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Giants 15, Dodgers 5                                        2026-09-01 · #1546
at Wold Ground
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                        1    R    H    E
San Francisco          15   15   11    4
Los Angeles             5    5    5    0

GIANTS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Matos       rf ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Cardozo     ss ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Figuero pr ......    0   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Horvath     2b ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.000
Braxton     lf ......    4   2   2   0   0   1   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Leininger   c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Jimenez pr ......    2   3   1   0   0   1   4   0   0   0   0  0.500
Hoffken     3b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Rosado  pr ......    3   3   1   0   0   1   2   0   2   0   0  0.333
Marte       cf ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.250
Short       1b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  d-Gallowa ph ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.333
Mateas      p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Anger   pr ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  f-Estrada ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Capdevila   j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Lacasse     j  ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Sundling    j  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  34  15  11   2   0   3  14   5  10   0   0  0.324
  2B: Galloway (25), Lacasse (5).
  HR: Braxton (9), off Villarreal; Rosado (5), off Villarreal; Jimenez (2), off Hack.
  SB: Braxton (8), Figueroa (13).
  E: Cardozo (13), Horvath 2 (7), Lacasse (5).
  a-Ran for Cardozo in the 3rd.
  b-Ran for Leininger in the 6th.
  c-Ran for Hoffken in the 3rd.
  d-Batted for Short in the 3rd.
  e-Ran for Mateas in the 6th.
  f-Batted in the 7th.

DODGERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Inman       2b ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.250
Martin      lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Egglest ph ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Maier       c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Lepchen pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Mokiao-Atim 1b ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
  c-Glatch  pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Gerardy     rf ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.333
Ochoa       ss ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.333
Swanson     3b ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.000
Garcés      cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   3   0   1  0.000
Tiernan     p  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Gilbert pr ......    1   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Daniels ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  f-Querrey pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  29   5   5   0   0   0   5   2  12   0   1  0.172
  SB: Eggleston (6).
  HBP: Maier (3), Daniels (2).
  a-Batted for Martin in the 3rd.
  b-Ran for Maier in the 6th.
  c-Ran for Mokiao-Atimalala in the 7th.
  d-Ran for Tiernan in the 3rd.
  e-Was hit by a pitch in the 5th.
  f-Ran in the 6th.

GIANTS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Mateas ..............     9    7  26%    1    0    0    0    4    0   30    -
Clements ............     7    5  19%    2    2    2    0    2    0   25  2-1
Vaca (W, 1-0) .......     7    7  26%    1    2    1    0    1    0   16  2-1
Caicedo .............     7    6  22%    0    1    1    1    4    0   27  1-1
McKay ...............     3    2   7%    1    0    0    1    1    0   11  1-0

DODGERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Tiernan .............     9    7  26%    3    0    0    2    3    0   34    -
Byrd ................     4    5  19%    0    2    2    0    1    0   15  3-1
Noguchi .............     7    4  15%    1    2    2    3    1    0   25    -
Hack (L, 1-1) .......     5    1   4%    4    5    5    0    1    1   10  1-1
Heinrich ............     7    6  22%    1    1    1    0    4    0   27  1-1
Villarreal ..........     6    4  15%    2    5    2    0    0    2   24  1-1

GIANTS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Mateas (Outs 1-7) → Clements (Outs 8-12) → Vaca (Outs 13-19) → Caicedo (Outs 20-25) → McKay (Outs 26-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Leininger (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Short (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Horvath (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Hoffken (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Cardozo (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Braxton (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Marte (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Matos (Outs 1-27)

DODGERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Tiernan (Outs 1-7) → Byrd (Outs 8-12) → Noguchi (Outs 13-16) → Hack (Outs 17-17) → Heinrich (Outs 18-23) → Villarreal (Outs 24-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Maier (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Mokiao-Atimalala (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Inman (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Swanson (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Ochoa (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Martin (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Garcés (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Gerardy (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Dodgers (home) batted second; Giants batted first.
  First pitch 6:40 PM PT. Weather: 84°F · Wind calm · Clear · Light rain. seed 695226.
  Walk-Back runs: off Heinrich 1, off Villarreal 2.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 1.78    Peak faced 16.50
    27 outs left: 1.78
    18 outs left: 2.33
     9 outs left: 4.00
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
T 7 Brad Galloway Ignacio Rosado (3B) 1–0 —
T 8 José Marte Manolo Figueroa (3B) 2–0 —
T 16 Leo Lacasse Raziel Jimenez (3B) 3–0 —
T 16 Leo Lacasse Manolo Figueroa (2B) 4–0 —
T 16 Brad Galloway Leo Lacasse (2B) 5–0 —
T 16 José Marte Brad Galloway (2B) 6–0 —
T 17 Raziel Jimenez José Marte (2B) 7–0 —
T 17 Raziel Jimenez Chase Sundling (1B) 8–0 —
T 17 Raziel Jimenez Raziel Jimenez (HR) 9–0 —
T 18 Devon Horvath Raziel Jimenez (3B) 10–0 —
T 23 Ignacio Rosado Eddie Anger (1B) 11–0 —
T 23 Ignacio Rosado Ignacio Rosado (HR) 12–0 —
T 23 Raziel Jimenez Ignacio Rosado (3B) 13–0 —
T 24 Stefan Braxton Stefan Braxton (HR) 14–0 —
T 24 Devon Horvath Stefan Braxton (3B) 15–0 —
B 7 Lenny Eggleston Ben Mokiao-Atimalala (3B) 15–1 2.25
B 8 Ben Mokiao-Atimalala Dean Gilbert (3B) 15–2 2.21
B 12 Tony Garcés Lenny Eggleston (3B) 15–3 2.60
B 15 Bautista Ochoa Dean Gilbert (3B) 15–4 3.00
B 24 Colton Swanson Tanner Gerardy (3B) 15–5 11.00
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 1.78
Peak faced 16.50
27 outs left 1.78
18 outs left 2.33
9 outs left 4.00
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Wold Ground's actual outfield dimensions (LF 338' · CF 395' · RF 346' · 13' wall). Balanced.
Knothole Gates
Giants — Batted Balls
19 BIP· 6 1B · 2 XBH · 3 HR
338' 395' 346' Maximo Cardozo — single · EV 98 mph · LA +6° · 93 ft Stefan Braxton — single · EV 94 mph · LA +4° · 90 ft Orien Hoffken — single · EV 100 mph · LA +4° · 95 ft Brad Galloway — fly_out · EV 84 mph · LA +40° · 277 ft Hervé Capdevila — ground_out · EV 112 mph · LA -13° · 106 ft Leo Lacasse — double · EV 105 mph · LA +29° · 373 ft Chase Sundling — single · EV 80 mph · LA -11° · 76 ft Raziel Jimenez — hr · EV 112 mph · LA +30° · 429 ft Eddie Anger — single · EV 88 mph · LA +16° · 160 ft Stefan Braxton — ground_out · EV 86 mph · LA +3° · 82 ft Brad Galloway — double · EV 100 mph · LA +17° · 228 ft Raziel Jimenez — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA -12° · 74 ft Pramod Estrada — ground_out · EV 83 mph · LA +2° · 79 ft José Marte — single · EV 88 mph · LA +22° · 219 ft Devon Horvath — ground_out · EV 91 mph · LA +9° · 105 ft Ignacio Rosado — hr · EV 118 mph · LA +46° · 480 ft Stefan Braxton — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +30° · 480 ft Devon Horvath — error · EV 81 mph · LA -2° · 77 ft Antolín Matos — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA -30° · 95 ft
Dodgers — Batted Balls
17 BIP· 5 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
338' 395' 346' Quentin Maier — line_out · EV 78 mph · LA +25° · 183 ft Oliver Inman — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -16° · 49 ft Ben Mokiao-Atimalala — error · EV 76 mph · LA +8° · 72 ft Bautista Ochoa — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -7° · 72 ft Jaylen Tiernan — single · EV 76 mph · LA +3° · 72 ft Lenny Eggleston — error · EV 77 mph · LA +8° · 73 ft Dean Gilbert — error · EV 52 mph · LA -4° · 49 ft Lawson Glatch — ground_out · EV 81 mph · LA -11° · 77 ft Oliver Inman — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +51° · 225 ft Ben Mokiao-Atimalala — single · EV 52 mph · LA +15° · 60 ft Bautista Ochoa — single · EV 76 mph · LA +18° · 135 ft Lenny Eggleston — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +4° · 72 ft Colton Swanson — error · EV 56 mph · LA +2° · 53 ft Bautista Ochoa — error · EV 52 mph · LA +19° · 66 ft Tanner Gerardy — single · EV 76 mph · LA +9° · 68 ft Colton Swanson — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +5° · 87 ft Oliver Inman — single · EV 92 mph · LA +11° · 122 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Giants
92% deserve-to-win  ·  11.6 expected runs
actual 15 runs  ·  +3.4 vs expected
contact: 20.7 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 22.0 (+1.3 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 0 CS (+0.8 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Hervé Capdevila 112 / -13° Pull Out 2.0 → 0 -1.97
Raziel Jimenez 112 / +30° Center Home Run 2.2 → 4 +1.75
Stefan Braxton 119 / +30° Pull Home Run 2.9 → 4 +1.07
Devon Horvath 91 / +9° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.81
Brad Galloway 84 / +40° Center Out 0.7 → 0 -0.68
Dodgers
8% deserve-to-win  ·  3.4 expected runs
actual 5 runs  ·  +1.6 vs expected
contact: 5.1 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (-0.1 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Jaylen Tiernan 76 / +3° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.75
Ben Mokiao-Atimalala 52 / +15° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.67
Tanner Gerardy 76 / +9° Center Single 0.5 → 1 +0.53
Bautista Ochoa 76 / +18° Center Single 0.5 → 1 +0.46
Bautista Ochoa 52 / +19° Center Reached on Error 0.4 → 0 -0.42
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