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Thessaloniki Police 28, Tynda Police 20                     2046-05-06 · #1604
at Twilight Field
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Thessaloniki           28      0   28   22    0
Tynda                  20      0   20   15    1

THESSALONIKI POLICE
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Levering    ss ......    5   6   5   4   0   1   5   1   0   0   0  1.000
Barron      3b ......    6   5   6   1   0   1   6   0   0   0   0  1.000
Stanton     c  ......    6   1   2   1   0   0   2   0   2   0   0  0.333
Liz         1b ......    5   3   3   3   0   0   3   1   0   0   0  0.600
Rainey      cf ......    3   3   0   0   0   0   0   3   2   0   0  0.000
Cure        lf ......    4   3   1   1   0   0   2   2   1   1   0  0.250
Gourriel    rf ......    6   3   2   1   0   1   6   0   3   0   0  0.333
Alarcón     2b ......    6   2   2   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Machís      p  ......    5   2   1   1   0   0   2   1   1   0   0  0.200
Totals                  46  28  22  12   0   3  27   8  10   1   0  0.478
  2B: Levering 4 (20), Barron (17), Stanton (15), Liz 3 (7), Cure (6), Gourriel (10), Machís (2).
  HR: Levering (8), off Chesnokov; Barron (6), off Kuzyayev; Gourriel (2), off Bezus.
  SB: Barron (3), Alarcón (6).
  CS: Levering (6), Barron (1).


TYNDA POLICE
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Jonesov     rf ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.000
Han         2b ......    2   2   2   1   0   0   2   2   0   0   0  1.000
Komatsu     lf ......    4   3   2   0   0   1   3   1   2   0   0  0.500
Keramidas   3b ......    4   4   2   0   0   1   3   0   1   0   0  0.500
Chesnokov   p  ......    2   2   1   1   0   0   2   1   1   0   1  0.500
Cherkasov   ss ......    4   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.250
Berger      1b ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Daly        cf ......    4   2   2   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.500
  a-Derepas ss ......    4   4   3   1   0   1   5   0   0   0   0  0.750
Nelson      j  ......    6   1   2   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Totals                  37  20  15   4   0   3  19   5  13   0   1  0.405
  2B: Han (8), Derepasko (1), Chesnokov (1), Cherkasov (3).
  HR: Derepasko (1), off Machís; Komatsu (3), off Ramón; Keramidas (6), off Ramón.
  CS: Han (5), Nelson (4).
  E: Han (4).
  HBP: Keramidas (1).
  a-Entered at SS in the 7th.

THESSALONIKI POLICE PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Machís (W, 5-1) .....    22   14  52%    8   10   10    3    7    1   97    -
Ramón ...............    16    9  33%    6    9    6    2    5    2   57  1-1
Robinson (F, 7) .....     4    4  15%    0    1    1    0    1    0   14  1-1

TYNDA POLICE PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Chesnokov ...........     7    4  15%    4    2    1    0    1    1   20    -
Kuzyayev ............     7    6  22%    2    3    3    1    3    1   27  2-1
Alexandrova .........     9    4  15%    4    4    3    2    1    0   34  1-1
Ledovskikh ..........     8    3  11%    3    5    5    2    2    0   37  2-2
Bezus (L, 0-1) ......     6    2   7%    3    6    6    2    0    1   19  2-2
Brown ...............     6    0   0%    4    6    6    1    0    0   18  1-1
Acker ...............    10    8  30%    2    2    2    0    3    0   34  1-1

  Batting order: Tynda Police (home) batted second; Thessaloniki Police batted first.
  Seconds: TP o24 (28-0), TP1 o25 (20-28).
  First pitch 5:00 PM YAKT. Weather: 70°F · Wind calm · Clear · Humid. seed 306810.
  Walk-Back runs: off Ramón 3, off Chesnokov 1, off Alexandrova 1, off Brown 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 0 Jacob Levering Jacob Levering (HR) 1–0
T 0 Kevin Barron Jacob Levering (3B) 2–0
T 3 Tristan Cure Kevin Barron (3B) 3–0
T 7 Kevin Barron Tristan Cure (3B) 4–0
T 7 Kevin Barron Kevin Barron (HR) 5–0
T 7 Roger Stanton Kevin Barron (3B) 6–0
T 11 Ruben Machís Junior Liz (2B) 7–0
T 11 Ruben Machís Liona Rainey (1B) 8–0
T 11 Jacob Levering Ruben Machís (2B) 9–0
T 13 Tristan Cure Jacob Levering (3B) 10–0
T 13 Kendrys Gourriel Kevin Barron (3B) 11–0
T 13 Kendrys Gourriel Liona Rainey (2B) 12–0
T 13 Leonys Alarcón Tristan Cure (3B) 13–0
T 14 Jacob Levering Kendrys Gourriel (3B) 14–0
T 14 Kevin Barron Leonys Alarcón (3B) 15–0
T 16 Junior Liz Jacob Levering (3B) 16–0
T 16 Kendrys Gourriel Junior Liz (3B) 17–0
T 16 Kendrys Gourriel Liona Rainey (2B) 18–0
T 16 Kendrys Gourriel Tristan Cure (1B) 19–0
T 16 Kendrys Gourriel Kendrys Gourriel (HR) 20–0
T 16 Jacob Levering Kendrys Gourriel (3B) 21–0
T 16 Jacob Levering Leonys Alarcón (2B) 22–0
T 16 Kevin Barron Ruben Machís (3B) 23–0
T 16 Roger Stanton Jacob Levering (3B) 24–0
T 16 Junior Liz Kevin Barron (2B) 25–0
T 16 Junior Liz Roger Stanton (1B) 26–0
T 21 Kevin Barron Junior Liz (3B) 27–0
T 21 Roger Stanton Jacob Levering (3B) 28–0
B 2 Seung-gi Han Yūto Komatsu (2B) 28–1
B 3 Anatoli Cherkasov Panagiotis Keramidas (3B) 28–2
B 6 Nick Daly Seung-gi Han (3B) 28–3
B 7 Evgueni Derepasko Nick Daly (1B) 28–4
B 8 Panagiotis Keramidas Evgueni Derepasko (3B) 28–5
B 8 Seung-gi Han Panagiotis Keramidas (1B) 28–6
B 9 Anatoli Cherkasov Grigori Chesnokov (1B) 28–7
B 12 Evgueni Derepasko Anatoli Cherkasov (3B) 28–8
B 12 Evgueni Derepasko Jonathan Berger (2B) 28–9
B 12 Evgueni Derepasko Evgueni Derepasko (HR) 28–10
B 17 Maxime Jonesov Evgueni Derepasko (3B) 28–11
B 19 Evgueni Derepasko Nick Daly (2B) 28–12
B 19 Yūto Komatsu Josiah Nelson (2B) 28–13
B 19 Yūto Komatsu Evgueni Derepasko (1B) 28–14
B 19 Yūto Komatsu Yūto Komatsu (HR) 28–15
B 19 Panagiotis Keramidas Yūto Komatsu (3B) 28–16
B 19 Panagiotis Keramidas Panagiotis Keramidas (HR) 28–17
B 19 Grigori Chesnokov Panagiotis Keramidas (3B) 28–18
B 19 Grigori Chesnokov Seung-gi Han (1B) 28–19
B 23 Josiah Nelson Grigori Chesnokov (3B) 28–20
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Twilight Field's actual outfield dimensions (LF 270' · CF 419' · RF 319' · 28' wall). Short Porch (Left).
Hand-Operated Scoreboard Tal's Hill
Thessaloniki Police — Batted Balls
33 BIP· 8 1B · 12 XBH · 3 HR
270' 419' 319' Wall 28' Jacob Levering — hr · EV 103 mph · LA +35° · 395 ft Kevin Barron — double · EV 110 mph · LA +24° · 360 ft Roger Stanton — fly_out · EV 97 mph · LA +23° · 270 ft Junior Liz — double · EV 93 mph · LA +27° · 277 ft Tristan Cure — single · EV 89 mph · LA -14° · 85 ft Ruben Machís — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +24° · 172 ft Tristan Cure — double · EV 76 mph · LA +49° · 228 ft Kevin Barron — hr · EV 114 mph · LA +45° · 480 ft Roger Stanton — double · EV 92 mph · LA +29° · 291 ft Leonys Alarcón — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +38° · 330 ft Ruben Machís — double · EV 92 mph · LA +26° · 270 ft Jacob Levering — double · EV 94 mph · LA +18° · 204 ft Junior Liz — line_out · EV 83 mph · LA +14° · 131 ft Liona Rainey — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +33° · 210 ft Kevin Barron — single · EV 84 mph · LA +24° · 210 ft Kendrys Gourriel — double · EV 90 mph · LA +21° · 212 ft Leonys Alarcón — single · EV 92 mph · LA +9° · 101 ft Jacob Levering — double · EV 101 mph · LA +28° · 340 ft Junior Liz — double · EV 88 mph · LA +40° · 304 ft Tristan Cure — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +5° · 73 ft Kevin Barron — single · EV 106 mph · LA +7° · 100 ft Kendrys Gourriel — hr · EV 103 mph · LA +42° · 423 ft Leonys Alarcón — error · EV 79 mph · LA +19° · 151 ft Jacob Levering — double · EV 92 mph · LA +37° · 326 ft Junior Liz — double · EV 93 mph · LA +12° · 144 ft Kevin Barron — single · EV 98 mph · LA +16° · 206 ft Roger Stanton — single · EV 82 mph · LA +10° · 90 ft Leonys Alarcón — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +18° · 133 ft Jacob Levering — double · EV 96 mph · LA +32° · 332 ft Junior Liz — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +25° · 178 ft Kevin Barron — single · EV 83 mph · LA +23° · 202 ft Kendrys Gourriel — fly_out · EV 58 mph · LA +35° · 125 ft Leonys Alarcón — single · EV 107 mph · LA +9° · 148 ft
Tynda Police — Batted Balls
20 BIP· 7 1B · 4 XBH · 3 HR
270' 419' 319' Wall 28' Seung-gi Han — single · EV 100 mph · LA +26° · 314 ft Nick Daly — single · EV 80 mph · LA -12° · 76 ft Evgueni Derepasko — double · EV 100 mph · LA +23° · 292 ft Panagiotis Keramidas — single · EV 100 mph · LA -0° · 95 ft Seung-gi Han — double · EV 119 mph · LA +12° · 239 ft Anatoli Cherkasov — double · EV 100 mph · LA +43° · 399 ft Evgueni Derepasko — hr · EV 117 mph · LA +30° · 475 ft Panagiotis Keramidas — line_out · EV 95 mph · LA +22° · 252 ft Grigori Chesnokov — double · EV 97 mph · LA +46° · 374 ft Maxime Jonesov — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA -8° · 87 ft Nick Daly — single · EV 88 mph · LA +7° · 84 ft Evgueni Derepasko — single · EV 84 mph · LA -14° · 80 ft Yūto Komatsu — hr · EV 117 mph · LA +41° · 480 ft Panagiotis Keramidas — hr · EV 105 mph · LA +30° · 385 ft Jonathan Berger — line_out · EV 88 mph · LA +14° · 145 ft Josiah Nelson — ground_out · EV 91 mph · LA -8° · 86 ft Anatoli Cherkasov — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA +10° · 79 ft Yūto Komatsu — single · EV 76 mph · LA +17° · 132 ft Josiah Nelson — single · EV 81 mph · LA -23° · 77 ft Josiah Nelson — ground_out · EV 107 mph · LA +6° · 101 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Thessaloniki Police
70% deserve-to-win  ·  19.3 expected runs
actual 28 runs  ·  +8.7 vs expected
contact: 31.9 est bases + 8 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 43.0 (+11.1 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 2 CS (-0.9 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Tristan Cure 76 / +49° Pull Double 0.1 → 2 +1.91
Jacob Levering 103 / +35° Center Home Run 2.1 → 4 +1.88
Kendrys Gourriel 103 / +42° Pull Home Run 2.5 → 4 +1.48
Junior Liz 88 / +40° Center Double 0.7 → 2 +1.33
Roger Stanton 97 / +23° Pull Out 1.3 → 0 -1.32
Tynda Police
30% deserve-to-win  ·  12.6 expected runs
actual 20 runs  ·  +7.4 vs expected
contact: 24.2 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 27.0 (+2.8 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 2 CS (-1.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Panagiotis Keramidas 105 / +30° Oppo Home Run 2.1 → 4 +1.93
Panagiotis Keramidas 95 / +22° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.01
Evgueni Derepasko 117 / +30° Oppo Home Run 3.0 → 4 +0.96
Jonathan Berger 88 / +14° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.86
Nick Daly 80 / -12° Oppo Single 0.2 → 1 +0.76
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