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Canaries 25, Marlins 4                                       2026-06-14 · #785
at New Jersey Yards
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                        1    R    H    E
Miami                   4    4    7    0
New Jersey             25   25   20    0

MARLINS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Mothudi     c  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.333
Enquist     cf ......    3   0   2   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.667
Vildoza     ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Offord      p  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Enterline   rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Chieh-y ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Beasley     3b ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.250
Ashley      1b ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.250
Mangin      lf ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Altamirano  2b ......    2   2   1   1   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.500
  b-Todd-Wi ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  29   4   7   1   0   0   4   3   9   0   0  0.241
  2B: Altamirano (4).
  HBP: Offord (1).
  GIDP: Vildoza (1).
  a-Batted for Enterline in the 6th.
  b-Batted in the 6th.

CANARIES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Kramer      2b ......    2   1   2   1   0   1   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Kerr        rf ......    3   5   3   0   0   2   8   1   0   0   0  1.000
Cordero     c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Akers   pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Lacava      3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Ali     ph ......    1   3   2   1   0   0   1   2   0   1   0  2.000
Conway      1b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Morriso pr ......    2   3   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
Carmona     lf ......    6   1   2   1   0   0   3   0   0   0   0  0.333
Tejeda      cf ......    6   2   3   0   0   0   3   0   2   0   0  0.500
Hollenbeck  ss ......    3   2   2   1   0   0   2   1   1   0   1  0.667
Huggins     p  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  d-Brickha pr ......    4   3   2   1   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.500
  e-Granber ph ......    3   2   1   1   0   0   3   1   0   0   0  0.333
  f-Fishbac ph ......    2   2   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.500
Susman      j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Woodall     j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  37  25  20   7   0   3  25   9   5   1   1  0.541
  2B: Kramer (24), Carmona (9), Hollenbeck (9), Brickhandler (12), Ali (25), Granberry (1), Fishbach (15).
  HR: Kramer (8), off Offord; Kerr 2 (10), off Offord, Solis.
  SB: Brickhandler (12).
  CS: Tejeda (3).
  HBP: Kerr (4), Conway (2), Hollenbeck (4), Ali (4).
  a-Ran for Cordero in the 2nd.
  b-Batted for Lacava in the 4th.
  c-Ran for Conway in the 4th.
  d-Ran for Huggins in the 2nd.
  e-Batted for Akers in the 4th.
  f-Batted in the 7th.

MARLINS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Offord ..............    18   10  37%    5    9    8    3    3    2   70    -
Solis (L, 0-3) ......    17    9  33%    8    9    9    4    1    1   80  1-0
Joly ................    14    6  22%    7    7    1    2    1    0   46  1-0
Beasley .............     1    2   7%    0    0    0    0    0    0    1  2-0

CANARIES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Huggins (W, 5-1) ....    13   12  44%    3    1    1    1    4    0   45    -
Tesfaye .............     4    3  11%    0    0    0    1    2    0   13  1-0
Arnoux ..............     4    4  15%    0    1    1    1    0    0   13  2-1
Bramblett (F, 11) ...    11    8  30%    4    2    2    0    3    0   38  1-0

MARLINS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Offord (Outs 1-10) → Solis (Outs 11-19) → Joly (Outs 20-25) → Beasley (Outs 26-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Mothudi (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Ashley (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Altamirano (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Beasley (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Vildoza (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Mangin (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Enquist (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Enterline (Outs 1-27)

CANARIES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Huggins (Outs 1-12) → Tesfaye (Outs 13-15) → Arnoux (Outs 16-19) → Bramblett (Outs 20-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Cordero (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Conway (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Kramer (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Lacava (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Hollenbeck (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Carmona (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Tejeda (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Kerr (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Canaries (home) batted first; Marlins batted second.
  First pitch 1:35 PM ET. Weather: 81°F · Wind calm · Overcast · Humid. seed 906001.
  Walk-Back runs: off Offord 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 0 Andrea Kramer Andrea Kramer (HR) 0–1
B 1 Roberto Lacava Jerome Kerr (2B) 0–2
B 6 Tripp Hollenbeck Fritz Akers (3B) 0–3
B 10 Prakash Granberry Jam Brickhandler (3B) 0–4
B 10 Jerome Kerr Ulises Morrison (3B) 0–5
B 10 Jerome Kerr Rodmond Ali (2B) 0–6
B 10 Jerome Kerr Prakash Granberry (1B) 0–7
B 10 Jerome Kerr Jerome Kerr (HR) 0–8
B 10 Andrea Kramer Jerome Kerr (3B) 0–9
B 18 Jerome Kerr Ulises Morrison (3B) 0–10
B 18 Jerome Kerr Jerome Kerr (HR) 0–11
B 19 Leonardo Tejeda Deylin Fishbach (3B) 0–12
B 19 Leonardo Tejeda Jam Brickhandler (2B) 0–13
B 19 Boris Carmona Tripp Hollenbeck (3B) 0–14
B 19 Boris Carmona Leonardo Tejeda (1B) 0–15
B 19 Rodmond Ali Boris Carmona (3B) 0–16
B 19 Prakash Granberry Ulises Morrison (2B) 0–17
B 19 Prakash Granberry Rodmond Ali (1B) 0–18
B 23 Boris Carmona Tripp Hollenbeck (2B) 0–19
B 25 Jerome Kerr Leonardo Tejeda (3B) 0–20
B 25 Jerome Kerr Rodmond Ali (2B) 0–21
B 25 Deylin Fishbach Prakash Granberry (2B) 0–22
B 25 Jam Brickhandler Jerome Kerr (3B) 0–23
B 25 Tripp Hollenbeck Deylin Fishbach (3B) 0–24
B 25 Leonardo Tejeda Jam Brickhandler (3B) 0–25
T 4 Devon Mangin Isaac Offord (3B) 1–25
T 16 Montavious Chieh-yu Jean Altamirano (2B) 2–25
T 21 Jean Altamirano Devon Mangin (1B) 3–25
T 21 Jason Enquist Jean Altamirano (3B) 4–25
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to New Jersey Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 341' · CF 403' · RF 324' · 40' wall). Balanced.
Marlins — Batted Balls
18 BIP· 6 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
341' 403' 324' Wall 40' Jacobe Mothudi — ground_out · EV 80 mph · LA +1° · 76 ft Máximo Vildoza — line_out · EV 93 mph · LA +21° · 233 ft Norm Ashley — single · EV 80 mph · LA +11° · 94 ft Devon Mangin — single · EV 88 mph · LA +21° · 209 ft Jason Enquist — single · EV 79 mph · LA +15° · 126 ft Bob Todd-Williams — line_out · EV 98 mph · LA +17° · 216 ft Montavious Chieh-yu — ground_out · EV 101 mph · LA -8° · 96 ft Norm Ashley — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA +16° · 126 ft Alexander Beasley — ground_out · EV 79 mph · LA -8° · 75 ft Wallace Enterline — fly_out · EV 95 mph · LA +31° · 316 ft Máximo Vildoza — double_play · EV 86 mph · LA -5° · 81 ft Jean Altamirano — double · EV 104 mph · LA +19° · 268 ft Bob Todd-Williams — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +16° · 120 ft Alexander Beasley — infield_single · EV 70 mph · LA -9° · 66 ft Devon Mangin — fielders_choice · EV 73 mph · LA -17° · 69 ft Jason Enquist — single · EV 71 mph · LA +13° · 86 ft Jacobe Mothudi — single · EV 62 mph · LA +22° · 105 ft Norm Ashley — fielders_choice · EV 92 mph · LA +9° · 109 ft
Canaries — Batted Balls
31 BIP· 10 1B · 7 XBH · 3 HR
341' 403' 324' Wall 40' Andrea Kramer — hr · EV 110 mph · LA +33° · 437 ft Grant Cordero — fielders_choice · EV 100 mph · LA +10° · 135 ft Roberto Lacava — ground_out · EV 90 mph · LA +2° · 86 ft Leo Conway — infield_single · EV 69 mph · LA -8° · 65 ft Boris Carmona — ground_out · EV 98 mph · LA +2° · 93 ft Leonardo Tejeda — single · EV 88 mph · LA +19° · 195 ft Jerome Kerr — hr · EV 101 mph · LA +45° · 409 ft Jesse Woodall — fly_out · EV 85 mph · LA +27° · 234 ft Jam Brickhandler — double · EV 110 mph · LA +22° · 337 ft Rodmond Ali — double · EV 88 mph · LA +34° · 287 ft Prakash Granberry — line_out · EV 85 mph · LA +14° · 139 ft Ulises Morrison — single · EV 79 mph · LA +13° · 105 ft Andrea Kramer — double · EV 108 mph · LA +22° · 324 ft Jerome Kerr — hr · EV 100 mph · LA +39° · 391 ft Jam Brickhandler — fielders_choice · EV 104 mph · LA +8° · 99 ft Rodmond Ali — single · EV 83 mph · LA +8° · 77 ft Prakash Granberry — double · EV 94 mph · LA +12° · 143 ft Tripp Hollenbeck — single · EV 79 mph · LA +16° · 135 ft Ulises Morrison — line_out · EV 113 mph · LA +14° · 238 ft Deylin Fishbach — double · EV 92 mph · LA +16° · 179 ft Boris Carmona — ground_out · EV 75 mph · LA -18° · 71 ft Prakash Granberry — error · EV 83 mph · LA +4° · 78 ft Jerome Kerr — single · EV 93 mph · LA +24° · 259 ft Tripp Hollenbeck — double · EV 101 mph · LA +13° · 175 ft Leonardo Tejeda — single · EV 88 mph · LA -20° · 84 ft Boris Carmona — double · EV 97 mph · LA +17° · 209 ft Jam Brickhandler — single · EV 81 mph · LA +22° · 186 ft Leonardo Tejeda — fielders_choice · EV 78 mph · LA -10° · 74 ft Boris Carmona — single · EV 100 mph · LA +8° · 110 ft Leonardo Tejeda — single · EV 90 mph · LA +6° · 85 ft Boris Carmona — fly_out · EV 81 mph · LA +44° · 260 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Marlins
8% deserve-to-win  ·  6.7 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  -2.7 vs expected
contact: 10.4 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 8.0 (-2.4 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Bob Todd-Williams 98 / +17° Oppo Out 1.2 → 0 -1.24
Máximo Vildoza 93 / +21° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.90
Alexander Beasley 70 / -9° Center Single 0.1 → 1 +0.89
Norm Ashley 92 / +9° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.83
Wallace Enterline 95 / +31° Center Out 0.7 → 0 -0.74
Canaries
92% deserve-to-win  ·  23.4 expected runs
actual 25 runs  ·  +1.6 vs expected
contact: 29.4 est bases + 13 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 36.0 (+6.6 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Jerome Kerr 100 / +39° Oppo Home Run 2.0 → 4 +2.05
Ulises Morrison 113 / +14° Oppo Out 1.6 → 0 -1.56
Jerome Kerr 101 / +45° Center Home Run 2.6 → 4 +1.41
Grant Cordero 100 / +10° Pull Out 1.2 → 0 -1.25
Prakash Granberry 94 / +12° Oppo Double 0.8 → 2 +1.17
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