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Nationals 12, Expos 11                                      2026-09-01 · #1545
at Huerta Stadium
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Washington             12      -   12   11    1
Montreal               11      0   11   10    0

NATIONALS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Cruz        cf ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  a-Heffner ph ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.500
Devezin     rf ......    4   3   3   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.750
Miguelito   lf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
  b-DeMelo  pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Thompkins   3b ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Cheng       2b ......    2   2   0   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0  0.000
Shi         c  ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   2   1   1   0   0  0.500
Jones-Wesle 1b ......    3   0   2   0   0   0   2   1   1   0   0  0.667
Bartlett    ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  c-Pastore ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Al-Uqdah    p  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Burrows ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  e-Baloy   ph ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  f-Fábrega pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Mayer       j  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   2   0   1   0   1  0.500
Ebun        j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  30  12  11   2   0   0  11   8  10   0   1  0.367
  2B: Devezin (13), Shi (5).
  E: Pastore (4).
  GIDP: Pastore (5).
  a-Batted for Cruz in the 5th.
  b-Ran for Miguelito in the 5th.
  c-Batted for Bartlett in the 6th.
  d-Walked for Al-Uqdah in the 6th.
  e-Singled for DeMelo in the 6th.
  f-Ran for Burrows in the 6th.

EXPOS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Solórzano   3b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
Creek       lf ......    3   4   2   0   0   1   1   1   1   0   0  0.667
Grizzlies   rf ......    4   2   3   2   0   0   4   0   1   0   0  0.750
Clement     1b ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   2   0   0  0.000
Goodson     2b ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.000
Katsuhisa   cf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   1  0.333
MacKay      ss ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Spence      c  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  a-Triguei pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Rezac       p  ......    4   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.250
  b-Fieldin ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Currier     j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Gibson      j  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Totals                  33  11  10   3   0   1  10   4  14   0   1  0.303
  2B: Grizzlies 2 (31), Rezac (7).
  HR: Creek (11), off Cottle.
  SB: Grizzlies (14), Clement (6).
  CS: Grizzlies (11), Clement (4), Currier (1).
  Squeeze: Katsuhisa (1 RBI).
  a-Ran for Spence in the 5th.
  b-Struck out in the 7th.

NATIONALS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Al-Uqdah ............    10    7  26%    3    3    3    0    4    0   33    -
Cottle (W) ..........     7    5  19%    2    2    1    1    3    1   24    -
Scholl ..............     7    5  19%    2    1    1    1    1    0   30  1-0
McMurray ............     9    7  26%    2    4    4    2    4    0   29  2-1
Clemente ............     4    3  11%    1    1    1    0    2    0   17  1-1

EXPOS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Rezac (L, 9-2) ......     7    1   4%    4    4    4    2    0    0   27    -
Brown ...............     8    7  26%    0    1    1    1    3    0   19  2-1
Mokoena .............     7    5  19%    2    3    3    1    3    0   25  2-1
Drotar ..............     9    8  30%    2    1    1    3    2    0   38  2-1
Bork ................     5    2   7%    2    3    3    1    2    0   20  3-3
Bourne ..............     1    2   7%    0    0    0    0    0    0    4  3-0

NATIONALS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Al-Uqdah (Outs 1-7) → Cottle (Outs 8-12) → Scholl (Outs 13-17) → McMurray (Outs 18-24) → Clemente (Outs 25-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Shi (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Jones-Wesley (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Cheng (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Thompkins (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Bartlett (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Miguelito (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Cruz (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Devezin (Outs 1-27)

EXPOS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-25)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Rezac (Outs 1-1) → Brown (Outs 2-8) → Mokoena (Outs 9-13) → Drotar (Outs 14-21) → Bork (Outs 22-23) → Bourne (Outs 24-25)
CATCHER (C)       | Spence (Outs 1-25)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Clement (Outs 1-25)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Goodson (Outs 1-25)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Solórzano (Outs 1-25)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | MacKay (Outs 1-25)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Creek (Outs 1-25)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Katsuhisa (Outs 1-25)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Grizzlies (Outs 1-25)

  Batting order: Expos (home) batted first; Nationals batted second.
  Seconds: WSN o25 (12-11), MON o24 (11-0).
  First pitch 6:40 PM ET. Weather: 68°F · Wind in · Clear · Light rain. seed 848147.
  Walk-Back runs: off Cottle 1.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 1.33    Peak faced 1.40
    27 outs left: 1.33
    18 outs left: 1.17
     9 outs left: 1.00
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
B 0 Maciek Grizzlies Rónald Solórzano (2B) 0–1 —
B 0 Maciek Grizzlies Fran Creek (1B) 0–2 —
B 1 Marquis Goodson Maciek Grizzlies (3B) 0–3 —
B 7 Fran Creek Fran Creek (HR) 0–4 —
B 7 Maciek Grizzlies Fran Creek (3B) 0–5 —
B 14 Maciek Grizzlies Fran Creek (1B) 0–6 —
B 15 Masaaki Katsuhisa Raymond Trigueiro (3B) 0–7 —
B 16 Elliott Currier Horace Clement (2B) 0–8 —
B 19 David Rezac Maciek Grizzlies (3B) 0–9 —
B 19 David Rezac Curt Gibson (1B) 0–10 —
B 22 Horace Clement David Rezac (3B) 0–11 —
T 1 Rill Devezin Damion Thompkins (1B) 1–11 1.27
T 1 Zhiqiang Shi Rill Devezin (3B) 2–11 1.15
T 1 Zhiqiang Shi Cheng-wei Cheng (2B) 3–11 1.04
T 1 Carl Jones-Wesley José Cruz (3B) 4–11 0.92
T 7 José Cruz Zhiqiang Shi (3B) 5–11 1.05
T 13 Rill Devezin Travis Al-Uqdah (3B) 6–11 1.29
T 13 Daniel Heffner Dante DeMelo (3B) 7–11 1.07
T 13 Daniel Heffner Rill Devezin (2B) 8–11 0.86
T 13 Tyler Mayer Cheng-wei Cheng (3B) 9–11 0.64
T 21 Tyler Mayer Daniel Heffner (3B) 10–11 1.00
T 21 Bobby Ebun Kendry Baloy (3B) 11–11 0.50
T 23 Carl Jones-Wesley Rill Devezin (3B) 12–11 0.00
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 1.33
Peak faced 1.40
27 outs left 1.33
18 outs left 1.17
9 outs left 1.00
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Huerta Stadium's actual outfield dimensions (LF 288' · CF 412' · RF 348' · 50' wall). Short Porch (Left).
Nationals — Batted Balls
18 BIP· 8 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
288' 412' 348' Wall 50' Devron San Miguelito — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +7° · 87 ft Rill Devezin — double · EV 97 mph · LA +48° · 373 ft José Cruz — single · EV 81 mph · LA +16° · 139 ft Zhiqiang Shi — double · EV 92 mph · LA +36° · 324 ft Carl Jones-Wesley — single · EV 92 mph · LA +21° · 230 ft Travis Al-Uqdah — error · EV 53 mph · LA -6° · 51 ft Cheng-wei Cheng — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +38° · 224 ft Daniel Heffner — single · EV 76 mph · LA +20° · 150 ft Bobby Ebun — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +8° · 72 ft Kendry Baloy — single · EV 58 mph · LA -17° · 55 ft Marcos Pastore — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA -12° · 50 ft Devron San Miguelito — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +50° · 228 ft José Cruz — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +7° · 87 ft Travis Al-Uqdah — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA +4° · 49 ft Tyler Mayer — single · EV 76 mph · LA +23° · 168 ft Devron San Miguelito — single · EV 76 mph · LA +11° · 85 ft Carl Jones-Wesley — single · EV 76 mph · LA +13° · 103 ft Rill Devezin — single · EV 61 mph · LA -12° · 58 ft
Expos — Batted Balls
13 BIP· 6 1B · 3 XBH · 1 HR
288' 412' 348' Wall 50' Rónald Solórzano — single · EV 109 mph · LA +4° · 104 ft Fran Creek — single · EV 100 mph · LA +20° · 261 ft Maciek Grizzlies — double · EV 98 mph · LA +18° · 228 ft Marquis Goodson — fly_out · EV 105 mph · LA +29° · 369 ft Elliott Currier — single · EV 76 mph · LA +25° · 178 ft Fran Creek — hr · EV 116 mph · LA +35° · 480 ft Maciek Grizzlies — single · EV 92 mph · LA +8° · 93 ft Roscoe Spence — single · EV 90 mph · LA -4° · 86 ft Maciek Grizzlies — double · EV 92 mph · LA +18° · 201 ft Raiden MacKay — line_out · EV 85 mph · LA +16° · 152 ft David Rezac — double · EV 89 mph · LA +17° · 178 ft Masaaki Katsuhisa — single · EV 86 mph · LA +16° · 154 ft Marquis Goodson — error · EV 69 mph · LA -21° · 66 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Nationals
52% deserve-to-win  ·  5.8 expected runs
actual 12 runs  ·  +6.2 vs expected
contact: 6.9 est bases + 8 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 12.0 (+5.1 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Rill Devezin 97 / +48° Oppo Double 0.6 → 2 +1.38
Zhiqiang Shi 92 / +36° Pull Double 0.9 → 2 +1.06
Kendry Baloy 58 / -17° Pull Single 0.1 → 1 +0.89
Rill Devezin 61 / -12° Center Single 0.1 → 1 +0.89
Devron San Miguelito 76 / +11° Oppo Single 0.5 → 1 +0.53
Expos
48% deserve-to-win  ·  5.6 expected runs
actual 11 runs  ·  +5.4 vs expected
contact: 13.2 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 16.0 (+2.8 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 3 CS (-1.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Marquis Goodson 105 / +29° Pull Out 2.0 → 0 -2.01
Maciek Grizzlies 92 / +18° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.11
David Rezac 89 / +17° Pull Double 0.9 → 2 +1.11
Elliott Currier 76 / +25° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.85
Maciek Grizzlies 98 / +18° Pull Double 1.2 → 2 +0.78
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