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Berlin Baseball Klub 29, Khovd Police 18                    2046-05-05 · #1564
at Chiwunga Ground
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                        1    R    H    E
Khovd                  18   18   19    0
Berlin                 29   29   21    0

KHOVD POLICE
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Robinson    ss ......    4   2   2   1   0   0   2   1   1   0   0  0.500
Thievon     cf ......    5   2   2   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.400
McClendon   2b ......    6   2   3   2   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.500
Martín      rf ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   1   2   2   0   0  0.333
Kean        lf ......    5   2   3   0   0   0   3   0   1   0   0  0.600
Ranson      c  ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Tarango     3b ......    4   3   2   1   0   1   5   1   0   0   0  0.500
Graterol    p  ......    5   4   4   0   0   1   2   0   1   0   0  0.800
  a-Downs   c  ......    5   2   2   1   0   0   2   0   2   0   0  0.400
Totals                  41  18  19   7   0   2  18   5   9   0   0  0.463
  2B: Robinson (8), Thievon (14), Downs (9), McClendon 2 (18), Martín (12), Tarango (1).
  HR: Tarango (1), off Frías; Graterol (2), off Sojo.
  SB: McClendon (6).
  a-Entered at C in the 7th.

BERLIN BASEBALL KLUB
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Sigourney   lf ......    4   6   4   3   0   1   6   1   0   0   0  1.000
Acuña       p  ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.250
Shelton     rf ......    4   2   1   1   0   0   1   1   2   0   0  0.250
Poling      c  ......    5   1   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.400
Dillingham  2b ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.250
Lyle        1b ......    4   2   2   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Alfonso     cf ......    2   5   2   0   0   1   3   2   0   0   0  1.000
Mesa        ss ......    4   4   3   2   0   1   7   0   1   0   0  0.750
Morgan      3b ......    2   3   1   1   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.500
Besler      j  ......    4   4   3   0   0   1   5   0   0   0   0  0.750
Javed       j  ......    5   1   1   0   0   1   4   0   0   0   0  0.200
Totals                  42  29  21   8   0   5  28   6   8   0   0  0.500
  2B: Sigourney 3 (8), Shelton (4), Lyle (4), Mesa 2 (3), Morgan (3).
  HR: Sigourney (1), off Graterol; Besler (3), off Graterol; Javed (2), off Beers; Alfonso (2), off Beers; Mesa (1), off Beers.
  SB: Poling (2), Alfonso (3).
  HBP: Acuña (3), Besler (2), Morgan (1).


KHOVD POLICE PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Graterol ............    12    6  22%    5    7    6    1    3    2   48    -
Arozarena ...........    15    8  30%    5    6    5    1    1    0   58  1-1
Beers (L) ...........    11    6  22%    4    9    7    2    3    3   44  2-2
Pestano .............    13    7  26%    7    7    7    2    1    0   45  1-0

BERLIN BASEBALL KLUB PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Acuña ...............    14    8  30%    5    5    5    1    2    0   51    -
Shibata .............     8    5  19%    5    3    3    1    1    0   26  2-0
Sojo (W, 1-0) .......    15    9  33%    5    6    5    2    4    1   55  1-0
Frías (F, 16) .......     8    5  19%    3    4    4    1    2    1   29  1-1

  Batting order: Berlin Baseball Klub (home) batted first; Khovd Police batted second.
  First pitch 2:10 PM CET. Weather: 94°F · Wind calm · Clear. seed 56733.
  Walk-Back runs: off Graterol 1, off Arozarena 1, off Beers 2, off Sojo 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 1 Murphy Besler Armondo Sigourney (2B) 0–1
B 1 Murphy Besler Eddie Shelton (1B) 0–2
B 1 Murphy Besler Murphy Besler (HR) 0–3
B 1 Usman Javed Murphy Besler (3B) 0–4
B 6 Armondo Sigourney Yandy Alfonso (2B) 0–5
B 6 Armondo Sigourney Heath Morgan (1B) 0–6
B 6 Armondo Sigourney Armondo Sigourney (HR) 0–7
B 6 Eddie Shelton Armondo Sigourney (3B) 0–8
B 11 Dayán Mesa Dave Poling (3B) 0–9
B 11 Dayán Mesa Lenoir Lyle (2B) 0–10
B 11 Dayán Mesa Yandy Alfonso (1B) 0–11
B 11 Heath Morgan Dayán Mesa (2B) 0–12
B 11 Armondo Sigourney Heath Morgan (2B) 0–13
B 17 Yandy Alfonso Armondo Sigourney (3B) 0–14
B 17 Yandy Alfonso Murphy Besler (2B) 0–15
B 17 Yandy Alfonso Yandy Alfonso (HR) 0–16
B 17 Dayán Mesa Yandy Alfonso (3B) 0–17
B 17 Dayán Mesa Dayán Mesa (HR) 0–18
B 20 Murphy Besler Dayán Mesa (3B) 0–19
B 20 Usman Javed Armondo Sigourney (2B) 0–20
B 20 Usman Javed Murphy Besler (1B) 0–21
B 20 Usman Javed Usman Javed (HR) 0–22
B 23 Dayán Mesa Lenoir Lyle (2B) 0–23
B 23 Dayán Mesa Yandy Alfonso (1B) 0–24
B 23 Armondo Sigourney Dayán Mesa (2B) 0–25
B 23 Armondo Sigourney Heath Morgan (1B) 0–26
B 23 Rougned Acuña Armondo Sigourney (2B) 0–27
B 23 Eddie Shelton Rougned Acuña (1B) 0–28
B 23 Murphy Besler Eddie Shelton (2B) 0–29
T 2 Jon Downs Wilbur McClendon (2B) 1–29
T 2 Wilbur Robinson Jon Downs (2B) 2–29
T 2 Nat Kean Wilbur Robinson (2B) 3–29
T 8 Nat Kean Anthony Graterol (2B) 4–29
T 8 Nat Kean Nat Kean (3B) 5–29
T 11 Wilbur McClendon Anthony Graterol (1B) 6–29
T 12 Bill Martín Junior Thievon (1B) 7–29
T 13 Wilbur Robinson Bill Martín (3B) 8–29
T 22 Henry Tarango Wilbur Robinson (2B) 9–29
T 22 Henry Tarango Henry Tarango (3B) 10–29
T 22 Anthony Graterol Henry Tarango (2B) 11–29
T 22 Anthony Graterol Anthony Graterol (HR) 12–29
T 22 Wilbur McClendon Anthony Graterol (3B) 13–29
T 22 Junior Thievon Wilbur McClendon (2B) 14–29
T 22 Jon Downs Junior Thievon (2B) 15–29
T 25 Henry Tarango Jon Downs (2B) 16–29
T 25 Henry Tarango Nat Kean (1B) 17–29
T 25 Henry Tarango Henry Tarango (HR) 18–29
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Chiwunga Ground's actual outfield dimensions (LF 320' · CF 423' · RF 362' · 10' wall). Balanced.
Crow's Nest
Khovd Police — Batted Balls
28 BIP· 9 1B · 7 XBH · 2 HR
320' 423' 362' Wilbur McClendon — single · EV 100 mph · LA +15° · 201 ft Jon Downs — double · EV 87 mph · LA +29° · 257 ft Wilbur Robinson — double · EV 100 mph · LA +20° · 250 ft Nat Kean — single · EV 97 mph · LA +22° · 266 ft Korey Ranson — line_out · EV 93 mph · LA +16° · 182 ft Henry Tarango — line_out · EV 98 mph · LA +10° · 125 ft Wilbur McClendon — line_out · EV 105 mph · LA +13° · 196 ft Junior Thievon — fly_out · EV 70 mph · LA +38° · 187 ft Nat Kean — single · EV 93 mph · LA +12° · 146 ft Henry Tarango — ground_out · EV 95 mph · LA +4° · 90 ft Anthony Graterol — single · EV 113 mph · LA +12° · 201 ft Bill Martín — double · EV 98 mph · LA +18° · 222 ft Korey Ranson — fly_out · EV 84 mph · LA +31° · 252 ft Wilbur McClendon — double · EV 100 mph · LA +11° · 152 ft Junior Thievon — single · EV 105 mph · LA +15° · 218 ft Wilbur Robinson — single · EV 108 mph · LA +8° · 102 ft Anthony Graterol — infield_single · EV 76 mph · LA +0° · 72 ft Korey Ranson — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA +3° · 84 ft Henry Tarango — double · EV 105 mph · LA +23° · 316 ft Junior Thievon — line_out · EV 85 mph · LA +26° · 224 ft Anthony Graterol — hr · EV 107 mph · LA +27° · 366 ft Korey Ranson — fly_out · EV 88 mph · LA +34° · 287 ft Henry Tarango — hr · EV 110 mph · LA +27° · 386 ft Wilbur McClendon — double · EV 107 mph · LA +24° · 340 ft Junior Thievon — double · EV 94 mph · LA +12° · 143 ft Jon Downs — single · EV 110 mph · LA +5° · 104 ft Nat Kean — single · EV 78 mph · LA +23° · 175 ft Wilbur McClendon — fly_out · EV 87 mph · LA +34° · 283 ft
Berlin Baseball Klub — Batted Balls
30 BIP· 8 1B · 8 XBH · 5 HR
320' 423' 362' Armondo Sigourney — double · EV 100 mph · LA +25° · 306 ft Murphy Besler — hr · EV 112 mph · LA +33° · 455 ft Usman Javed — ground_out · EV 110 mph · LA +9° · 151 ft Dave Poling — single · EV 88 mph · LA +18° · 182 ft Cameron Dillingham — fielders_choice · EV 87 mph · LA -14° · 83 ft Yandy Alfonso — single · EV 119 mph · LA -18° · 113 ft Eddie Shelton — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +31° · 351 ft Heath Morgan — double · EV 114 mph · LA +14° · 234 ft Armondo Sigourney — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +37° · 480 ft Murphy Besler — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA -7° · 80 ft Dave Poling — single · EV 116 mph · LA +8° · 157 ft Lenoir Lyle — single · EV 88 mph · LA -19° · 84 ft Dayán Mesa — double · EV 100 mph · LA +14° · 191 ft Yandy Alfonso — hr · EV 114 mph · LA +32° · 471 ft Armondo Sigourney — double · EV 119 mph · LA +15° · 278 ft Usman Javed — line_out · EV 99 mph · LA +12° · 161 ft Dave Poling — line_out · EV 75 mph · LA +17° · 128 ft Dayán Mesa — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +27° · 459 ft Murphy Besler — single · EV 88 mph · LA -7° · 84 ft Cameron Dillingham — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +9° · 121 ft Usman Javed — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +27° · 457 ft Lenoir Lyle — double · EV 100 mph · LA +20° · 261 ft Dayán Mesa — double · EV 88 mph · LA +23° · 221 ft Armondo Sigourney — double · EV 100 mph · LA +24° · 297 ft Rougned Acuña — single · EV 88 mph · LA -2° · 84 ft Eddie Shelton — double · EV 119 mph · LA +18° · 328 ft Murphy Besler — single · EV 82 mph · LA +11° · 99 ft Cameron Dillingham — single · EV 88 mph · LA +4° · 84 ft Usman Javed — ground_out · EV 87 mph · LA +7° · 83 ft Dave Poling — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA +4° · 84 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Khovd Police
28% deserve-to-win  ·  15.6 expected runs
actual 18 runs  ·  +2.4 vs expected
contact: 27.2 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 31.0 (+3.8 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Anthony Graterol 107 / +27° Pull Home Run 2.1 → 4 +1.93
Jon Downs 87 / +29° Center Double 0.4 → 2 +1.62
Henry Tarango 110 / +27° Pull Home Run 2.4 → 4 +1.62
Wilbur McClendon 105 / +13° Center Out 1.4 → 0 -1.36
Henry Tarango 98 / +10° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.16
Berlin Baseball Klub
72% deserve-to-win  ·  25.4 expected runs
actual 29 runs  ·  +3.6 vs expected
contact: 41.2 est bases + 9 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 44.0 (+2.8 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 0 CS (+0.5 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Eddie Shelton 100 / +31° Center Out 1.4 → 0 -1.44
Usman Javed 110 / +9° Center Out 1.4 → 0 -1.38
Cameron Dillingham 100 / +9° Center Out 1.3 → 0 -1.28
Usman Javed 99 / +12° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.16
Dayán Mesa 88 / +23° Pull Double 1.0 → 2 +0.99
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