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Padres 3, Tigers 2                                           2026-06-21 · #857
at Saitch Coliseum
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                        1    R    H    E
Detroit                 2    2    3    0
San Diego               3    3    2    1

TIGERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Peavy       lf ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Grimaldo    2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Whorisk ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Zheng       ss ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
Monroe      3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Kuchiki     1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  b-Takuma  ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Marion      cf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Delatte ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Sears       rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Verón   pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Lutmer      c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  e-McMicha pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Malin       p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  f-Acebo   pr ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Soldan      j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  26   2   3   0   0   0   2   2  12   0   0  0.115
  CS: Acebo (8).
  HBP: Sears (2).
  GIDP: Whoriskey (14).
  a-Batted for Grimaldo in the 6th.
  b-Walked for Kuchiki in the 8th.
  c-Batted for Marion in the 5th.
  d-Ran for Sears in the 7th.
  e-Ran for Lutmer in the 7th.
  f-Ran for Malin in the 3rd.

PADRES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
MacCracken  2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Hulbert     p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Johnsto ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Batt        c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Najar       3b ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Atehortua   1b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  b-Fernánd ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Lavelle     rf ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Andrade     ss ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
  c-Clarke  pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Miranda     cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Lettiere    lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  14   3   2   1   0   0   0   3   3   0   0  0.143
  2B: Andrade (4).
  SB: Najar (3).
  CS: Atehortua (6).
  E: Hulbert (1).
  HBP: Batt (3).
  GIDP: MacCracken (4).
  a-Grounded out for Hulbert in the 5th.
  b-Grounded out for Atehortua in the 5th.
  c-Ran for Andrade in the 5th.

TIGERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Malin (L, 2-3) ......    18   14  52%    2    3    3    3    3    0   64    -

PADRES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Hulbert (W, 5-7) ....    28   27 100%    2    2    2    2   12    0  101    -

TIGERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-14)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Malin (Outs 1-14)
CATCHER (C)       | Lutmer (Outs 1-14)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Kuchiki (Outs 1-14)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Grimaldo (Outs 1-14)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Monroe (Outs 1-14)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Zheng (Outs 1-14)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Peavy (Outs 1-14)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Marion (Outs 1-14)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Sears (Outs 1-14)

PADRES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Hulbert (Outs 1-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Batt (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Atehortua (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | MacCracken (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Najar (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Andrade (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Lettiere (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Miranda (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Lavelle (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Padres (home) batted second; Tigers batted first.
  First pitch 2:10 PM PT. Weather: 94°F · Wind cross · Overcast · Light rain · Humid. seed 451110.
  Powerplays: Padres — Fernández NF (O26)
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 20 Aleksandar Delatte Barry McMichael (2B) 1–0
T 21 Cooper Monroe Youstin Verón (2B) 2–0
B 11 Thomas Lavelle Thomas Lavelle (3B) 2–1
B 12 Israel Fernández Lucas Clarke (3B) 2–2
B 14 Fernán Johnston Yoshimar Najar (3B) 2–3
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Saitch Coliseum's actual outfield dimensions (LF 386' · CF 403' · RF 371' · 6' wall). Oval — Cricket-Ground Revival.
Tigers — Batted Balls
11 BIP· 2 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
386' 403' 371' Zixuan Zheng — single · EV 76 mph · LA -9° · 72 ft Karl Marion — single · EV 86 mph · LA +17° · 163 ft Liam Lutmer — ground_out · EV 66 mph · LA -4° · 63 ft Keshav Malin — error · EV 55 mph · LA -4° · 53 ft Aleksandar Delatte — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -14° · 72 ft Cooper Monroe — ground_out · EV 68 mph · LA +7° · 65 ft Zixuan Zheng — ground_out · EV 64 mph · LA -18° · 60 ft Aleksandar Delatte — ground_out · EV 59 mph · LA +15° · 68 ft Thai-Son Whoriskey — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +13° · 104 ft Liam Lutmer — error · EV 55 mph · LA +1° · 52 ft Cooper Monroe — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +19° · 141 ft
Padres — Batted Balls
8 BIP· 1 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
386' 403' 371' Roy Hulbert — ground_out · EV 83 mph · LA -9° · 79 ft Thomas Lavelle — single · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 95 ft Daylan Miranda — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +29° · 198 ft Reed Lettiere — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +32° · 209 ft Israel Fernández — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -8° · 49 ft Reed Lettiere — line_out · EV 62 mph · LA +18° · 88 ft Ludlow MacCracken — double_play · EV 57 mph · LA +2° · 54 ft Haxzel Andrade — double · EV 76 mph · LA +38° · 224 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Tigers
21% deserve-to-win  ·  0.8 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  +1.2 vs expected
contact: 3.0 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 2.0 (-1.0 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Zixuan Zheng 76 / -9° Oppo Single 0.2 → 1 +0.78
Cooper Monroe 76 / +19° Pull Out 0.5 → 0 -0.54
Thai-Son Whoriskey 76 / +13° Oppo Double Play 0.5 → 0 -0.48
Karl Marion 86 / +17° Pull Single 0.6 → 1 +0.37
Aleksandar Delatte 59 / +15° Oppo Out 0.3 → 0 -0.33
Padres
79% deserve-to-win  ·  1.6 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  +1.4 vs expected
contact: 1.8 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 3.0 (+1.2 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Haxzel Andrade 76 / +38° Pull Double 0.1 → 2 +1.93
Thomas Lavelle 76 / +12° Center Single 0.5 → 1 +0.52
Reed Lettiere 62 / +18° Center Out 0.4 → 0 -0.43
Roy Hulbert 83 / -9° Pull Out 0.3 → 0 -0.35
Daylan Miranda 76 / +29° Pull Out 0.2 → 0 -0.16
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