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Expos 6, Rockies 2                                           2026-06-16 · #809
at Huerta Stadium
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                        1    R    H    E
Colorado                2    2    5    0
Montreal                6    6    7    0

ROCKIES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Martinho    ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  0.000
Dávila      p  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Porteño     2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Kaiuway pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Alderman    rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Diatta  ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Ruidíaz     3b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Mondragón   1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Herr    pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Touchard    c  ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Chaves      cf ......    3   1   2   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.667
Lewis       lf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.333
Totals                  25   2   5   0   0   0   0   5   4   0   0  0.200
  SB: Herr (2), Chaves (5).
  CS: Kaiuway (6), Lewis (5).
  GIDP: Herr (2), Alderman (8), Touchard (2), Lewis (1).
  a-Ran for Porteño in the 5th.
  b-Batted for Alderman in the 5th.
  c-Ran for Mondragón in the 5th.

EXPOS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Moreira     lf ......    4   2   2   2   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.500
Solórzano   2b ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Triguei pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Brown       p  ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   1  0.500
  b-Quinter ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Walsh       cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
  c-Huitema pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Spence      c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Deener      3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Geffrar ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Mondeville  rf ......    3   1   1   0   0   1   2   0   1   0   0  0.333
Pérez       1b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Hutnick     ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Gibson      j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Currier     j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Morales     j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  28   6   7   4   0   1   6   5  14   0   1  0.250
  2B: Moreira 2 (34), Solórzano (7), Brown (1).
  HR: Mondeville (2), off Dávila.
  CS: Solórzano (3), Brown (1).
  HBP: Gibson (2).
  a-Ran for Solórzano in the 4th.
  b-Struck out for Brown in the 9th.
  c-Ran for Walsh in the 7th.
  d-Walked for Deener in the 7th.

ROCKIES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Dávila (L, 13-3) ....    24   19  70%    7    5    5    4    7    1   82    -
Endo ................    10    8  30%    0    1    1    1    7    0   35  2-0

EXPOS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Brown ...............     9    8  30%    2    0    0    0    3    0   38    -
Huard (W, 2-1) ......    15   14  52%    3    2    2    4    1    0   40  1-1
Cabalceta (F, 15) ...     4    5  19%    0    0    0    1    0    0    8  2-0

ROCKIES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Dávila (Outs 1-19) → Endo (Outs 20-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Touchard (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Mondragón (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Porteño (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Ruidíaz (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Martinho (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Lewis (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Chaves (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Alderman (Outs 1-27)

EXPOS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Brown (Outs 1-8) → Huard (Outs 9-22) → Cabalceta (Outs 23-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Spence (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Pérez (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Solórzano (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Deener (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Hutnick (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Moreira (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Walsh (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Mondeville (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Expos (home) batted first; Rockies batted second.
  First pitch 6:30 PM ET. Weather: 65°F · Wind calm · Clear · Heavy rain. seed 82821.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 0.78    Peak faced 7.50
    27 outs left: 0.78
    18 outs left: 1.00
     9 outs left: 1.67
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
B 15 Franklin Mondeville Ozziel Moreira (2B) 0–1 —
B 15 Franklin Mondeville Franklin Mondeville (HR) 0–2 —
B 17 Ozziel Moreira Jordi Pérez (1B) 0–3 —
B 19 Pedro Morales Ozziel Moreira (3B) 0–4 —
B 19 Pedro Morales Raymond Trigueiro (2B) 0–5 —
B 21 Curt Gibson Jenson Huitema (3B) 0–6 —
T 8 Jeyland Chaves Jeyland Chaves (3B) 1–6 0.95
T 13 Leonel Dávila Ronald Herr (3B) 2–6 1.07
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 0.78
Peak faced 7.50
27 outs left 0.78
18 outs left 1.00
9 outs left 1.67
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Huerta Stadium's actual outfield dimensions (LF 288' · CF 412' · RF 348' · 50' wall). Short Porch (Left).
Rockies — Batted Balls
18 BIP· 5 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
288' 412' 348' Wall 50' Leonel Dávila — single · EV 80 mph · LA +20° · 163 ft Allen Alderman — double_play · EV 58 mph · LA -20° · 55 ft Marco Ruidíaz — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -5° · 72 ft Jeyland Chaves — single · EV 97 mph · LA +4° · 92 ft Thomas Lewis — line_out · EV 79 mph · LA +21° · 169 ft John Diatta — fly_out · EV 104 mph · LA +34° · 399 ft Justin Kaiuway — line_out · EV 52 mph · LA +14° · 60 ft Ronald Herr — double_play · EV 82 mph · LA -19° · 78 ft Thomas Lewis — single · EV 87 mph · LA +15° · 149 ft Jeyland Chaves — single · EV 101 mph · LA +22° · 289 ft Jahmari Touchard — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -0° · 72 ft Aníbal Mondragón — fielders_choice · EV 92 mph · LA -8° · 87 ft John Diatta — fly_out · EV 99 mph · LA +39° · 382 ft Marco Ruidíaz — single · EV 76 mph · LA +13° · 103 ft Jahmari Touchard — fly_out · EV 78 mph · LA +30° · 210 ft Thomas Lewis — double_play · EV 61 mph · LA -12° · 58 ft Jeyland Chaves — fly_out · EV 87 mph · LA +38° · 297 ft Jahmari Touchard — double_play · EV 53 mph · LA +18° · 67 ft
Expos — Batted Balls
11 BIP· 2 1B · 4 XBH · 1 HR
288' 412' 348' Wall 50' Rónald Solórzano — double · EV 100 mph · LA +34° · 372 ft Michael Brown — double · EV 100 mph · LA +24° · 300 ft Franklin Mondeville — line_out · EV 95 mph · LA +26° · 283 ft Mark Hutnick — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA -2° · 95 ft Gabe Deener — line_out · EV 100 mph · LA +17° · 221 ft Pedro Morales — single · EV 119 mph · LA -10° · 113 ft Ozziel Moreira — double · EV 100 mph · LA +16° · 208 ft Franklin Mondeville — hr · EV 113 mph · LA +27° · 419 ft Jordi Pérez — single · EV 100 mph · LA +46° · 400 ft Ozziel Moreira — double · EV 119 mph · LA +17° · 323 ft Jordi Pérez — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +28° · 328 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Rockies
41% deserve-to-win  ·  6.6 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  -4.6 vs expected
contact: 10.2 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (-5.2 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 2 CS (-0.5 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
John Diatta 104 / +34° Oppo Out 1.9 → 0 -1.93
John Diatta 99 / +39° Center Out 1.5 → 0 -1.45
Thomas Lewis 79 / +21° Pull Out 0.5 → 0 -0.54
Marco Ruidíaz 76 / +13° Oppo Single 0.5 → 1 +0.53
Jeyland Chaves 97 / +4° Center Single 0.5 → 1 +0.52
Expos
59% deserve-to-win  ·  8.0 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  -2.0 vs expected
contact: 16.5 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 14.0 (-2.5 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 2 CS (-1.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Jordi Pérez 100 / +46° Pull Single 2.6 → 1 -1.59
Gabe Deener 100 / +17° Pull Out 1.4 → 0 -1.42
Jordi Pérez 100 / +28° Pull Out 1.3 → 0 -1.33
Franklin Mondeville 95 / +26° Pull Out 1.1 → 0 -1.07
Franklin Mondeville 113 / +27° Pull Home Run 2.9 → 4 +1.07
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