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Canaries 3, Marlins 2                                        2026-06-23 · #877
at Deifel Bowl
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                        1    R    H    E
New Jersey              3    3    5    0
Miami                   2    2    3    0

CANARIES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Kramer      2b ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Brickhandle 1b ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Ali         3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Braun       ss ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Haliburton  p  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   1   .000
Fishbach    c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Carmona     rf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Akers   pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Tejeda      lf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   .000
  b-Kerr    ph ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Hollenbeck  cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                   8   3   5   3   0   0   3   1   1   0   2  0.625
  2B: Kramer (29), Brickhandler (16), Kerr (12).
  SB: Akers (13).
  CS: Braun (8).
  a-Ran for Carmona in the 7th.
  b-Doubled for Tejeda in the 3rd.

MARLINS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Baird       p  ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Mangin      lf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Vildoza     ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Suggs       2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Todd-Willia rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Corzo       3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Trevino     1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Ashley      c  ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.333
Enquist     cf ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Burns       j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  26   2   3   2   0   0   2   2  10   0   0  0.115
  2B: Ashley (6), Enquist (11).
  HBP: Baird (2).


CANARIES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Haliburton (W, 7-2) .    28   27 100%    3    2    2    2   10    0  101    -

MARLINS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Baird (L, 3-11) .....     9    6  22%    5    3    3    1    1    0   22    -

CANARIES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Haliburton (Outs 1-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Fishbach (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Brickhandler (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Kramer (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Ali (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Braun (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Tejeda (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Hollenbeck (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Carmona (Outs 1-27)

MARLINS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-6)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Baird (Outs 1-6)
CATCHER (C)       | Ashley (Outs 1-6)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Trevino (Outs 1-6)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Suggs (Outs 1-6)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Corzo (Outs 1-6)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Vildoza (Outs 1-6)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Mangin (Outs 1-6)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Enquist (Outs 1-6)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Todd-Williams (Outs 1-6)

  Batting order: Marlins (home) batted first; Canaries batted second.
  First pitch 7:35 PM ET. Weather: 92°F · Wind calm · Clear · Humid. seed 776332.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 8 Jason Enquist Treston Baird (2B) 0–1
B 8 Norm Ashley Jason Enquist (2B) 0–2
T 1 Jam Brickhandler Andrea Kramer (2B) 1–2
T 1 Keshav Haliburton Jam Brickhandler (3B) 2–2
T 6 Jerome Kerr Fritz Akers (3B) 3–2
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Deifel Bowl's actual outfield dimensions (LF 276' · CF 455' · RF 303' · 50' wall). Bathtub.
Canaries — Batted Balls
6 BIP· 2 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
276' 455' 303' Wall 50' Andrea Kramer — double · EV 107 mph · LA +27° · 364 ft Rodmond Ali — fly_out · EV 82 mph · LA +30° · 235 ft Jam Brickhandler — double · EV 117 mph · LA +43° · 480 ft Gianluca Braun — single · EV 88 mph · LA +17° · 174 ft Boris Carmona — single · EV 76 mph · LA +22° · 163 ft Jerome Kerr — double · EV 97 mph · LA +23° · 267 ft
Marlins — Batted Balls
14 BIP· 1 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
276' 455' 303' Wall 50' Devon Mangin — ground_out · EV 97 mph · LA +19° · 226 ft Carson Suggs — line_out · EV 94 mph · LA +17° · 194 ft Bob Todd-Williams — ground_out · EV 83 mph · LA -16° · 79 ft Wilmer Corzo — line_out · EV 80 mph · LA +25° · 199 ft Jason Enquist — line_out · EV 100 mph · LA +16° · 208 ft Treston Baird — ground_out · EV 71 mph · LA -10° · 67 ft Don Burns — ground_out · EV 99 mph · LA +15° · 192 ft Jason Enquist — double · EV 91 mph · LA +27° · 268 ft Norm Ashley — double · EV 99 mph · LA +26° · 309 ft Wilmer Corzo — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA -14° · 73 ft Bob Todd-Williams — ground_out · EV 80 mph · LA +22° · 174 ft Devon Mangin — single · EV 103 mph · LA +3° · 98 ft Jason Enquist — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA +1° · 79 ft Treston Baird — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +50° · 393 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Canaries
36% deserve-to-win  ·  3.9 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  -0.9 vs expected
contact: 8.5 est bases + 1 walk/HBP  ·  actual batted 8.0 (-0.5 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Jam Brickhandler 117 / +43° Center Double 3.6 → 2 -1.62
Jerome Kerr 97 / +23° Center Double 1.2 → 2 +0.76
Boris Carmona 76 / +22° Oppo Single 0.5 → 1 +0.46
Rodmond Ali 82 / +30° Pull Out 0.4 → 0 -0.40
Gianluca Braun 88 / +17° Center Single 0.6 → 1 +0.37
Marlins
64% deserve-to-win  ·  5.2 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  -3.2 vs expected
contact: 9.8 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (-4.8 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Jason Enquist 91 / +27° Center Double 0.7 → 2 +1.26
Jason Enquist 100 / +16° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.25
Devon Mangin 97 / +19° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.24
Don Burns 99 / +15° Pull Out 1.1 → 0 -1.11
Treston Baird 100 / +50° Pull Out 0.9 → 0 -0.94
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