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Tynda Police 37, Yagodnoye Sharks 2                         2046-05-10 · #1803
at Twilight Field
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                        1    R    H    E
Yagodnoye               2    2    2    0
Tynda                  37   37   29    0

YAGODNOYE SHARKS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Mukhin      3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   1  0.000
Terrell     2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Danilina    cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Nembhardov  1b ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Efremova    c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Chalova     lf ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Mdletshe    ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Blinkova    p  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   1   .000
  a-Bautist c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Aalto       j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Fedorov     j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Lapushchenk j  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Totals                  21   2   2   0   0   0   1   6   6   0   2  0.095
  SB: Nembhardov (3).
  CS: Lapushchenkova (5).
  HBP: Bautista (1).
  GIDP: Aalto 2 (4), Efremova 3 (7).
  a-Entered at C in the 7th.

TYNDA POLICE
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Novikov     c  ......    5   2   1   0   0   0   1   1   2   0   0  0.200
Komatsu     lf ......    6   6   5   2   0   2   7   0   1   0   0  0.833
Han         2b ......    6   4   5   3   1   0   6   0   1   0   0  0.833
Derepasko   1b ......    6   3   3   0   1   1   4   0   1   0   0  0.500
Bondarenko  3b ......    5   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.200
Motiejūnas  cf ......    5   4   2   0   0   1   4   1   1   0   0  0.400
Cherkasov   ss ......    3   5   2   1   0   0   1   2   0   0   0  0.667
Kobori      p  ......    4   4   3   0   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.750
  a-Keramid ph ......    5   6   4   1   0   2   6   0   0   0   0  0.800
Nelson      j  ......    4   3   3   2   0   0   6   1   0   1   0  0.750
Totals                  49  37  29   9   2   6  37   7   8   1   0  0.592
  2B: Komatsu 2 (12), Han 3 (11), Nelson 2 (3), Keramidas (14), Cherkasov (4).
  3B: Han (2), Derepasko (1).
  HR: Komatsu 2 (5), off Huang, Kurbanov; Derepasko (5), off Bautista; Motiejūnas (1), off Kurbanov; Keramidas 2 (9), off Blinkova, Mitchell.
  SB: Komatsu (4), Han (3), Kobori (2).
  CS: Komatsu (3), Bondarenko (2).
  HBP: Keramidas (2), Cherkasov (1).
  a-Batted for Nelson in the 2nd.

YAGODNOYE SHARKS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Blinkova ............     8    3  11%    4    5    5    1    1    1   18    -
Huang ...............     8    3  11%    4    6    5    3    1    1   37  1-0
Mitchell (L, 1-3) ...    13    7  26%    6    7    6    2    2    1   39  1-1
Kurbanov ............     7    2   7%    5    7    6    0    1    2   18  1-1
Sieglerov ...........    13    7  26%    6    7    6    1    1    0   45  1-1
Bautista ............     9    5  19%    4    5    4    0    2    1   29    -

TYNDA POLICE PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Kobori (W, 2-0) .....    26   27 100%    2    2    2    6    6    0  120    -

  Batting order: Tynda Police (home) batted first; Yagodnoye Sharks batted second.
  First pitch 6:30 PM YAKT. Weather: 66°F · Wind out · Overcast. seed 79375.
  Walk-Back runs: off Huang 1, off Mitchell 1, off Kurbanov 1, off Sieglerov 1, off Bautista 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 1 Seung-gi Han Yūto Komatsu (2B) 0–1
B 3 Josiah Nelson Seung-gi Han (2B) 0–2
B 3 Panagiotis Keramidas Edgaras Motiejūnas (2B) 0–3
B 3 Panagiotis Keramidas Josiah Nelson (1B) 0–4
B 3 Panagiotis Keramidas Panagiotis Keramidas (HR) 0–5
B 4 Yūto Komatsu Anatoli Cherkasov (3B) 0–6
B 4 Yūto Komatsu Kaichi Kobori (2B) 0–7
B 4 Yūto Komatsu Valery Novikov (1B) 0–8
B 4 Yūto Komatsu Yūto Komatsu (HR) 0–9
B 4 Seung-gi Han Yūto Komatsu (3B) 0–10
B 5 Edgaras Motiejūnas Seung-gi Han (3B) 0–11
B 6 Panagiotis Keramidas Edgaras Motiejūnas (1B) 0–12
B 6 Panagiotis Keramidas Panagiotis Keramidas (HR) 0–13
B 6 Josiah Nelson Panagiotis Keramidas (3B) 0–14
B 8 Valery Novikov Anatoli Cherkasov (2B) 0–15
B 10 Evgueni Derepasko Valery Novikov (3B) 0–16
B 13 Josiah Nelson Panagiotis Keramidas (2B) 0–17
B 13 Josiah Nelson Anatoli Cherkasov (1B) 0–18
B 13 Kaichi Kobori Josiah Nelson (2B) 0–19
B 14 Yūto Komatsu Kaichi Kobori (1B) 0–20
B 14 Yūto Komatsu Yūto Komatsu (HR) 0–21
B 14 Seung-gi Han Yūto Komatsu (3B) 0–22
B 14 Evgueni Derepasko Seung-gi Han (2B) 0–23
B 15 Edgaras Motiejūnas Evgueni Derepasko (2B) 0–24
B 15 Edgaras Motiejūnas Edgaras Motiejūnas (HR) 0–25
B 15 Panagiotis Keramidas Edgaras Motiejūnas (3B) 0–26
B 15 Anatoli Cherkasov Panagiotis Keramidas (2B) 0–27
B 15 Kaichi Kobori Anatoli Cherkasov (2B) 0–28
B 17 Seung-gi Han Josiah Nelson (3B) 0–29
B 17 Seung-gi Han Kaichi Kobori (2B) 0–30
B 21 Josiah Nelson Panagiotis Keramidas (3B) 0–31
B 21 Josiah Nelson Anatoli Cherkasov (1B) 0–32
B 23 Yūto Komatsu Kaichi Kobori (1B) 0–33
B 23 Seung-gi Han Yūto Komatsu (3B) 0–34
B 23 Evgueni Derepasko Seung-gi Han (1B) 0–35
B 23 Evgueni Derepasko Evgueni Derepasko (HR) 0–36
B 24 Edgaras Motiejūnas Evgueni Derepasko (3B) 0–37
T 7 Evgeny Mukhin Avery Nembhardov (3B) 1–37
T 10 Avery Nembhardov Taras Chalova (3B) 2–37
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Twilight Field's actual outfield dimensions (LF 270' · CF 419' · RF 319' · 28' wall). Short Porch (Left).
Hand-Operated Scoreboard Tal's Hill
Yagodnoye Sharks — Batted Balls
10 BIP· 2 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
270' 419' 319' Wall 28' Anton Efremova — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA -3° · 49 ft Eemil Aalto — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA -18° · 49 ft Mikhail Lapushchenkova — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -18° · 49 ft Taras Chalova — single · EV 76 mph · LA -1° · 72 ft Magomed Danilina — ground_out · EV 56 mph · LA -11° · 54 ft Anton Efremova — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA -20° · 49 ft Eemil Aalto — double_play · EV 60 mph · LA +18° · 87 ft Mikhail Lapushchenkova — single · EV 76 mph · LA +9° · 72 ft Taras Chalova — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -18° · 49 ft Anton Efremova — double_play · EV 56 mph · LA -20° · 53 ft
Tynda Police — Batted Balls
41 BIP· 12 1B · 11 XBH · 6 HR
270' 419' 319' Wall 28' Yūto Komatsu — double · EV 100 mph · LA +12° · 167 ft Seung-gi Han — double · EV 99 mph · LA +24° · 296 ft Evgueni Derepasko — fly_out · EV 88 mph · LA +28° · 254 ft Josiah Nelson — single · EV 100 mph · LA -16° · 95 ft Panagiotis Keramidas — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +28° · 468 ft Anatoli Cherkasov — single · EV 88 mph · LA -9° · 84 ft Edgaras Motiejūnas — single · EV 90 mph · LA -16° · 86 ft Kaichi Kobori — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA +8° · 84 ft Yūto Komatsu — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +40° · 480 ft Seung-gi Han — triple · EV 100 mph · LA +12° · 159 ft Panagiotis Keramidas — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +37° · 480 ft Josiah Nelson — ground_out · EV 97 mph · LA -5° · 92 ft Valery Novikov — single · EV 119 mph · LA +9° · 181 ft Evgeni Bondarenko — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA -6° · 87 ft Kaichi Kobori — single · EV 100 mph · LA +6° · 95 ft Anatoli Cherkasov — double · EV 88 mph · LA +16° · 163 ft Yūto Komatsu — single · EV 97 mph · LA +15° · 185 ft Evgueni Derepasko — triple · EV 114 mph · LA +17° · 292 ft Panagiotis Keramidas — single · EV 100 mph · LA +6° · 95 ft Josiah Nelson — double · EV 113 mph · LA +23° · 367 ft Evgeni Bondarenko — ground_out · EV 85 mph · LA +4° · 81 ft Edgaras Motiejūnas — hr · EV 116 mph · LA +30° · 465 ft Kaichi Kobori — single · EV 111 mph · LA +10° · 164 ft Anatoli Cherkasov — line_out · EV 119 mph · LA -17° · 113 ft Yūto Komatsu — hr · EV 100 mph · LA +30° · 348 ft Seung-gi Han — double · EV 100 mph · LA +13° · 178 ft Evgueni Derepasko — single · EV 100 mph · LA -15° · 95 ft Panagiotis Keramidas — double · EV 118 mph · LA +16° · 285 ft Valery Novikov — line_out · EV 100 mph · LA +14° · 193 ft Evgeni Bondarenko — single · EV 116 mph · LA +7° · 110 ft Edgaras Motiejūnas — line_out · EV 96 mph · LA +12° · 153 ft Josiah Nelson — double · EV 100 mph · LA +16° · 214 ft Kaichi Kobori — single · EV 89 mph · LA +5° · 85 ft Josiah Nelson — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -4° · 84 ft Seung-gi Han — double · EV 100 mph · LA +18° · 237 ft Evgueni Derepasko — ground_out · EV 75 mph · LA +2° · 71 ft Edgaras Motiejūnas — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA -10° · 95 ft Panagiotis Keramidas — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA -14° · 95 ft Yūto Komatsu — double · EV 100 mph · LA +17° · 225 ft Seung-gi Han — single · EV 100 mph · LA +7° · 95 ft Evgueni Derepasko — hr · EV 94 mph · LA +31° · 315 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Yagodnoye Sharks
0% deserve-to-win  ·  1.6 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  +0.4 vs expected
contact: 2.3 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 2.0 (-0.3 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Taras Chalova 76 / -1° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Mikhail Lapushchenkova 76 / +9° Center Single 0.5 → 1 +0.50
Eemil Aalto 60 / +18° Center Double Play 0.5 → 0 -0.49
Eemil Aalto 52 / -18° Center Double Play 0.1 → 0 -0.15
Mikhail Lapushchenkova 52 / -18° Pull Out 0.1 → 0 -0.15
Tynda Police
100% deserve-to-win  ·  29.6 expected runs
actual 37 runs  ·  +7.4 vs expected
contact: 47.8 est bases + 9 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 59.0 (+11.2 on contact)
running: 3 SB · 2 CS (-0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Evgueni Derepasko 94 / +31° Pull Home Run 0.8 → 4 +3.21
Yūto Komatsu 100 / +30° Pull Home Run 1.4 → 4 +2.56
Seung-gi Han 100 / +12° Pull Triple 1.3 → 3 +1.72
Valery Novikov 100 / +14° Pull Out 1.3 → 0 -1.28
Evgueni Derepasko 114 / +17° Pull Triple 1.8 → 3 +1.25
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