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Rockies 33, Athletics 3                                     2026-08-27 · #1507
at Kuvvatov Yards
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Oakland                 3      0    3    5    0
Colorado               33      -   33   22    1

ATHLETICS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Fehr        cf ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Mascherano  ss ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Sinclair    1b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1  1.000
  a-Wiesner pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
DeLong      lf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Korda       c  ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Molina      2b ......    4   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   3   0   0  0.250
Noel        3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Sawchuk     rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   1  0.000
Curran      p  ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.250
Crutchfield 2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Rodrigu ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  27   3   5   1   0   0   3   1   9   0   2  0.185
  2B: Molina (10).
  SB: Korda (21), Noel (7).
  HBP: Fehr (2), DeLong (1), Crutchfield (1).
  GIDP: Fehr (1).
  Squeeze: Sawchuk (1 RBI).
  a-Ran for Sinclair in the 5th.
  b-Singled in the 5th.

ROCKIES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Goss        lf ......    6   8   5   1   0   3   7   0   0   0   0  0.833
Dávila      p  ......    5   4   2   0   0   1   2   1   1   0   0  0.400
Alderman    cf ......    5   3   2   0   0   1   5   0   1   0   0  0.400
Vidal       rf ......    5   4   2   1   0   1   4   1   1   0   0  0.400
Ruidíaz     3b ......    5   2   2   1   0   1   3   0   1   0   1  0.400
Chaves      1b ......    6   2   2   0   1   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.333
Diatta      c  ......    5   3   2   1   0   1   1   1   1   0   0  0.400
Poling      2b ......    5   4   3   3   0   0   6   0   1   0   0  0.600
Martinho    ss ......    1   2   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Kaiuway ph ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Totals                  46  33  22   7   1   8  32   4   7   0   1  0.478
  2B: Goss (44), Vidal (11), Ruidíaz (13), Diatta (34), Poling 3 (20).
  3B: Chaves (2).
  HR: Goss 3 (20), off Curran, Nwosu, Delfino; Dávila (1), off Curran; Alderman (11), off Nwosu; Vidal (2), off Noel; Ruidíaz (7), off Noel; Diatta (20), off Fehr.
  SB: Chaves (10).
  E: Martinho (12).
  HBP: Alderman (9), Poling (7).
  a-Batted in the 3rd.

ATHLETICS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Curran ..............     4    1   4%    3    4    2    0    1    2   12    -
MacPhie .............     4    1   4%    2    3    3    1    1    0   16  1-1
Nwosu ...............     4    0   0%    3    6    5    1    0    2    9  1-1
Dreyer ..............    14   12  44%    2    3    3    1    2    0   54  1-0
Delfino .............    11    7  26%    3    5    4    1    0    1   38    -
Fehr (L, 0-2) .......    11    6  22%    5    6    6    0    3    1   37  2-1
Noel ................     4    0   0%    4    6    5    0    0    2   12  1-1

ROCKIES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Dávila (W, 23-3) ....    18   14  52%    3    3    3    1    4    0   58    -
Arakawa (F, 35) .....    12   13  48%    2    0    0    0    5    0   42  1-0

ATHLETICS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Curran (Outs 1-1) → MacPhie (Outs 2-2) → Dreyer (Outs 3-14) → Delfino (Outs 15-21) → Fehr (Outs 22-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Korda (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Sinclair (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Crutchfield (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Noel (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Mascherano (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | DeLong (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Fehr (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Sawchuk (Outs 1-27)

ROCKIES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Dávila (Outs 1-14) → Arakawa (Outs 15-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Diatta (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Chaves (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Poling (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Ruidíaz (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Martinho (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Goss (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Alderman (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Vidal (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Rockies (home) batted first; Athletics batted second.
  Seconds: OAK o25 (3-33).
  First pitch 6:00 PM MT. Weather: 92°F · Wind calm · Clear. seed 8093.
  Walk-Back runs: off Curran 2, off Nwosu 1, off Delfino 1, off Noel 1.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 3.78    Peak faced 31.00
    27 outs left: 3.78
    18 outs left: 5.17
     9 outs left: 10.33
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
B 0 Ahkhari Goss Ahkhari Goss (HR) 0–1 —
B 0 Leonel Dávila Ahkhari Goss (3B) 0–2 —
B 0 Leonel Dávila Leonel Dávila (HR) 0–3 —
B 0 Allen Alderman Leonel Dávila (3B) 0–4 —
B 2 Jeyland Chaves Youstin Vidal (2B) 0–5 —
B 2 Reed Poling Jeyland Chaves (3B) 0–6 —
B 2 Reed Poling John Diatta (1B) 0–7 —
B 2 Markeylin Martinho Reed Poling (2B) 0–8 —
B 2 Ahkhari Goss Markeylin Martinho (1B) 0–9 —
B 2 Ahkhari Goss Ahkhari Goss (HR) 0–10 —
B 2 Allen Alderman Ahkhari Goss (3B) 0–11 —
B 2 Allen Alderman Leonel Dávila (1B) 0–12 —
B 2 Allen Alderman Allen Alderman (HR) 0–13 —
B 8 Reed Poling John Diatta (2B) 0–14 —
B 8 Reed Poling Markeylin Martinho (1B) 0–15 —
B 11 Youstin Vidal Reed Poling (3B) 0–16 —
B 15 Ahkhari Goss Ahkhari Goss (HR) 0–17 —
B 16 Allen Alderman Ahkhari Goss (3B) 0–18 —
B 21 Justin Kaiuway Youstin Vidal (2B) 0–19 —
B 21 Reed Poling Justin Kaiuway (1B) 0–20 —
B 21 Reed Poling Reed Poling (3B) 0–21 —
B 22 Jeyland Chaves Reed Poling (2B) 0–22 —
B 22 Marco Ruidíaz Jeyland Chaves (3B) 0–23 —
B 24 Ahkhari Goss Marco Ruidíaz (2B) 0–24 —
B 24 Ahkhari Goss Allen Alderman (1B) 0–25 —
B 24 Ahkhari Goss Ahkhari Goss (2B) 0–26 —
B 24 Allen Alderman Ahkhari Goss (2B) 0–27 —
B 24 Youstin Vidal Leonel Dávila (2B) 0–28 —
B 24 Youstin Vidal Allen Alderman (1B) 0–29 —
B 24 Youstin Vidal Youstin Vidal (HR) 0–30 —
B 24 Marco Ruidíaz Youstin Vidal (3B) 0–31 —
B 24 Marco Ruidíaz Marco Ruidíaz (HR) 0–32 —
B 26 John Diatta John Diatta (HR) 0–33 —
T 1 Randy Korda Hal Fehr (2B) 1–33 3.81
T 7 Ahmad Sawchuk Tobias DeLong (3B) 2–33 4.80
T 9 Wilfredo Molina Shane Curran (3B) 3–33 5.17
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 3.78
Peak faced 31.00
27 outs left 3.78
18 outs left 5.17
9 outs left 10.33
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Kuvvatov Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 341' · CF 409' · RF 308' · 12' wall). Center-Field Triangle.
Athletics — Batted Balls
14 BIP· 4 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
341' 409' 308' Randy Korda — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA -13° · 74 ft Shane Curran — single · EV 66 mph · LA +16° · 91 ft Tobias DeLong — ground_out · EV 58 mph · LA +2° · 55 ft Cannon Sinclair — single · EV 76 mph · LA +13° · 100 ft Hal Fehr — double_play · EV 60 mph · LA -6° · 57 ft Mauricio Rodrigues — single · EV 81 mph · LA -3° · 77 ft Shane Curran — fly_out · EV 98 mph · LA +36° · 369 ft Wilfredo Molina — double · EV 92 mph · LA +26° · 267 ft Mauro Mascherano — single · EV 76 mph · LA +17° · 130 ft Tobias DeLong — ground_out · EV 65 mph · LA -26° · 61 ft Ahmad Sawchuk — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA -9° · 78 ft Randy Korda — error · EV 76 mph · LA +5° · 72 ft Shane Curran — fly_out · EV 78 mph · LA +35° · 227 ft Randy Korda — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +33° · 211 ft
Rockies — Batted Balls
34 BIP· 6 1B · 8 XBH · 8 HR
341' 409' 308' Ahkhari Goss — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +29° · 480 ft Leonel Dávila — hr · EV 100 mph · LA +35° · 377 ft Youstin Vidal — double · EV 117 mph · LA +19° · 337 ft Jeyland Chaves — single · EV 88 mph · LA +4° · 84 ft Reed Poling — double · EV 119 mph · LA +20° · 356 ft Markeylin Martinho — single · EV 119 mph · LA +5° · 113 ft John Diatta — double · EV 100 mph · LA +13° · 173 ft Ahkhari Goss — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +31° · 480 ft Allen Alderman — hr · EV 113 mph · LA +38° · 480 ft Youstin Vidal — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA -12° · 80 ft Marco Ruidíaz — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -23° · 84 ft Jeyland Chaves — fly_out · EV 119 mph · LA +19° · 342 ft Reed Poling — line_out · EV 95 mph · LA +34° · 333 ft Reed Poling — double · EV 118 mph · LA +11° · 209 ft Jeyland Chaves — ground_out · EV 73 mph · LA -12° · 69 ft Marco Ruidíaz — ground_out · EV 83 mph · LA +2° · 79 ft Youstin Vidal — fly_out · EV 110 mph · LA +26° · 380 ft Allen Alderman — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA -17° · 95 ft Justin Kaiuway — single · EV 119 mph · LA +1° · 113 ft Ahkhari Goss — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +34° · 480 ft Allen Alderman — ground_out · EV 79 mph · LA +3° · 75 ft Jeyland Chaves — fly_out · EV 70 mph · LA +44° · 199 ft Reed Poling — double · EV 119 mph · LA +11° · 214 ft John Diatta — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -8° · 84 ft Marco Ruidíaz — double · EV 119 mph · LA +11° · 212 ft Jeyland Chaves — triple · EV 100 mph · LA +12° · 168 ft Ahkhari Goss — double · EV 96 mph · LA +15° · 186 ft Leonel Dávila — single · EV 119 mph · LA +15° · 280 ft Allen Alderman — single · EV 115 mph · LA +7° · 109 ft Youstin Vidal — hr · EV 100 mph · LA +45° · 400 ft Marco Ruidíaz — hr · EV 118 mph · LA +45° · 480 ft John Diatta — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +28° · 471 ft Ahkhari Goss — single · EV 119 mph · LA +15° · 283 ft Jeyland Chaves — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -14° · 84 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Athletics
1% deserve-to-win  ·  2.7 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  +0.3 vs expected
contact: 5.2 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 6.0 (+0.8 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Shane Curran 98 / +36° Center Out 1.5 → 0 -1.45
Wilfredo Molina 92 / +26° Center Double 0.7 → 2 +1.27
Mauricio Rodrigues 81 / -3° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.68
Shane Curran 66 / +16° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.58
Cannon Sinclair 76 / +13° Center Single 0.5 → 1 +0.53
Rockies
99% deserve-to-win  ·  24.6 expected runs
actual 33 runs  ·  +8.4 vs expected
contact: 49.1 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 55.0 (+5.9 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Youstin Vidal 110 / +26° Oppo Out 2.2 → 0 -2.25
Leonel Dávila 100 / +35° Center Home Run 1.9 → 4 +2.07
Jeyland Chaves 100 / +12° Pull Triple 1.3 → 3 +1.75
Jeyland Chaves 119 / +19° Center Out 1.7 → 0 -1.71
Youstin Vidal 100 / +45° Oppo Home Run 2.6 → 4 +1.41
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