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Expos 9, Tigers 7                                            2026-06-13 · #774
at Huerta Stadium
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                        1    R    H    E
Detroit                 7    7    3    2
Montreal                9    9    6    0

TIGERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Delatte     ss ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  a-McMicha pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Cotzumalgua 2b ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Grimaldo    lf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  b-Acebo   pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Zheng       c  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   1  0.500
Kuchiki     1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   1  0.000
Monroe      3b ......    4   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.250
Marion      cf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  c-Posa    pr ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Sears       rf ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.333
Keegan      p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1  0.000
  d-Whorisk ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Lutmer  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Soldan      j  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Totals                  24   7   3   1   0   0   5   6   8   0   3  0.125
  2B: Monroe (3).
  SB: Sears (5).
  E: Monroe (1), Posa (1).
  HBP: Delatte (3), Soldan (1).
  GIDP: Cotzumalguapa (7).
  Squeeze: Kuchiki (1 RBI).
  a-Ran for Delatte in the 3rd.
  b-Ran for Grimaldo in the 3rd.
  c-Ran for Marion in the 3rd.
  d-Grounded out for Acebo in the 3rd.
  e-Batted in the 5th.

EXPOS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Drotar      p  ......    2   0   2   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Grizzli pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Warner      3b ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Triguei pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Moreira     lf ......    2   1   2   1   1   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Creek       cf ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Huitema     2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Solórzano   1b ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Mondeville  rf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Dienelt     c  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Rosales     ss ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Currier     j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  16   9   6   2   1   0   9   3   2   0   0  0.375
  2B: Drotar (5), Moreira (32).
  3B: Moreira (2).
  a-Ran for Drotar in the 4th.
  b-Ran for Warner in the 4th.

TIGERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT    P P/BF    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR   IR
Keegan (L, 2-5) .....    12    6   48  4.0    3    4    3    3    1    0    -
McDuffie ............     6    3   23  3.8    2    5    1    0    1    0  2-2

EXPOS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT    P P/BF    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR   IR
Drotar (W, 5-0) .....    14   12   44  3.1    2    4    4    4    3    0    -
Chang ...............    15   13   44  2.9    1    3    3    2    4    0  1-1
Bork ................     2    2    6  3.0    0    0    0    0    1    0  1-0

TIGERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-9)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Keegan (Outs 1-6) → McDuffie (Outs 7-9)
CATCHER (C)       | Zheng (Outs 1-9)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Kuchiki (Outs 1-9)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Cotzumalguapa (Outs 1-9)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Monroe (Outs 1-9)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Delatte (Outs 1-9)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Grimaldo (Outs 1-9)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Marion (Outs 1-9)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Sears (Outs 1-9)

EXPOS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Drotar (Outs 1-12) → Chang (Outs 13-25) → Bork (Outs 26-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Dienelt (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Solórzano (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Huitema (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Warner (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Rosales (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Moreira (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Creek (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Mondeville (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Expos (home) batted second; Tigers batted first.
  First pitch 6:00 PM ET. Weather: 82°F · Wind in · Overcast · Light rain. seed 163746.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 0.89    Peak faced 0.89
    27 outs left: 0.67
    18 outs left: 0.00
     9 outs left: 0.00
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
T 8 Thai-Son Whoriskey Raymond Acebo (3B) 1–0 —
T 11 Cooper Monroe Barry McMichael (3B) 2–0 —
T 12 Ricki Sears Zixuan Zheng (3B) 3–0 —
T 12 Ricki Sears Cooper Monroe (2B) 4–0 —
T 14 Liam Lutmer Ricki Sears (3B) 5–0 —
T 14 Liam Lutmer Yimmi Cotzumalguapa (3B) 6–0 —
T 15 Rocky Kuchiki Kenyatta Soldan (3B) 7–0 —
B 0 Samuel Drotar Ozziel Moreira (2B) 7–1 0.78
B 0 Samuel Drotar Carson Warner (1B) 7–2 0.67
B 5 Ronald Rosales Fran Creek (2B) 7–3 0.68
B 6 Franklin Mondeville Ronald Rosales (2B) 7–4 0.57
B 6 Rónald Solórzano Cameron Dienelt (2B) 7–5 0.43
B 9 Carson Warner Franklin Mondeville (3B) 7–6 0.33
B 9 Carson Warner Rónald Solórzano (2B) 7–7 0.17
B 9 Ozziel Moreira Maciek Grizzlies (2B) 7–8 0.00
B 9 Ozziel Moreira Raymond Trigueiro (1B) 7–9 0.00
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 0.89
Peak faced 0.89
27 outs left 0.67
18 outs left 0.00
9 outs left 0.00
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Huerta Stadium's actual outfield dimensions (LF 288' · CF 412' · RF 348' · 50' wall). Short Porch (Left).
Tigers — Batted Balls
14 BIP· 2 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
288' 412' 348' Wall 50' Rocky Kuchiki — ground_out · EV 64 mph · LA -21° · 60 ft Cooper Monroe — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA -16° · 74 ft Thai-Son Whoriskey — error · EV 76 mph · LA +3° · 72 ft Zixuan Zheng — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA +2° · 78 ft Liam Lutmer — fly_out · EV 60 mph · LA +41° · 145 ft Cooper Monroe — double · EV 88 mph · LA +13° · 136 ft Ricki Sears — single · EV 88 mph · LA +14° · 142 ft Francis Keegan — fielders_choice · EV 66 mph · LA -0° · 63 ft Barry McMichael — line_out · EV 102 mph · LA +15° · 206 ft Zixuan Zheng — single · EV 78 mph · LA +1° · 75 ft Cooper Monroe — fly_out · EV 80 mph · LA +43° · 253 ft Ricki Sears — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA +6° · 84 ft Yimmi Cotzumalguapa — double_play · EV 73 mph · LA +5° · 69 ft Cooper Monroe — ground_out · EV 91 mph · LA +0° · 87 ft
Expos — Batted Balls
12 BIP· 2 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
288' 412' 348' Wall 50' Ozziel Moreira — double · EV 101 mph · LA +19° · 250 ft Samuel Drotar — double · EV 105 mph · LA +12° · 178 ft Jenson Huitema — fly_out · EV 95 mph · LA +26° · 284 ft Rónald Solórzano — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -17° · 84 ft Franklin Mondeville — ground_out · EV 112 mph · LA +5° · 107 ft Ronald Rosales — single · EV 77 mph · LA +0° · 73 ft Fran Creek — line_out · EV 100 mph · LA +22° · 279 ft Carson Warner — error · EV 88 mph · LA +20° · 202 ft Ronald Rosales — ground_out · EV 98 mph · LA +8° · 108 ft Franklin Mondeville — error · EV 93 mph · LA -5° · 88 ft Rónald Solórzano — single · EV 87 mph · LA -13° · 82 ft Ozziel Moreira — triple · EV 119 mph · LA +24° · 420 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Tigers
36% deserve-to-win  ·  5.5 expected runs
actual 7 runs  ·  +1.5 vs expected
contact: 5.2 est bases + 8 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 4.0 (-1.2 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Cooper Monroe 88 / +13° Pull Double 0.6 → 2 +1.42
Barry McMichael 102 / +15° Pull Out 1.3 → 0 -1.25
Zixuan Zheng 78 / +1° Oppo Single 0.3 → 1 +0.75
Ricki Sears 88 / +6° Oppo Out 0.4 → 0 -0.41
Cooper Monroe 91 / +0° Pull Out 0.4 → 0 -0.41
Expos
64% deserve-to-win  ·  7.3 expected runs
actual 9 runs  ·  +1.7 vs expected
contact: 10.7 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 9.0 (-1.7 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Fran Creek 100 / +22° Pull Out 1.4 → 0 -1.41
Ozziel Moreira 119 / +24° Pull Triple 1.7 → 3 +1.29
Ronald Rosales 98 / +8° Center Out 1.1 → 0 -1.09
Carson Warner 88 / +20° Center Reached on Error 0.9 → 0 -0.90
Ronald Rosales 77 / +0° Oppo Single 0.3 → 1 +0.75
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