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Stars 15, Astros 3                                           2026-06-12 · #761
at Meadow Stadium
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                        1    R    H    E
Nashville              15   15   13    0
Houston                 3    3    8    0

STARS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Cooper      lf ......    3   2   2   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.667
Sappington  c  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Cantey  ph ......    2   4   2   1   0   0   2   2   0   0   0  1.000
Fusano      2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Karouan ph ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Mulloy      3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Gamboa  pr ......    2   2   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.500
Hansen      rf ......    5   2   1   0   0   0   3   0   1   0   0  0.200
Spence      ss ......    5   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.200
Boattin     cf ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   3   0   0  0.000
Gayton      1b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Gaubert pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Falcao      p  ......    3   2   1   0   0   1   3   0   1   0   1  0.333
  e-Caballe pr ......    2   2   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   1  0.500
  f-Burani  ph ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Totals                  35  15  13   3   0   1  14   5  10   0   2  0.371
  2B: Karouani (15), Cantey (21), Caballero (6).
  HR: Falcao (1), off Salzenstein.
  SB: Cooper (9), Gamboa (3).
  a-Batted for Sappington in the 5th.
  b-Doubled for Fusano in the 5th.
  c-Ran for Mulloy in the 4th.
  d-Ran for Gayton in the 3rd.
  e-Ran for Karouani in the 5th.
  f-Batted in the 6th.

ASTROS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Hoffken     3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Carrington  p  ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Wiesner pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Braun       ss ......    4   1   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Patridge    cf ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.250
Takada      lf ......    3   1   2   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.667
Morales     1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Thom        c  ......    3   0   2   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.667
  b-Colón   pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Gómez       2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Humphreys   rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  c-Rivas   ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  30   3   8   2   0   0   3   2   6   0   0  0.267
  2B: Carrington (3), Thom (3).
  SB: Gómez (1).
  GIDP: Morales 2 (4), Gómez (4).
  a-Ran for Carrington in the 3rd.
  b-Ran for Thom in the 7th.
  c-Grounded out in the 6th.

STARS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT    P P/BF    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR   IR
Falcao (W, 3-3) .....    14   13   45  3.2    4    2    2    1    1    0    -
Faríñez .............    14   11   48  3.4    2    1    1    1    4    0    -
Langenfeld ..........     3    3   10  3.3    1    0    0    0    1    0  2-0

ASTROS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT    P P/BF    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR   IR
Carrington ..........    15   13   58  3.9    4    2    2    2    5    0    -
Vildoza .............     4    0    6  1.5    3    3    3    1    0    0  1-0
Salzenstein (L, 0-4)      6    4   15  2.5    2    5    5    1    1    1  2-2
Fenty ...............    13    8   48  3.7    4    4    4    1    3    0  1-1
Cifuentes ...........     2    2    7  3.5    0    1    1    0    1    0  2-1

STARS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Falcao (Outs 1-13) → Faríñez (Outs 14-24) → Langenfeld (Outs 25-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Sappington (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Gayton (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Fusano (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Mulloy (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Spence (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Cooper (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Boattin (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Hansen (Outs 1-27)

ASTROS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Carrington (Outs 1-13) → Salzenstein (Outs 14-17) → Fenty (Outs 18-25) → Cifuentes (Outs 26-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Thom (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Morales (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Gómez (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Hoffken (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Braun (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Takada (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Patridge (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Humphreys (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Astros (home) batted second; Stars batted first.
  First pitch 7:10 PM CT. Weather: 84°F · Wind cross · Overcast · Humid. seed 820197.
  Powerplays: Astros — Rivas NF
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 1.78    Peak faced 39.00
    27 outs left: 1.78
    18 outs left: 2.33
     9 outs left: 4.67
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
T 6 Edwin Gayton Wallace Sappington (3B) 1–0 —
T 13 Khosilot El Karouani Manuel Gamboa (3B) 2–0 —
T 13 Bruno Cooper Tony Caballero (2B) 3–0 —
T 13 Bruno Cooper Oliver Cantey (3B) 4–0 —
T 13 Oliver Cantey Bruno Cooper (3B) 5–0 —
T 13 Tony Caballero Bruno Cooper (3B) 6–0 —
T 14 Bradley Hansen Oliver Cantey (2B) 7–0 —
T 17 Hugo Falcao Manuel Gamboa (3B) 8–0 —
T 17 Hugo Falcao Bradley Hansen (2B) 9–0 —
T 17 Hugo Falcao Hugo Falcao (HR) 10–0 —
T 19 Bradley Hansen Hugo Falcao (3B) 11–0 —
T 21 Pepe Boattin Oliver Cantey (2B) 12–0 —
T 25 Oliver Cantey Bradley Hansen (3B) 13–0 —
T 25 Manuel Gamboa Oliver Cantey (3B) 14–0 —
T 25 Bradley Hansen Tony Caballero (3B) 15–0 —
B 7 Zane Wiesner Masamichi Takada (3B) 15–1 2.25
B 9 Masamichi Takada Zane Wiesner (2B) 15–2 2.33
B 21 Iapani Thom Brayan Braun (1B) 15–3 6.50
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 1.78
Peak faced 39.00
27 outs left 1.78
18 outs left 2.33
9 outs left 4.67
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Meadow Stadium's actual outfield dimensions (LF 374' · CF 430' · RF 367' · 8' wall). The Hourglass.
Hand-Operated Scoreboard Ivy Wall
Stars — Batted Balls
24 BIP· 9 1B · 3 XBH · 1 HR
374' 430' 367' Wallace Sappington — single · EV 84 mph · LA +1° · 80 ft Allan Mulloy — ground_out · EV 58 mph · LA +8° · 60 ft Bradley Hansen — ground_out · EV 57 mph · LA +1° · 55 ft Sean Spence — single · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 92 ft Edwin Gayton — single · EV 81 mph · LA +11° · 99 ft Khosilot El Karouani — double · EV 86 mph · LA +47° · 296 ft Oliver Cantey — single · EV 101 mph · LA +26° · 321 ft Jaime Gaubert — line_out · EV 84 mph · LA +15° · 139 ft Justo Burani — single · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 98 ft Manuel Gamboa — line_out · EV 88 mph · LA +22° · 214 ft Sean Spence — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA +9° · 80 ft Bruno Cooper — single · EV 97 mph · LA +12° · 150 ft Hugo Falcao — hr · EV 102 mph · LA +37° · 401 ft Justo Burani — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +14° · 108 ft Oliver Cantey — double · EV 107 mph · LA +13° · 200 ft Tony Caballero — double · EV 90 mph · LA +45° · 323 ft Manuel Gamboa — single · EV 104 mph · LA +41° · 426 ft Bruno Cooper — single · EV 83 mph · LA +14° · 130 ft Bradley Hansen — single · EV 100 mph · LA +13° · 173 ft Sean Spence — ground_out · EV 54 mph · LA -7° · 51 ft Hugo Falcao — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +19° · 142 ft Bradley Hansen — fielders_choice · EV 92 mph · LA -4° · 87 ft Pepe Boattin — ground_out · EV 64 mph · LA +3° · 61 ft Bradley Hansen — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -6° · 49 ft
Astros — Batted Balls
23 BIP· 5 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
374' 430' 367' Butch Patridge — single · EV 71 mph · LA +19° · 125 ft Jeyland Morales — double_play · EV 97 mph · LA -5° · 92 ft Iapani Thom — line_out · EV 90 mph · LA +22° · 224 ft Mayer Gómez — double_play · EV 71 mph · LA -21° · 67 ft Orien Hoffken — fly_out · EV 90 mph · LA +30° · 285 ft Masamichi Takada — single · EV 69 mph · LA +18° · 114 ft Brendan Carrington — double · EV 106 mph · LA +18° · 264 ft Zane Wiesner — ground_out · EV 73 mph · LA -4° · 70 ft Scoville Rivas — ground_out · EV 79 mph · LA +8° · 72 ft Rubén Colón — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA -4° · 75 ft Korey Humphreys — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +33° · 210 ft Masamichi Takada — single · EV 78 mph · LA +15° · 123 ft Orien Hoffken — fly_out · EV 89 mph · LA +30° · 274 ft Brayan Braun — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -8° · 84 ft Iapani Thom — single · EV 106 mph · LA +8° · 128 ft Jeyland Morales — double_play · EV 78 mph · LA +3° · 74 ft Butch Patridge — ground_out · EV 61 mph · LA -4° · 58 ft Masamichi Takada — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +34° · 214 ft Orien Hoffken — ground_out · EV 86 mph · LA +8° · 85 ft Brayan Braun — error · EV 85 mph · LA +25° · 224 ft Iapani Thom — double · EV 99 mph · LA +30° · 341 ft Butch Patridge — ground_out · EV 99 mph · LA -11° · 94 ft Brayan Braun — single · EV 83 mph · LA +12° · 117 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Stars
73% deserve-to-win  ·  11.5 expected runs
actual 15 runs  ·  +3.5 vs expected
contact: 18.1 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 19.0 (+0.9 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 0 CS (+0.8 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Hugo Falcao 102 / +37° Oppo Home Run 1.9 → 4 +2.05
Manuel Gamboa 104 / +41° Center Single 2.6 → 1 -1.60
Khosilot El Karouani 86 / +47° Oppo Double 0.7 → 2 +1.33
Manuel Gamboa 88 / +22° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.90
Tony Caballero 90 / +45° Center Double 1.2 → 2 +0.83
Astros
27% deserve-to-win  ·  7.0 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  -4.0 vs expected
contact: 12.5 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 9.0 (-3.5 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Iapani Thom 99 / +30° Pull Double 1.1 → 2 +0.93
Iapani Thom 90 / +22° Pull Out 0.9 → 0 -0.90
Orien Hoffken 90 / +30° Center Out 0.7 → 0 -0.74
Orien Hoffken 89 / +30° Pull Out 0.7 → 0 -0.74
Masamichi Takada 69 / +18° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.59
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