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Athletics 3, Padres 2                                        2026-06-12 · #762
at Abdurakhmanov Yards
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                        1    R    H    E
San Diego               2    2    5    0
Oakland                 3    3    5    0

PADRES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Pohlman     p  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Batt        c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
MacCracken  2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1  0.000
Andrade     cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Johnsto ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Alemu       3b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
Staten      ss ......    2   1   2   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Lettier ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Atehortua   1b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Najar       rf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Fernández   lf ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Pearman     j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Cleveland   j  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Totals                  24   2   5   0   0   0   1   3   9   0   1  0.208
  SB: Staten (3).
  CS: Atehortua (4).
  HBP: Atehortua 2 (5).
  GIDP: MacCracken (3), Najar (5).
  a-Struck out for Andrade in the 7th.
  b-Struck out for Staten in the 7th.

ATHLETICS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Banuelos    3b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
Cagle       cf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Sutton  ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Pagán       c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Verón       p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Diémé       lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Kade        2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Sinclair    1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Caspersen   ss ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Fink        rf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
  b-Saunder pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   .000
  c-Gerlach ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  d-Weeks   pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   1   .000
Taygan      j  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Benítez     j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  25   3   5   0   0   0   3   5  10   0   1  0.200
  CS: Caspersen (3).
  GIDP: Fink (1).
  a-Batted for Cagle in the 6th.
  b-Ran for Fink in the 6th.
  c-Batted in the 7th.
  d-Ran in the 6th.

PADRES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Pohlman (L, 1-3) ....    29   24  89%    4    3    3    5   10    0  111    -

ATHLETICS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Verón (W, 7-1) ......    18   16  59%    4    2    2    2    5    0   75    -
Saravia .............    11   11  41%    1    0    0    1    4    0   36  1-0

PADRES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-24)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Pohlman (Outs 1-24)
CATCHER (C)       | Batt (Outs 1-24)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Atehortua (Outs 1-24)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | MacCracken (Outs 1-24)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Alemu (Outs 1-24)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Staten (Outs 1-24)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Fernández (Outs 1-24)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Andrade (Outs 1-24)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Najar (Outs 1-24)

ATHLETICS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Verón (Outs 1-16) → Saravia (Outs 17-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Pagán (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Sinclair (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Kade (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Banuelos (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Caspersen (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Diémé (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Cagle (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Fink (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Athletics (home) batted second; Padres batted first.
  First pitch 7:10 PM PT. Weather: 59°F · Wind cross · Clear. seed 754080.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 0.33    Peak faced 0.75
    27 outs left: 0.33
    18 outs left: 0.50
     9 outs left: 0.33
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
T 10 Zane Staten Yoshimar Najar (3B) 1–0 —
T 15 Mark Pearman Zane Staten (3B) 2–0 —
B 15 Arnold Sutton Chad Weeks (2B) 2–1 0.50
B 16 Chad Weeks Rick Taygan (3B) 2–2 0.27
B 24 Keaton Saunders Keaton Saunders (3B) 2–3 0.00
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 0.33
Peak faced 0.75
27 outs left 0.33
18 outs left 0.50
9 outs left 0.33
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Abdurakhmanov Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 350' · CF 450' · RF 346' · 13' wall). Cavernous.
Death Valley
Padres — Batted Balls
12 BIP· 5 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
350' 450' 346' Ludlow MacCracken — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +19° · 140 ft Zane Staten — single · EV 74 mph · LA +10° · 77 ft Keshav Atehortua — single · EV 76 mph · LA +16° · 122 ft Yoshimar Najar — double_play · EV 61 mph · LA -13° · 58 ft Mark Pearman — single · EV 81 mph · LA +20° · 169 ft Israel Fernández — ground_out · EV 64 mph · LA +21° · 113 ft Zane Staten — single · EV 71 mph · LA +12° · 82 ft Haxzel Andrade — fielders_choice · EV 52 mph · LA -13° · 50 ft Ludlow MacCracken — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -10° · 72 ft Chet Batt — fielders_choice · EV 58 mph · LA -13° · 55 ft Israel Fernández — fielders_choice · EV 80 mph · LA +6° · 76 ft Teferi Alemu — single · EV 92 mph · LA +15° · 166 ft
Athletics — Batted Balls
12 BIP· 4 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
350' 450' 346' Erwin Cagle — single · EV 76 mph · LA +26° · 180 ft Nick Kade — ground_out · EV 60 mph · LA +5° · 57 ft Cannon Sinclair — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -7° · 72 ft Carson Fink — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -1° · 72 ft Stefan Banuelos — single · EV 67 mph · LA +24° · 131 ft Arnold Sutton — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA +3° · 78 ft Rodrigo Benítez — single · EV 76 mph · LA +21° · 156 ft Carson Fink — infield_single · EV 62 mph · LA -9° · 59 ft Cannon Sinclair — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +28° · 278 ft Modesto Pagán — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA -12° · 74 ft Val Caspersen — line_out · EV 67 mph · LA +16° · 96 ft Modesto Pagán — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +38° · 331 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Padres
67% deserve-to-win  ·  3.4 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  -1.4 vs expected
contact: 4.7 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (+0.3 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Ludlow MacCracken 76 / +19° Oppo Out 0.5 → 0 -0.54
Zane Staten 74 / +10° Center Single 0.5 → 1 +0.53
Zane Staten 71 / +12° Center Single 0.5 → 1 +0.53
Keshav Atehortua 76 / +16° Pull Single 0.5 → 1 +0.46
Israel Fernández 64 / +21° Pull Out 0.4 → 0 -0.42
Athletics
33% deserve-to-win  ·  2.4 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  +0.6 vs expected
contact: 4.4 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 4.0 (-0.4 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Modesto Pagán 92 / +38° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.94
Carson Fink 62 / -9° Pull Single 0.1 → 1 +0.89
Erwin Cagle 76 / +26° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.85
Cannon Sinclair 92 / +28° Oppo Out 0.7 → 0 -0.73
Stefan Banuelos 67 / +24° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.58
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