==============================================================================
Beavers 2, Phillies 1                                        2026-06-13 · #778
at The Oval
==============================================================================

                        1    R    H    E
Philadelphia            1    1    5    0
Portland                2    2    3    0

PHILLIES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Moor        lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Granberry   2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Mattke      1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Awoniyi     3b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
Tabaracci   c  ......    2   0   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Logar   pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Israilov    ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Spracklin   rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Tassew      cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Schloss     p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Barba   pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  c-Santos  ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Skeen   pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Ka'apan pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Anthony     j  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Cubas       j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  28   1   5   0   0   0   1   2  14   0   0  0.179
  CS: Awoniyi (6), Barba (10).
  GIDP: Granberry 2 (8).
  a-Ran for Tabaracci in the 5th.
  b-Ran for Schloss in the 3rd.
  c-Singled for Barba in the 3rd.
  d-Ran in the 4th.
  e-Ran for Skeen in the 7th.

BEAVERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Turenne     3b ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Vahaly      ss ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Rabess      rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Clement     lf ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Guerra      1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Hydrick     c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Zamora      2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                   7   2   3   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.429
  2B: Turenne (8).
  CS: Vahaly (8).


PHILLIES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT    P P/BF    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR   IR
Schloss (L, 3-4) ....     7    5   23  3.3    3    2    2    0    1    0    -

BEAVERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT    P P/BF    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR   IR
Tapia (W, 2-8) ......    26   27   94  3.6    3    1    1    2   14    0    -

PHILLIES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-5)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Schloss (Outs 1-5)
CATCHER (C)       | Tabaracci (Outs 1-5)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Mattke (Outs 1-5)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Granberry (Outs 1-5)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Awoniyi (Outs 1-5)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Israilov (Outs 1-5)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Moor (Outs 1-5)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Tassew (Outs 1-5)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Spracklin (Outs 1-5)

BEAVERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Tapia (Outs 1-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Hydrick (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Guerra (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Zamora (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Turenne (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Vahaly (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Clement (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | —
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Rabess (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Beavers (home) batted second; Phillies batted first.
  First pitch 6:30 PM PT. Weather: 63°F · Wind cross · Overcast · Light rain · Humid. seed 887084.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 0.22    Peak faced 0.24
    27 outs left: 0.22
    18 outs left: 0.00
     9 outs left: 0.00
==============================================================================
Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
T 23 Anthony Mattke Vitas Anthony (2B) 1–0 —
B 2 Levar De Turenne Val Clement (1B) 1–1 0.12
B 4 Donis Zamora Levar De Turenne (3B) 1–2 0.00
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 0.22
Peak faced 0.24
27 outs left 0.22
18 outs left 0.00
9 outs left 0.00
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to The Oval's actual outfield dimensions (LF 326' · CF 455' · RF 395' · 14' wall). Cavernous.
Hand-Operated Scoreboard
Phillies — Batted Balls
10 BIP· 3 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
326' 455' 395' Wall 14' Jahiem Moor — ground_out · EV 81 mph · LA -8° · 77 ft Kemari Granberry — fly_out · EV 87 mph · LA +29° · 256 ft Bright Awoniyi — single · EV 92 mph · LA +0° · 87 ft Adhithya Tabaracci — single · EV 71 mph · LA +20° · 128 ft Vitas Anthony — single · EV 76 mph · LA +9° · 72 ft Shimeket Tassew — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +16° · 123 ft Anthony Mattke — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +36° · 221 ft Kemari Granberry — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA -11° · 49 ft Anthony Mattke — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -10° · 72 ft Kemari Granberry — double_play · EV 63 mph · LA -12° · 60 ft
Beavers — Batted Balls
6 BIP· 2 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
326' 455' 395' Wall 14' Francisco Vahaly — single · EV 85 mph · LA -8° · 81 ft Kyle Rabess — fly_out · EV 86 mph · LA +36° · 281 ft Val Clement — single · EV 91 mph · LA +16° · 171 ft Levar De Turenne — double · EV 88 mph · LA +22° · 216 ft Yadier Guerra — ground_out · EV 101 mph · LA +2° · 96 ft Donis Zamora — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA -1° · 78 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Phillies
0% deserve-to-win  ·  -0.2 expected runs
actual 1 run  ·  +1.2 vs expected
contact: 3.2 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 3.0 (-0.2 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 2 CS (-1.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Bright Awoniyi 92 / +0° Pull Single 0.4 → 1 +0.59
Shimeket Tassew 76 / +16° Pull Out 0.5 → 0 -0.54
Vitas Anthony 76 / +9° Center Single 0.5 → 1 +0.53
Adhithya Tabaracci 71 / +20° Center Single 0.5 → 1 +0.46
Kemari Granberry 87 / +29° Oppo Out 0.4 → 0 -0.38
Beavers
100% deserve-to-win  ·  0.8 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  +1.2 vs expected
contact: 3.0 est bases + 0 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 4.0 (+1.0 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Levar De Turenne 88 / +22° Center Double 0.6 → 2 +1.39
Francisco Vahaly 85 / -8° Oppo Single 0.3 → 1 +0.67
Yadier Guerra 101 / +2° Oppo Out 0.5 → 0 -0.50
Kyle Rabess 86 / +36° Pull Out 0.4 → 0 -0.44
Donis Zamora 82 / -1° Pull Out 0.3 → 0 -0.33
Compare basket · 0 max 4
Compare →