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Hermosillo BC 8, Panevėžys Bottling Co. 7                   2046-05-06 · #1603
at Sarraf Park
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                        1    R    H    E
Hermosillo              8    8    7    1
Panevėžys               7    7    7    1

HERMOSILLO BC
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Pirela      2b ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Sharipov    ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Lenis   ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Gallatin    3b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Fleishman   1b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Sin     ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Corozo      c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Lannoy      lf ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Watling     cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Norris  pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  d-Profar  pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  e-Blake   pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  f-Tang    c  ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
  g-Anthony ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  h-Kretsch ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  i-Jackson ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  j-Bracken ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  k-Gill    pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Salinas     j  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
O'Malley    j  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Strachan    j  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.500
Totals                  29   8   7   1   0   0   8   7   6   0   0  0.241
  2B: Tang (6).
  SB: Tang (2).
  E: Sharipov (1).
  GIDP: Corozo (2).
  a-Grounded out for Sharipov in the 5th.
  b-Grounded out for Fleishman in the 7th.
  c-Ran for Watling in the 6th.
  d-Ran for Anthony in the 5th.
  e-Ran for Lenis in the 5th.
  f-Entered at C in the 7th.
  g-Walked in the 5th.
  h-Batted for Tang in the 6th.
  i-Grounded out in the 7th.
  j-Singled for Profar in the 9th.
  k-Ran in the 9th.

PANEVĖŽYS BOTTLING CO.
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Cunha       lf ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  0.000
Turnbow     1b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Rojas       p  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Barten      rf ......    3   1   2   1   0   1   4   0   1   0   0  0.667
McCullough  ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Eakin       cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.000
Galvis      2b ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Hansen-Dent 3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Gregory     c  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Saul        j  ......    3   2   2   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.667
Faga        j  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Totals                  26   7   7   2   0   1   7   7   6   0   0  0.269
  2B: Barten (8), Saul (10).
  HR: Barten (2), off Clement.
  E: Rojas (1).
  GIDP: Turnbow (2), Rojas (1), Eakin (2), Gregory (3).


HERMOSILLO BC PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Clement (W, 7-0) ....    30   24  89%    7    7    4    7    6    1  115    -
Motohashi ...........     3    3  11%    0    0    0    0    0    0   10    -

PANEVĖŽYS BOTTLING CO. PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Rojas ...............    18   13  48%    3    4    1    3    4    0   67    -
Shipley (L, 0-1) ....    17   12  44%    3    4    4    4    2    0   61  2-1

  Batting order: Panevėžys Bottling Co. (home) batted first; Hermosillo BC batted second.
  First pitch 2:10 PM. Weather: 76°F · Wind calm · Overcast · Heavy rain. seed 493150.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 2 Tyderick Barten Hanley Rojas (1B) 0–1
B 11 Tyderick Barten Júnior Galvis (3B) 0–2
B 11 Tyderick Barten Logan Gregory (2B) 0–3
B 11 Tyderick Barten Tyderick Barten (HR) 0–4
B 17 Diego Turnbow Tavierre Saul (3B) 0–5
B 21 Tavierre Saul Nicholas Cunha (2B) 0–6
B 22 Kent Eakin Tavierre Saul (3B) 0–7
T 0 Wenhao Tang Warren Salinas (1B) 1–7
T 11 Stuart Fleishman Mitchell O'Malley (3B) 2–7
T 12 Fernando de Lannoy Soane Strachan (3B) 3–7
T 12 Mateo Lenis Rafael Pirela (3B) 4–7
T 13 Troy Gallatin Don Blake (2B) 5–7
T 15 Soane Strachan Fernando de Lannoy (3B) 6–7
T 24 Collin Brackens Vihaan Gill (3B) 7–7
T 25 Mitchell O'Malley Juan Norris (3B) 8–7
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Sarraf Park's actual outfield dimensions (LF 335' · CF 430' · RF 314' · 41' wall). Balanced.
Tal's Hill Knothole Gates
Hermosillo BC — Batted Balls
20 BIP· 5 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
335' 430' 314' Wall 41' Wenhao Tang — double · EV 94 mph · LA +25° · 269 ft Rafael Pirela — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +37° · 325 ft Ángel Corozo — double_play · EV 80 mph · LA +0° · 76 ft Fernando de Lannoy — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +29° · 288 ft Alen Sharipov — error · EV 63 mph · LA +6° · 60 ft Troy Gallatin — line_out · EV 54 mph · LA +18° · 70 ft Mitchell O'Malley — fielders_choice · EV 63 mph · LA +2° · 60 ft Stuart Fleishman — single · EV 76 mph · LA +10° · 76 ft Mateo Lenis — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA +1° · 72 ft Logan Kretschman — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +11° · 88 ft Denis Jackson — fielders_choice · EV 58 mph · LA +8° · 55 ft Collin Brackens — single · EV 76 mph · LA +16° · 120 ft Fernando de Lannoy — single · EV 76 mph · LA +14° · 106 ft Troy Gallatin — ground_out · EV 62 mph · LA -12° · 59 ft Mitchell O'Malley — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +17° · 127 ft Rafael Pirela — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +39° · 330 ft Logan Kretschman — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +36° · 220 ft Fernando de Lannoy — fly_out · EV 77 mph · LA +31° · 210 ft Troy Gallatin — single · EV 92 mph · LA +20° · 219 ft Mitchell O'Malley — single · EV 62 mph · LA +25° · 120 ft
Panevėžys Bottling Co. — Batted Balls
18 BIP· 4 1B · 2 XBH · 1 HR
335' 430' 314' Wall 41' Diego Turnbow — fly_out · EV 77 mph · LA +41° · 234 ft Tyderick Barten — double · EV 99 mph · LA +46° · 388 ft Mackenzie Faga — ground_out · EV 93 mph · LA +6° · 89 ft Júnior Galvis — fielders_choice · EV 97 mph · LA +5° · 92 ft Logan Gregory — single · EV 76 mph · LA -24° · 72 ft Kent Eakin — line_out · EV 82 mph · LA +17° · 150 ft Diego Turnbow — double_play · EV 62 mph · LA +2° · 58 ft Tyderick Barten — hr · EV 111 mph · LA +45° · 480 ft Tavierre Saul — single · EV 85 mph · LA +22° · 200 ft Mackenzie Faga — error · EV 92 mph · LA +13° · 154 ft Logan Gregory — double_play · EV 57 mph · LA +5° · 54 ft Hanley Rojas — double_play · EV 72 mph · LA -11° · 69 ft Kent Eakin — double_play · EV 66 mph · LA -3° · 63 ft Júnior Galvis — ground_out · EV 96 mph · LA -8° · 91 ft Butch Hansen-Dent — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +35° · 218 ft Diego Turnbow — single · EV 84 mph · LA +11° · 108 ft Tavierre Saul — double · EV 89 mph · LA +30° · 271 ft Mackenzie Faga — single · EV 92 mph · LA +15° · 171 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Hermosillo BC
37% deserve-to-win  ·  7.4 expected runs
actual 8 runs  ·  +0.6 vs expected
contact: 9.5 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 7.0 (-2.5 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Wenhao Tang 94 / +25° Pull Double 0.8 → 2 +1.21
Rafael Pirela 92 / +37° Pull Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Rafael Pirela 92 / +39° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Mitchell O'Malley 62 / +25° Pull Single 0.2 → 1 +0.81
Fernando de Lannoy 92 / +29° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.79
Panevėžys Bottling Co.
63% deserve-to-win  ·  9.7 expected runs
actual 7 runs  ·  -2.7 vs expected
contact: 12.9 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 12.0 (-0.9 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Tavierre Saul 89 / +30° Center Double 0.8 → 2 +1.21
Mackenzie Faga 92 / +13° Oppo Reached on Error 0.9 → 0 -0.86
Logan Gregory 76 / -24° Pull Single 0.2 → 1 +0.76
Kent Eakin 82 / +17° Center Out 0.7 → 0 -0.70
Júnior Galvis 97 / +5° Pull Out 0.5 → 0 -0.51
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