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Rockies 24, Athletics 1                                     2026-08-28 · #1511
at Kuvvatov Yards
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                        1    R    H    E
Oakland                 1    1    5    0
Colorado               24   24   17    0

ATHLETICS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Fehr        cf ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
Beach       p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1  0.000
Caspersen   c  ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Sinclair    1b ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
  a-Wiesner pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
DeLong      lf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
Crutchfield 2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Molina      3b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Gerlach     ss ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Sawchuk     rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Rodrigu ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  26   1   5   1   0   0   0   3   6   0   1  0.192
  2B: Sinclair (18).
  SB: Wiesner (9).
  GIDP: Sinclair (12), DeLong (4).
  a-Ran for Sinclair in the 7th.
  b-Batted in the 6th.

ROCKIES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Martinho    ss ......    3   7   3   0   1   2   5   2   0   0   0  1.000
Denson      p  ......    4   3   2   2   0   0   3   1   1   0   0  0.500
Poling      2b ......    5   2   2   0   1   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.400
Diatta      3b ......    4   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Chaves      1b ......    3   2   2   2   0   0   2   2   1   0   0  0.667
Vidal       rf ......    4   3   2   1   0   0   2   1   1   0   0  0.500
Alderman    c  ......    6   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Otamendi    cf ......    2   2   1   0   0   1   2   0   1   0   0  0.500
Goss        lf ......    6   3   4   1   0   1   4   0   0   0   0  0.667
  a-Kaiuway ph ......    4   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.250
Totals                  41  24  17   7   2   4  22   6  11   0   0  0.415
  2B: Denson 2 (5), Chaves 2 (26), Vidal (12), Goss (45), Kaiuway (14).
  3B: Martinho (4), Poling (2).
  HR: Martinho 2 (32), off Beach, Suárez; Otamendi (14), off Kitler; Goss (21), off Fehr.
  CS: Chaves (5).
  HBP: Diatta (4).
  a-Batted in the 4th.

ATHLETICS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT    P P/BF    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR   IR
Beach ...............    10    8   42  4.2    2    2    1    1    4    1    -
Kitler ..............     4    1   15  3.8    2    3    2    1    1    1  1-1
Suárez ..............     5    2   24  4.8    3    5    4    1    1    1  2-1
Dreyer (L, 2-2) .....     9    5   32  3.6    5    5    5    1    2    0  1-0
MacPhie .............    14    9   63  4.5    2    5    5    2    2    0  1-1
Fehr ................     5    2   12  2.4    3    4    4    0    1    1  1-1

ROCKIES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT    P P/BF    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR   IR
Denson (W, 18-6) ....    12   12   40  3.3    3    1    1    2    1    0    -
Arakawa .............    15   13   56  3.7    2    0    0    1    3    0    -
Ribas ...............     2    2    6  3.0    0    0    0    0    2    0  2-0

ATHLETICS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Beach (Outs 1-8) → Kitler (Outs 9-9) → Suárez (Outs 10-11) → Dreyer (Outs 12-16) → MacPhie (Outs 17-25) → Fehr (Outs 26-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Caspersen (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Sinclair (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Crutchfield (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Molina (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Gerlach (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | DeLong (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Fehr (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Sawchuk (Outs 1-27)

ROCKIES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Denson (Outs 1-12) → Arakawa (Outs 13-25) → Ribas (Outs 26-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Alderman (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Chaves (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Poling (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Diatta (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Martinho (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Goss (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Otamendi (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Vidal (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Rockies (home) batted first; Athletics batted second.
  First pitch 7:15 PM MT. Weather: 81°F · Wind in · Clear · Dry. seed 957120.
  Walk-Back runs: off Beach 1, off Kitler 1, off Suárez 1.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 2.78    Peak faced 18.00
    27 outs left: 2.78
    18 outs left: 4.00
     9 outs left: 8.00
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
B 0 Markeylin Martinho Markeylin Martinho (HR) 0–1 —
B 8 Ahkhari Goss Markeylin Martinho (3B) 0–2 —
B 8 Wesly Otamendi Ahkhari Goss (1B) 0–3 —
B 8 Wesly Otamendi Wesly Otamendi (HR) 0–4 —
B 8 Allen Alderman Wesly Otamendi (3B) 0–5 —
B 10 Reed Poling Youstin Vidal (2B) 0–6 —
B 11 Markeylin Martinho Reed Poling (2B) 0–7 —
B 11 Markeylin Martinho Dozie Denson (1B) 0–8 —
B 11 Markeylin Martinho Markeylin Martinho (HR) 0–9 —
B 11 Ahkhari Goss Markeylin Martinho (3B) 0–10 —
B 16 Reed Poling Jeyland Chaves (2B) 0–11 —
B 16 Dozie Denson Reed Poling (3B) 0–12 —
B 16 Markeylin Martinho Dozie Denson (3B) 0–13 —
B 16 Dozie Denson Markeylin Martinho (3B) 0–14 —
B 16 Dozie Denson Markeylin Martinho (3B) 0–15 —
B 18 Youstin Vidal Dozie Denson (2B) 0–16 —
B 18 Youstin Vidal John Diatta (1B) 0–17 —
B 24 Jeyland Chaves Youstin Vidal (2B) 0–18 —
B 24 Jeyland Chaves Markeylin Martinho (1B) 0–19 —
B 24 Allen Alderman Jeyland Chaves (3B) 0–20 —
B 25 Justin Kaiuway Youstin Vidal (2B) 0–21 —
B 25 Ahkhari Goss Justin Kaiuway (2B) 0–22 —
B 25 Ahkhari Goss Ahkhari Goss (1B) 0–23 —
B 25 Ahkhari Goss Ahkhari Goss (—) 0–24 —
T 3 Frank Gerlach Hal Fehr (3B) 1–24 3.00
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 2.78
Peak faced 18.00
27 outs left 2.78
18 outs left 4.00
9 outs left 8.00
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Kuvvatov Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 341' · CF 409' · RF 308' · 12' wall). Center-Field Triangle.
Athletics — Batted Balls
16 BIP· 4 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
341' 409' 308' Cannon Sinclair — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -6° · 72 ft Tobias DeLong — single · EV 76 mph · LA +15° · 117 ft Wilfredo Molina — single · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 93 ft Frank Gerlach — fielders_choice · EV 56 mph · LA -14° · 53 ft Hal Fehr — single · EV 76 mph · LA -6° · 72 ft Ahmad Sawchuk — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -7° · 49 ft Mauricio Rodrigues — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -21° · 49 ft Val Caspersen — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +24° · 170 ft Cannon Sinclair — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +4° · 72 ft Tobias DeLong — double_play · EV 57 mph · LA -12° · 54 ft Frank Gerlach — ground_out · EV 64 mph · LA -11° · 61 ft Raphael Beach — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +26° · 183 ft Val Caspersen — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA -15° · 87 ft Cannon Sinclair — double · EV 92 mph · LA +12° · 142 ft Emmett Crutchfield — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +18° · 135 ft Frank Gerlach — single · EV 92 mph · LA +8° · 94 ft
Rockies — Batted Balls
22 BIP· 4 1B · 9 XBH · 4 HR
341' 409' 308' Markeylin Martinho — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +45° · 480 ft Allen Alderman — ground_out · EV 99 mph · LA +21° · 261 ft Jeyland Chaves — double · EV 119 mph · LA +12° · 227 ft Ahkhari Goss — single · EV 119 mph · LA +10° · 192 ft Wesly Otamendi — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +37° · 480 ft Youstin Vidal — single · EV 100 mph · LA +4° · 95 ft Reed Poling — single · EV 88 mph · LA +3° · 84 ft Markeylin Martinho — hr · EV 118 mph · LA +34° · 480 ft Dozie Denson — double · EV 99 mph · LA +27° · 316 ft Justin Kaiuway — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +18° · 231 ft Ahkhari Goss — double · EV 110 mph · LA +17° · 266 ft Allen Alderman — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -20° · 84 ft Reed Poling — triple · EV 119 mph · LA +20° · 366 ft Markeylin Martinho — triple · EV 119 mph · LA +13° · 252 ft Dozie Denson — double · EV 119 mph · LA +12° · 239 ft Jeyland Chaves — double · EV 100 mph · LA +13° · 170 ft Justin Kaiuway — double · EV 100 mph · LA +14° · 181 ft Youstin Vidal — double · EV 119 mph · LA +16° · 292 ft Allen Alderman — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA -7° · 95 ft Ahkhari Goss — single · EV 119 mph · LA +13° · 255 ft Ahkhari Goss — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +35° · 480 ft Allen Alderman — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +2° · 95 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Athletics
4% deserve-to-win  ·  3.5 expected runs
actual 1 run  ·  -2.5 vs expected
contact: 5.5 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 6.0 (+0.5 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Cannon Sinclair 92 / +12° Center Double 0.8 → 2 +1.19
Hal Fehr 76 / -6° Oppo Single 0.2 → 1 +0.77
Val Caspersen 76 / +24° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.54
Emmett Crutchfield 76 / +18° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.54
Tobias DeLong 76 / +15° Center Single 0.5 → 1 +0.53
Rockies
96% deserve-to-win  ·  17.6 expected runs
actual 24 runs  ·  +6.4 vs expected
contact: 35.4 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 40.0 (+4.6 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Markeylin Martinho 119 / +13° Pull Triple 1.5 → 3 +1.48
Justin Kaiuway 100 / +18° Oppo Out 1.4 → 0 -1.41
Reed Poling 119 / +20° Pull Triple 1.7 → 3 +1.29
Allen Alderman 99 / +21° Pull Out 1.2 → 0 -1.23
Dozie Denson 99 / +27° Center Double 1.1 → 2 +0.93
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