==============================================================================
Royals 7, Reds 5                                             2026-06-13 · #772
at Pino Stadium
==============================================================================

                        1    R    H    E
Kansas City             7    7    6    1
Cincinnati              5    5    5    0

ROYALS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Graham      lf ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Savarin pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Monson      2b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  b-Devens  pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Sabella     ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Rosales     3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Hackett     p  ......    2   1   2   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Altamir pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Tanguilig   1b ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Fontes  ph ......    0   0   1   1   0   0   3   0   0   1   0   .000
Linnehan    c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Hsia        rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Lenis       cf ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                   9   7   6   3   0   0   7   2   3   1   0  0.667
  2B: Hackett (4), Tanguilig (9), Fontes (11).
  SB: Tanguilig (6).
  E: Monson (3).
  a-Ran for Graham in the 2nd.
  b-Ran for Monson in the 7th.
  c-Ran for Hackett in the 6th.
  d-Pinch-hit for Tanguilig in the 2nd.

REDS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Colon       p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Suarez  pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Dawkins     1b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.333
Ribera      3b ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Murakami    2b ......    3   2   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.667
  b-Corozo  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Minda       rf ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   1  0.333
Gayton      cf ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Subhash     ss ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  0.000
Tsoubanos   lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
David       c  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  c-Dilwort pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Warwick     j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  28   5   5   1   0   0   4   5   7   0   1  0.179
  2B: Minda (1).
  SB: Murakami (8).
  CS: Gayton (10).
  GIDP: Minda (2), Subhash (3).
  a-Ran for Colon in the 8th.
  b-Struck out for Murakami in the 9th.
  c-Ran for David in the 2nd.

ROYALS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Hackett (W, 9-3) ....    31   26  96%    4    5    5    5    7    0  131    -
Branstine ...........     1    1   4%    0    0    0    0    0    0    4  1-0

REDS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Colon (L, 3-3) ......    11    4  15%    6    7    7    2    3    0   48    -

ROYALS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Hackett (Outs 1-26) → Branstine (Outs 27-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Linnehan (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Tanguilig (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Monson (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Rosales (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Sabella (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Graham (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Lenis (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Hsia (Outs 1-27)

REDS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-4)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Colon (Outs 1-4)
CATCHER (C)       | David (Outs 1-4)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Dawkins (Outs 1-4)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Murakami (Outs 1-4)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Ribera (Outs 1-4)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Subhash (Outs 1-4)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Tsoubanos (Outs 1-4)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Gayton (Outs 1-4)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Minda (Outs 1-4)

  Batting order: Reds (home) batted first; Royals batted second.
  First pitch 2:00 PM CT. Weather: 99°F · Wind calm · Clear · Humid. seed 458725.
  Powerplays: Royals — Fontes NF (O17)
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 0.67    Peak faced 0.67
    27 outs left: 0.44
    18 outs left: 0.00
     9 outs left: 0.00
==============================================================================
Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
B 4 Ed Tsoubanos Emmanuel Murakami (2B) 0–1 —
B 6 Henri Dawkins Henri Dawkins (3B) 0–2 —
B 6 Felix Ribera Zachary Subhash (3B) 0–3 —
B 23 Shelby Warwick Emmanuel Murakami (3B) 0–4 —
B 26 Matias Minda Carter Suarez (3B) 0–5 —
T 0 George Graham Finn Hackett (2B) 1–5 0.56
T 0 Landon Tanguilig George Graham (1B) 2–5 0.44
T 3 Yung-chi Hsia Landon Tanguilig (3B) 3–5 0.38
T 4 Finn Hackett Beau Devens (2B) 4–5 0.26
T 4 Yamil Fontes Jose Lenis (3B) 5–5 0.13
T 4 Yamil Fontes Ramon Altamirano (2B) 6–5 0.00
T 4 Yamil Fontes Devron Savarino (1B) 7–5 0.00
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 0.67
Peak faced 0.67
27 outs left 0.44
18 outs left 0.00
9 outs left 0.00
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Pino Stadium's actual outfield dimensions (LF 368' · CF 405' · RF 328' · 15' wall). Balanced.
Tal's Hill
Royals — Batted Balls
7 BIP· 3 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
368' 405' 328' Wall 15' Finn Hackett — double · EV 100 mph · LA +32° · 360 ft George Graham — single · EV 91 mph · LA +26° · 256 ft Landon Tanguilig — double · EV 105 mph · LA +34° · 414 ft Yung-chi Hsia — fly_out · EV 93 mph · LA +33° · 314 ft Jose Lenis — single · EV 88 mph · LA -9° · 84 ft Yamil Fontes — double · EV 100 mph · LA +40° · 394 ft Finn Hackett — single · EV 88 mph · LA +13° · 134 ft
Reds — Batted Balls
16 BIP· 3 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
368' 405' 328' Wall 15' Yáser Colon — fly_out · EV 84 mph · LA +27° · 228 ft Henri Dawkins — single · EV 80 mph · LA -16° · 76 ft Felix Ribera — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 96 ft Thomas Gayton — ground_out · EV 59 mph · LA -7° · 56 ft Ed Tsoubanos — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +10° · 76 ft Matias Minda — double_play · EV 54 mph · LA -12° · 52 ft Blaise Dilworth — ground_out · EV 56 mph · LA -10° · 53 ft Zachary Subhash — double_play · EV 64 mph · LA -7° · 61 ft Carter Suarez — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA +21° · 72 ft Shelby Warwick — infield_single · EV 71 mph · LA -1° · 68 ft Ed Tsoubanos — ground_out · EV 68 mph · LA -17° · 65 ft Ed Tsoubanos — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -5° · 72 ft Emmanuel Murakami — single · EV 68 mph · LA -11° · 65 ft Henri Dawkins — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -6° · 72 ft Matias Minda — double · EV 92 mph · LA +26° · 269 ft Thomas Gayton — error · EV 76 mph · LA -1° · 72 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Royals
83% deserve-to-win  ·  5.8 expected runs
actual 7 runs  ·  +1.2 vs expected
contact: 10.3 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 8.0 (-2.3 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Yamil Fontes 100 / +40° Center Stay 2.6 → 1 -1.59
Yung-chi Hsia 93 / +33° Oppo Out 0.9 → 0 -0.94
Landon Tanguilig 105 / +34° Center Double 2.9 → 2 -0.88
Jose Lenis 88 / -9° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.61
George Graham 91 / +26° Center Single 0.7 → 1 +0.27
Reds
17% deserve-to-win  ·  2.6 expected runs
actual 5 runs  ·  +2.4 vs expected
contact: 4.4 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (+0.6 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Matias Minda 92 / +26° Pull Double 0.7 → 2 +1.27
Emmanuel Murakami 68 / -11° Center Single 0.1 → 1 +0.89
Shelby Warwick 71 / -1° Oppo Single 0.2 → 1 +0.77
Henri Dawkins 80 / -16° Oppo Single 0.3 → 1 +0.66
Felix Ribera 76 / +12° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.47
Compare basket · 0 max 4
Compare →