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Rockies 39, Red Sox 3                                        2026-06-13 · #773
at Kuvvatov Yards
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Boston                  3      0    3    5    0
Colorado               39      0   39   29    1

RED SOX
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Pfister     cf ......    3   1   1   0   1   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
  a-Saravia pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Venegas     lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   1  0.000
Cameron     1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Waston  pr ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Alderman    3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Kean        ss ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  c-Echever pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Harrell     rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Hack        c  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
Cordano     2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Cambage     p  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  d-Chang   ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  24   3   5   0   1   0   3   5   5   0   1  0.208
  3B: Pfister (3).
  CS: Harrell 2 (7).
  HBP: Alderman (4).
  GIDP: Hack (5), Cambage (1), Echeverría (1).
  a-Ran for Pfister in the 9th.
  b-Ran for Cameron in the 7th.
  c-Ran for Kean in the 7th.
  d-Struck out in the 6th.

ROCKIES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Martinho    ss ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
Chaves      cf ......    5   5   4   2   0   1   6   0   0   0   0  0.800
Denson      p  ......    4   7   3   0   0   2   5   2   0   0   0  0.750
Alderman    rf ......    6   2   2   2   0   0   3   0   2   0   0  0.333
Mondragón   1b ......    4   5   3   1   0   1   2   1   1   0   0  0.750
Porteño     2b ......    7   1   2   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.286
Touchard    c  ......    7   2   4   2   0   0   4   0   0   1   0  0.571
Lewis       3b ......    6   5   4   1   1   1   5   0   0   0   0  0.667
Diatta      lf ......    7   8   6   4   0   2  11   0   0   0   0  0.857
  a-Kaiuway ph ......    3   2   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Oh          j  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   .000
Totals                  50  39  29  12   1   7  38   5   6   1   0  0.580
  2B: Chaves 2 (10), Alderman 2 (16), Mondragón (7), Touchard 2 (7), Lewis (17), Diatta 4 (24).
  3B: Lewis (3).
  HR: Chaves (7), off Barnhill; Denson 2 (3), off Redmond; Mondragón (2), off Cambage; Lewis (8), off Wittenberg; Diatta 2 (13), off Barnhill, Harrell.
  E: Martinho (7).
  HBP: Mondragón (5), Lewis (2), Kaiuway (1).
  a-Batted in the 3rd.

RED SOX PITCHING
                         BF  OUT    P P/BF    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR   IR
Cambage .............     6    6   32  5.3    1    2    1    1    2    1    -
Wittenberg ..........     4    1    6  1.5    4    3    2    0    0    1    -
Lucena (L, 0-1) .....     7    2   31  4.4    4    6    6    1    1    0  1-1
Barnhill ............     6    1   21  3.5    4    6    4    1    0    2    -
Banguera ............     7    2   26  3.7    4    5    5    0    0    0  1-1
Lateef ..............    10    5   36  3.6    3    5    1    2    1    0  1-1
Redmond .............     9    5   28  3.1    4    6    5    0    3    2  1-0
Harrell .............     7    3   17  2.4    4    5    4    0    0    1  1-1
Hack ................     2    2    2  1.0    1    1    1    0    0    0  1-1

ROCKIES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT    P P/BF    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR   IR
Denson (W, 8-3) .....    15   13   47  3.1    3    1    1    2    1    0    -
Schramm (F, 64) .....    15   14   48  3.2    2    2    2    3    4    0  1-0

RED SOX DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Cambage (Outs 1-6) → Wittenberg (Outs 7-7) → Lucena (Outs 8-9) → Barnhill (Outs 10-10) → Banguera (Outs 11-12) → Lateef (Outs 13-17) → Redmond (Outs 18-22) → Harrell (Outs 23-25) → Hack (Outs 26-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Hack (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Cameron (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Cordano (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Alderman (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Kean (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Venegas (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Pfister (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Harrell (Outs 1-27)

ROCKIES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Denson (Outs 1-13) → Schramm (Outs 14-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Touchard (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Mondragón (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Porteño (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Lewis (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Martinho (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Diatta (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Chaves (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Alderman (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Rockies (home) batted first; Red Sox batted second.
  Seconds: BOS o26 (3-39), COL o26 (39-0).
  First pitch 5:00 PM MT. Weather: 62°F · Wind in · Clear. seed 494858.
  Walk-Back runs: off Cambage 1, off Wittenberg 1, off Barnhill 2, off Redmond 1, off Harrell 1, off Hack 1.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 4.44    Peak faced 111.00
    27 outs left: 4.44
    18 outs left: 6.50
     9 outs left: 13.00
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
B 4 Aníbal Mondragón Aníbal Mondragón (HR) 0–1 —
B 4 Mario Porteño Aníbal Mondragón (3B) 0–2 —
B 5 Thomas Lewis Jahmari Touchard (1B) 0–3 —
B 5 Thomas Lewis Thomas Lewis (HR) 0–4 —
B 5 John Diatta Thomas Lewis (3B) 0–5 —
B 6 Jeyland Chaves Markeylin Martinho (1B) 0–6 —
B 6 Dozie Denson Jeyland Chaves (2B) 0–7 —
B 6 Tae-jun Oh Dozie Denson (3B) 0–8 —
B 7 Jahmari Touchard Allen Alderman (3B) 0–9 —
B 7 Jahmari Touchard Aníbal Mondragón (2B) 0–10 —
B 7 Jahmari Touchard Tae-jun Oh (1B) 0–11 —
B 8 John Diatta Thomas Lewis (2B) 0–12 —
B 8 John Diatta John Diatta (HR) 0–13 —
B 9 Jeyland Chaves John Diatta (3B) 0–14 —
B 9 Jeyland Chaves Jeyland Chaves (HR) 0–15 —
B 9 Allen Alderman Jeyland Chaves (3B) 0–16 —
B 9 Allen Alderman Dozie Denson (1B) 0–17 —
B 9 Aníbal Mondragón Allen Alderman (2B) 0–18 —
B 11 John Diatta Aníbal Mondragón (2B) 0–19 —
B 11 John Diatta Thomas Lewis (1B) 0–20 —
B 11 John Diatta John Diatta (2B) 0–21 —
B 11 Thomas Lewis John Diatta (2B) 0–22 —
B 15 Jeyland Chaves Thomas Lewis (2B) 0–23 —
B 15 Justin Kaiuway Dozie Denson (2B) 0–24 —
B 15 John Diatta Jeyland Chaves (2B) 0–25 —
B 15 John Diatta Justin Kaiuway (1B) 0–26 —
B 16 Jahmari Touchard John Diatta (2B) 0–27 —
B 19 Dozie Denson Mario Porteño (1B) 0–28 —
B 19 Dozie Denson Dozie Denson (HR) 0–29 —
B 21 Jeyland Chaves Dozie Denson (3B) 0–30 —
B 21 Jeyland Chaves Justin Kaiuway (1B) 0–31 —
B 21 Dozie Denson Jeyland Chaves (2B) 0–32 —
B 21 Dozie Denson Dozie Denson (HR) 0–33 —
B 21 Allen Alderman Dozie Denson (3B) 0–34 —
B 22 Thomas Lewis Aníbal Mondragón (3B) 0–35 —
B 24 John Diatta Jahmari Touchard (2B) 0–36 —
B 24 John Diatta John Diatta (1B) 0–37 —
B 24 John Diatta John Diatta (—) 0–38 —
B 24 Thomas Lewis John Diatta (3B) 0–39 —
T 2 Tony Cameron Pancho Pfister (3B) 1–39 4.68
T 21 Pancho Pfister Agustín Waston (3B) 2–39 19.00
T 25 Diego Saravia Diego Saravia (2B) 3–39 55.50
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 4.44
Peak faced 111.00
27 outs left 4.44
18 outs left 6.50
9 outs left 13.00
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Kuvvatov Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 341' · CF 409' · RF 308' · 12' wall). Center-Field Triangle.
Red Sox — Batted Balls
17 BIP· 4 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
341' 409' 308' Stanley Kean — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA -6° · 74 ft Kervin Venegas — ground_out · EV 74 mph · LA -10° · 71 ft Pancho Pfister — triple · EV 101 mph · LA +11° · 158 ft Tony Cameron — fly_out · EV 89 mph · LA +45° · 315 ft Eliot Hack — single · EV 76 mph · LA +18° · 138 ft Vinicius Cordano — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +20° · 150 ft Stuart Cambage — double_play · EV 80 mph · LA +2° · 76 ft Agustín Waston — single · EV 80 mph · LA -10° · 76 ft Denis Echeverría — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +5° · 72 ft Diego Saravia — ground_out · EV 80 mph · LA +0° · 76 ft Stuart Cambage — single · EV 74 mph · LA +16° · 114 ft Eliot Hack — double_play · EV 86 mph · LA +5° · 81 ft Tony Cameron — fielders_choice · EV 85 mph · LA -7° · 80 ft Stanley Kean — single · EV 89 mph · LA +15° · 162 ft Mark Harrell — error · EV 110 mph · LA +17° · 272 ft Pancho Pfister — error · EV 69 mph · LA +25° · 148 ft Mark Harrell — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -26° · 72 ft
Rockies — Batted Balls
40 BIP· 9 1B · 13 XBH · 7 HR
341' 409' 308' Jeyland Chaves — fly_out · EV 99 mph · LA +34° · 368 ft Aníbal Mondragón — hr · EV 101 mph · LA +34° · 377 ft Jahmari Touchard — single · EV 90 mph · LA +16° · 174 ft Thomas Lewis — hr · EV 110 mph · LA +35° · 449 ft John Diatta — double · EV 99 mph · LA +36° · 375 ft Markeylin Martinho — single · EV 100 mph · LA +5° · 95 ft Jeyland Chaves — double · EV 100 mph · LA +27° · 324 ft Dozie Denson — single · EV 87 mph · LA +19° · 185 ft Allen Alderman — double · EV 104 mph · LA +30° · 378 ft Jahmari Touchard — double · EV 99 mph · LA +34° · 361 ft Thomas Lewis — single · EV 100 mph · LA +21° · 270 ft John Diatta — hr · EV 112 mph · LA +41° · 480 ft Aníbal Mondragón — double · EV 110 mph · LA +19° · 295 ft Justin Kaiuway — error · EV 72 mph · LA -0° · 68 ft Jeyland Chaves — hr · EV 107 mph · LA +31° · 404 ft Allen Alderman — double · EV 94 mph · LA +15° · 180 ft Jahmari Touchard — fly_out · EV 101 mph · LA +52° · 400 ft John Diatta — double · EV 90 mph · LA +43° · 324 ft Thomas Lewis — double · EV 88 mph · LA +40° · 303 ft Dozie Denson — hr · EV 116 mph · LA +31° · 478 ft Justin Kaiuway — line_out · EV 84 mph · LA +11° · 101 ft John Diatta — double · EV 104 mph · LA +21° · 291 ft Jahmari Touchard — line_out · EV 95 mph · LA +18° · 207 ft Jeyland Chaves — single · EV 119 mph · LA +24° · 415 ft Thomas Lewis — fly_out · EV 98 mph · LA +53° · 372 ft Dozie Denson — hr · EV 114 mph · LA +32° · 471 ft Aníbal Mondragón — single · EV 109 mph · LA -9° · 103 ft John Diatta — double · EV 98 mph · LA +14° · 176 ft Jahmari Touchard — double · EV 105 mph · LA +21° · 293 ft Mario Porteño — single · EV 94 mph · LA +10° · 124 ft Jeyland Chaves — double · EV 98 mph · LA +13° · 168 ft Thomas Lewis — fly_out · EV 101 mph · LA +27° · 330 ft Allen Alderman — ground_out · EV 81 mph · LA +5° · 77 ft Mario Porteño — single · EV 89 mph · LA +10° · 106 ft Jahmari Touchard — single · EV 93 mph · LA +22° · 242 ft John Diatta — fielders_choice · EV 104 mph · LA +9° · 129 ft Thomas Lewis — triple · EV 115 mph · LA +12° · 210 ft John Diatta — hr · EV 108 mph · LA +39° · 462 ft Jahmari Touchard — fly_out · EV 93 mph · LA +28° · 288 ft Mario Porteño — ground_out · EV 106 mph · LA +8° · 128 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Red Sox
4% deserve-to-win  ·  6.0 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  -3.0 vs expected
contact: 9.0 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 7.0 (-2.0 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 2 CS (-1.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Pancho Pfister 101 / +11° Pull Triple 1.3 → 3 +1.75
Mark Harrell 110 / +17° Center Reached on Error 1.7 → 0 -1.72
Tony Cameron 89 / +45° Pull Out 1.2 → 0 -1.18
Agustín Waston 80 / -10° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.77
Vinicius Cordano 76 / +20° Pull Out 0.5 → 0 -0.54
Rockies
96% deserve-to-win  ·  29.6 expected runs
actual 39 runs  ·  +9.4 vs expected
contact: 56.5 est bases + 8 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 63.0 (+6.5 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Aníbal Mondragón 101 / +34° Pull Home Run 1.9 → 4 +2.05
Jeyland Chaves 107 / +31° Oppo Home Run 2.0 → 4 +2.00
Thomas Lewis 115 / +12° Pull Triple 1.5 → 3 +1.47
Jeyland Chaves 99 / +34° Pull Out 1.5 → 0 -1.46
John Diatta 104 / +9° Oppo Out 1.4 → 0 -1.39
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