Shunin 2.
==============================================================================
Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 6 Evgeny Mukhin Taras Chalova (2B) 0–1
B 20 Vitaly Goloviznina Magomed Danilina (1B) 0–2
B 26 Gleb Ledovskikh Wandy Bautista (3B) 0–3
B 26 Gleb Isaeva Mikhail Lapushchenkova (3B) 0–4
B 26 Gleb Isaeva Taras Chalova (2B) 0–5
B 26 Gleb Isaeva Gleb Ledovskikh (1B) 0–6
B 26 Gleb Isaeva Gleb Isaeva (HR) 0–7
T 0 Marc Brunnbergov Marc Brunnbergov (HR) 1–7
T 2 Chase Poole Marc Brunnbergov (3B) 2–7
T 4 Mackenzie Elliottov Mackenzie Elliottov (HR) 3–7
T 4 Evan King Mackenzie Elliottov (3B) 4–7
T 4 Ari Elisaldezov Evan King (3B) 5–7
T 4 Jan-Michael Oosterbaan Evgueni Stepanov (3B) 6–7
T 4 Soane Williamsov Bryson Scott (3B) 7–7
T 5 Marc Brunnbergov Ari Elisaldezov (3B) 8–7
T 5 Marc Brunnbergov Jan-Michael Oosterbaan (2B) 9–7
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Yagodnoye Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 347' · CF 422' · RF 340' · 8' wall). Balanced.
Provideniya-Reid BK — Batted Balls
7 BIP· 1 1B · 2 XBH · 2 HR
347' 422' 340' Marc Brunnbergov — hr · EV 112 mph · LA +39° · 480 ft Beals Lanin — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +12° · 167 ft Chase Poole — single · EV 113 mph · LA -12° · 108 ft Marat Monova — line_out · EV 105 mph · LA +15° · 224 ft Mackenzie Elliottov — hr · EV 112 mph · LA +37° · 480 ft Evan King — double · EV 103 mph · LA +24° · 322 ft Marc Brunnbergov — double · EV 100 mph · LA +24° · 298 ft
Yagodnoye Sharks — Batted Balls
12 BIP· 2 1B · 2 XBH · 1 HR
347' 422' 340' Ilia Fedorov — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +10° · 114 ft Avery Nembhardov — fly_out · EV 119 mph · LA +14° · 261 ft Marmaduke Terrell — single · EV 75 mph · LA -2° · 72 ft Taras Chalova — fielders_choice · EV 78 mph · LA +0° · 74 ft Evgeny Mukhin — error · EV 88 mph · LA -14° · 84 ft Mikhail Lapushchenkova — single · EV 100 mph · LA -13° · 95 ft Vitaly Goloviznina — double · EV 95 mph · LA +32° · 320 ft Fernando Quiñones — ground_out · EV 90 mph · LA -21° · 86 ft Caloy Sy — ground_out · EV 70 mph · LA +6° · 66 ft Marmaduke Terrell — double · EV 112 mph · LA +23° · 364 ft Mikhail Lapushchenkova — line_out · EV 89 mph · LA +26° · 251 ft Gleb Isaeva — hr · EV 101 mph · LA +43° · 405 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Provideniya-Reid BK
79% deserve-to-win  ·  9.1 expected runs
actual 9 runs  ·  -0.1 vs expected
contact: 13.3 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 13.0 (-0.3 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Marat Monova 105 / +15° Pull Out 1.4 → 0 -1.36
Beals Lanin 100 / +12° Oppo Out 1.3 → 0 -1.28
Evan King 103 / +24° Center Double 1.4 → 2 +0.56
Marc Brunnbergov 100 / +24° Pull Double 1.4 → 2 +0.56
Marc Brunnbergov 112 / +39° Pull Home Run 3.5 → 4 +0.47
Yagodnoye Sharks
21% deserve-to-win  ·  4.7 expected runs
actual 7 runs  ·  +2.3 vs expected
contact: 10.3 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 10.0 (-0.3 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 3 CS (-2.1 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Avery Nembhardov 119 / +14° Pull Out 1.5 → 0 -1.52
Gleb Isaeva 101 / +43° Oppo Home Run 2.5 → 4 +1.48
Vitaly Goloviznina 95 / +32° Oppo Double 0.8 → 2 +1.21
Ilia Fedorov 92 / +10° Oppo Out 0.9 → 0 -0.86
Mikhail Lapushchenkova 89 / +26° Pull Out 0.8 → 0 -0.79
Compare basket · 0 max 4
Compare →