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Braves 18, Astros 15                                         2026-06-17 · #811
at Meadow Stadium
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Atlanta                18      0   18   18    0
Houston                15      0   15   13    0

BRAVES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Allison     cf ......    4   3   3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.750
Alvelo      2b ......    2   3   2   1   0   1   3   0   0   0   0  1.000
Chu         ss ......    4   1   2   2   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.500
Spencer     lf ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.333
  a-Martín  pr ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Cocotos     1b ......    4   2   2   1   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.500
Sherman     3b ......    4   2   1   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.250
Ramon-Edwar c  ......    4   1   1   1   0   0   0   1   3   0   0  0.250
Pollard     rf ......    5   4   3   1   0   1   4   0   1   0   0  0.600
Bombito     p  ......    5   1   1   1   0   0   3   0   3   0   0  0.200
  b-Kaloger ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Ortiz       j  ......    1   0   1   0   1   0   3   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  39  18  18   8   1   2  18   5  12   0   0  0.462
  2B: Alvelo (15), Chu 2 (18), Spencer (10), Cocotos (7), Ramon-Edwards (16), Pollard (2), Bombito (3).
  3B: Ortiz (1).
  HR: Alvelo (1), off Benguché; Pollard (1), off Fenty.
  SB: Alvelo (7).
  CS: Chu (4), Ramon-Edwards (3).
  GIDP: Kalogeropoulos (3).
  a-Ran for Spencer in the 8th.
  b-Batted in the 6th.

ASTROS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Braun       ss ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   2   1   1   0   1  0.333
Morales     1b ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Gómez       2b ......    5   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.200
Solórzano   3b ......    5   2   3   0   0   1   3   0   1   0   0  0.600
Takada      lf ......    5   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Wiesner     c  ......    3   2   2   1   0   0   3   1   0   0   0  0.667
Daniels     cf ......    2   3   1   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  0.500
Humphreys   rf ......    2   2   2   1   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Colón   pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Benguché    p  ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.250
  b-Patridg ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Farrow  pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Oliveira    j  ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   3   0   0   0   0  1.000
Valencia    j  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Totals                  35  15  13   5   0   1  15   7  11   0   1  0.371
  2B: Braun (11), Oliveira (3), Gómez (5), Wiesner (4), Humphreys (3).
  HR: Solórzano (1), off Bombito.
  CS: Takada (4), Wiesner (7).
  a-Ran for Humphreys in the 7th.
  b-Batted in the 5th.
  c-Ran in the 8th.

BRAVES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Bombito .............    11    7  26%    4    5    5    2    2    1   44    -
Buford (W, 1-1) .....    13   12  44%    1    2    2    2    5    0   56  1-1
Morejón .............     9    5  19%    6    5    5    0    2    0   26  1-1
Chourio .............     4    1   4%    1    3    3    2    1    0   11  1-1
Voorhees ............     3    2   7%    0    0    0    1    1    0    9  1-0

ASTROS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Benguché ............     5    2   7%    3    3    2    0    1    1   13    -
Salzenstein .........     7    4  15%    4    3    3    0    2    0   19  1-0
Reliford ............    14   10  37%    3    3    3    3    3    0   54  1-1
Solaun ..............     9    7  26%    4    3    3    0    3    0   21  2-1
Fenty (L, 0-1) ......     5    1   4%    3    5    5    1    1    1   20  1-0
Braun ...............     4    3  11%    1    1    1    1    2    0   21  1-1

BRAVES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Bombito (Outs 1-7) → Buford (Outs 8-19) → Morejón (Outs 20-24) → Chourio (Outs 25-25) → Voorhees (Outs 26-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Ramon-Edwards (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Cocotos (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Alvelo (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Sherman (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Chu (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Spencer (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Allison (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Pollard (Outs 1-27)

ASTROS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Benguché (Outs 1-2) → Salzenstein (Outs 3-6) → Reliford (Outs 7-16) → Solaun (Outs 17-23) → Fenty (Outs 24-24) → Braun (Outs 25-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Wiesner (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Morales (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Gómez (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Solórzano (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Braun (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Takada (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Daniels (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Humphreys (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Astros (home) batted second; Braves batted first.
  Seconds: ATL o26 (18-0), HOU o26 (15-18).
  First pitch 6:30 PM CT. Weather: 98°F · Wind calm · Overcast. seed 843646.
  Powerplays: Astros — Patridge NF
  Walk-Back runs: off Benguché 1, off Braun 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 0 Mirko Alvelo Cameron Allison (1B) 1–0
T 0 Mirko Alvelo Mirko Alvelo (HR) 2–0
T 0 Todd Chu Mirko Alvelo (3B) 3–0
T 3 Alphonzo Pollard Bruce Cocotos (2B) 4–0
T 3 Alphonzo Pollard Mac Sherman (1B) 5–0
T 5 Mirko Alvelo Alphonzo Pollard (3B) 6–0
T 10 Edgar Ortiz Mirko Alvelo (3B) 7–0
T 10 Edgar Ortiz Sean Ramon-Edwards (2B) 8–0
T 10 Edgar Ortiz Alphonzo Pollard (1B) 9–0
T 15 Todd Chu Mac Sherman (2B) 10–0
T 22 Bruce Cocotos Cameron Allison (2B) 11–0
T 22 Zack Spencer Bruce Cocotos (2B) 12–0
T 23 Donovan Bombito Joseph Martín (3B) 13–0
T 23 Donovan Bombito Todd Chu (2B) 14–0
T 23 Donovan Bombito Cameron Allison (1B) 15–0
T 23 Alphonzo Pollard Donovan Bombito (2B) 16–0
T 23 Alphonzo Pollard Alphonzo Pollard (HR) 17–0
T 26 Joseph Martín Alphonzo Pollard (3B) 18–0
B 1 Mayer Gómez Jeyland Morales (2B) 18–1
B 1 Jeyland Solórzano Mayer Gómez (2B) 18–2
B 1 Jeyland Solórzano Jeyland Solórzano (HR) 18–3
B 6 Korey Humphreys Shawn Daniels (2B) 18–4
B 6 Korey Humphreys Korey Humphreys (1B) 18–5
B 6 Zane Wiesner Korey Humphreys (2B) 18–6
B 6 Zane Wiesner Shawn Daniels (1B) 18–7
B 18 Maylor Benguché Zane Wiesner (2B) 18–8
B 21 Zane Wiesner Maylor Benguché (3B) 18–9
B 22 Jeyland Solórzano Shawn Daniels (2B) 18–10
B 23 Brayan Braun Zane Wiesner (3B) 18–11
B 23 Brayan Braun Jeyland Solórzano (1B) 18–12
B 23 Marcelo Oliveira Brayan Braun (3B) 18–13
B 23 Marcelo Oliveira Everett Farrow (2B) 18–14
B 23 Marcelo Oliveira Maxi Valencia (1B) 18–15
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Meadow Stadium's actual outfield dimensions (LF 374' · CF 430' · RF 367' · 8' wall). The Hourglass.
Hand-Operated Scoreboard Ivy Wall
Braves — Batted Balls
26 BIP· 7 1B · 9 XBH · 2 HR
374' 430' 367' Cameron Allison — single · EV 99 mph · LA +4° · 94 ft Mirko Alvelo — hr · EV 108 mph · LA +36° · 448 ft Todd Chu — double · EV 92 mph · LA +19° · 209 ft Bruce Cocotos — single · EV 71 mph · LA +24° · 151 ft Mac Sherman — single · EV 76 mph · LA +9° · 71 ft Alphonzo Pollard — double · EV 98 mph · LA +28° · 316 ft Edgar Ortiz — triple · EV 106 mph · LA +14° · 218 ft Kreigh Kalogeropoulos — double_play · EV 89 mph · LA +7° · 85 ft Joseph Martín — single · EV 101 mph · LA -10° · 96 ft Cameron Allison — line_out · EV 84 mph · LA +15° · 144 ft Mirko Alvelo — double · EV 97 mph · LA +30° · 326 ft Todd Chu — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +21° · 226 ft Zack Spencer — ground_out · EV 65 mph · LA -6° · 62 ft Alphonzo Pollard — single · EV 114 mph · LA +5° · 109 ft Donovan Bombito — line_out · EV 58 mph · LA +16° · 73 ft Sean Ramon-Edwards — double · EV 92 mph · LA +13° · 147 ft Alphonzo Pollard — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA +6° · 78 ft Todd Chu — double · EV 98 mph · LA +14° · 184 ft Cameron Allison — single · EV 96 mph · LA -1° · 91 ft Mac Sherman — ground_out · EV 70 mph · LA -10° · 66 ft Zack Spencer — double · EV 98 mph · LA +26° · 303 ft Bruce Cocotos — double · EV 97 mph · LA +26° · 295 ft Cameron Allison — single · EV 87 mph · LA +11° · 111 ft Todd Chu — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +31° · 204 ft Donovan Bombito — double · EV 109 mph · LA +21° · 318 ft Alphonzo Pollard — hr · EV 107 mph · LA +32° · 407 ft
Astros — Batted Balls
20 BIP· 6 1B · 5 XBH · 1 HR
374' 430' 367' Jeyland Morales — single · EV 76 mph · LA -0° · 72 ft Mayer Gómez — double · EV 105 mph · LA +23° · 314 ft Jeyland Solórzano — hr · EV 97 mph · LA +44° · 373 ft Masamichi Takada — fielders_choice · EV 86 mph · LA +5° · 82 ft Zane Wiesner — fly_out · EV 90 mph · LA +37° · 314 ft Korey Humphreys — double · EV 94 mph · LA +14° · 164 ft Rubén Colón — fly_out · EV 104 mph · LA +26° · 341 ft Marcelo Oliveira — double · EV 100 mph · LA +20° · 259 ft Zane Wiesner — double · EV 100 mph · LA +41° · 395 ft Jeyland Solórzano — ground_out · EV 73 mph · LA +7° · 70 ft Mayer Gómez — ground_out · EV 74 mph · LA -4° · 70 ft Brayan Braun — line_out · EV 100 mph · LA +18° · 236 ft Korey Humphreys — single · EV 84 mph · LA +11° · 106 ft Shawn Daniels — single · EV 108 mph · LA +8° · 103 ft Maylor Benguché — single · EV 98 mph · LA +12° · 154 ft Zane Wiesner — single · EV 108 mph · LA +2° · 102 ft Brayan Braun — double · EV 89 mph · LA +24° · 234 ft Jeyland Solórzano — single · EV 107 mph · LA -1° · 101 ft Mayer Gómez — fielders_choice · EV 103 mph · LA +8° · 116 ft Masamichi Takada — ground_out · EV 63 mph · LA +8° · 60 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Braves
55% deserve-to-win  ·  11.7 expected runs
actual 18 runs  ·  +6.3 vs expected
contact: 22.0 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 34.0 (+12.0 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 2 CS (-0.9 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Alphonzo Pollard 107 / +32° Pull Home Run 2.0 → 4 +1.98
Edgar Ortiz 106 / +14° Pull Triple 1.4 → 3 +1.61
Sean Ramon-Edwards 92 / +13° Pull Double 0.8 → 2 +1.19
Todd Chu 92 / +19° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.11
Alphonzo Pollard 98 / +28° Pull Double 1.1 → 2 +0.93
Astros
45% deserve-to-win  ·  10.6 expected runs
actual 15 runs  ·  +4.4 vs expected
contact: 18.5 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 20.0 (+1.5 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 2 CS (-1.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Jeyland Solórzano 97 / +44° Oppo Home Run 2.0 → 4 +1.99
Rubén Colón 104 / +26° Center Out 1.3 → 0 -1.34
Mayer Gómez 103 / +8° Pull Out 1.3 → 0 -1.26
Brayan Braun 100 / +18° Pull Out 1.2 → 0 -1.22
Korey Humphreys 94 / +14° Pull Double 0.8 → 2 +1.19
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