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Diamondbacks 2, Tigers 1                                     2026-06-17 · #812
at Kuvvatov Bowl
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                        1    R    H    E
Arizona                 2    2    2    0
Detroit                 1    1    1    1

DIAMONDBACKS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Pope        ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Deck        p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Gronowski   rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Maupin      c  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Kamara  pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
McNutt      lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Martin      2b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Foyth       cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Baxter      1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Ullstrom    3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-O'Conne pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  c-Kruger  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Manasse     j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Galekovic   j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  19   2   2   0   0   0   1   1  12   0   0  0.105

  a-Ran for Maupin in the 3rd.
  b-Ran in the 6th.
  c-Struck out in the 5th.

TIGERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Delatte     ss ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Peavy       lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Cotzumalgua cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Monroe  pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Grimaldo    1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Whorisk ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Zheng       3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  c-McMicha pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Ndiaye      2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Sears       rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Lutmer      c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Muriel      p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Acebo   pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  e-Takuma  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Soldan      j  ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Totals                  24   1   1   1   0   0   1   6  14   0   0  0.042
  2B: Soldan (6).
  SB: Acebo (7).
  CS: Acebo (7).
  E: Soldan (1).
  GIDP: Whoriskey (12).
  a-Ran for Cotzumalguapa in the 7th.
  b-Batted for Grimaldo in the 5th.
  c-Ran for Zheng in the 5th.
  d-Ran for Muriel in the 4th.
  e-Struck out for McMichael in the 7th.

DIAMONDBACKS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Deck (W, 5-8) .......    30   27 100%    1    1    1    6   14    0  111    -

TIGERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Muriel (L, 7-1) .....    20   17  63%    2    2    1    1   12    0   85    -

DIAMONDBACKS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Deck (Outs 1-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Maupin (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Baxter (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Martin (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Ullstrom (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Pope (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | McNutt (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Foyth (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Gronowski (Outs 1-27)

TIGERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-17)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Muriel (Outs 1-17)
CATCHER (C)       | Lutmer (Outs 1-17)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Grimaldo (Outs 1-17)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Ndiaye (Outs 1-17)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Zheng (Outs 1-17)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Delatte (Outs 1-17)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Peavy (Outs 1-17)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Cotzumalguapa (Outs 1-17)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Sears (Outs 1-17)

  Batting order: Tigers (home) batted first; Diamondbacks batted second.
  First pitch 6:30 PM CT. Weather: 79°F · Wind cross · Overcast. seed 695792.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 0.22    Peak faced 0.25
    27 outs left: 0.22
    18 outs left: 0.17
     9 outs left: 0.00
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
B 14 Kenyatta Soldan Barry McMichael (1B) 0–1 —
T 7 Dennis Manasse Craig Kamara (3B) 1–1 0.15
T 17 Erick Deck Don O'Connell (3B) 2–1 0.00
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 0.22
Peak faced 0.25
27 outs left 0.22
18 outs left 0.17
9 outs left 0.00
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Kuvvatov Bowl's actual outfield dimensions (LF 307' · CF 431' · RF 353' · 43' wall). Short Porch (Left).
Hand-Operated Scoreboard
Diamondbacks — Batted Balls
5 BIP· 2 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
307' 431' 353' Wall 43' Huntley Maupin — single · EV 84 mph · LA +21° · 185 ft Dennis Manasse — ground_out · EV 99 mph · LA +6° · 94 ft Thomas Martin — single · EV 84 mph · LA -12° · 80 ft Shyheim Baxter — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -15° · 83 ft Erick Deck — error · EV 88 mph · LA +2° · 84 ft
Tigers — Batted Balls
7 BIP· 0 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
307' 431' 353' Wall 43' Yimmi Cotzumalguapa — ground_out · EV 97 mph · LA +46° · 377 ft Kenyatta Soldan — double · EV 94 mph · LA +22° · 245 ft Cooper Monroe — ground_out · EV 63 mph · LA +10° · 60 ft Aleksandar Delatte — ground_out · EV 90 mph · LA -4° · 85 ft Thai-Son Whoriskey — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +1° · 72 ft Kenyatta Soldan — line_out · EV 119 mph · LA +19° · 353 ft Aleksandar Delatte — ground_out · EV 74 mph · LA +6° · 71 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Diamondbacks
3% deserve-to-win  ·  0.7 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  +1.3 vs expected
contact: 2.2 est bases + 1 walk/HBP  ·  actual batted 2.0 (-0.2 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Thomas Martin 84 / -12° Oppo Single 0.3 → 1 +0.66
Dennis Manasse 99 / +6° Pull Out 0.5 → 0 -0.48
Erick Deck 88 / +2° Pull Reached on Error 0.4 → 0 -0.41
Huntley Maupin 84 / +21° Oppo Single 0.6 → 1 +0.39
Shyheim Baxter 88 / -15° Center Out 0.3 → 0 -0.34
Tigers
97% deserve-to-win  ·  3.9 expected runs
actual 1 run  ·  -2.9 vs expected
contact: 5.8 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 2.0 (-3.8 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Yimmi Cotzumalguapa 97 / +46° Pull Out 2.0 → 0 -2.01
Kenyatta Soldan 119 / +19° Center Out 1.7 → 0 -1.71
Kenyatta Soldan 94 / +22° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.11
Aleksandar Delatte 90 / -4° Center Out 0.4 → 0 -0.39
Cooper Monroe 63 / +10° Pull Out 0.3 → 0 -0.33
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