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Royals 7, Cubs 6                                             2026-06-23 · #878
at Ivanov-Smolensky Coliseum
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                        1    R    H    E
Kansas City             7    7    9    0
Chicago                 6    6    8    0

ROYALS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Monson      2b ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
  a-Savarin pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Ekic        1b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.333
Vera        cf ......    2   2   2   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Graham      lf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  b-Devens  pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Sabella     ss ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1  1.000
  c-Linneha pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Tanguilig   c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Rosales     3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Hsia        rf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
  d-Altamir pr ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Kortovich   p  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.500
  e-Lenis   pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  f-Gregory ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  g-Selden  ph ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
  h-Espinoz pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Florenzo    j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Coates      j  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Totals                  18   7   9   2   0   0   7   2   7   0   1  0.500
  2B: Monson (4), Sabella (9).
  SB: Linnehan (6), Savarino (9).
  CS: Lenis (2).
  HBP: Graham (1), Rosales (2).
  a-Ran for Monson in the 4th.
  b-Ran for Graham in the 6th.
  c-Ran for Sabella in the 7th.
  d-Ran for Hsia in the 7th.
  e-Ran for Kortovich in the 3rd.
  f-Walked for Devens in the 5th.
  g-Singled in the 6th.
  h-Ran in the 5th.

CUBS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Heinze      c  ......    3   0   2   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.667
Segovia     rf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Santana     2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.000
May         lf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Coto        cf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
Palermo     ss ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.250
Maxson      3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Mueller pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Seol        1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Myers   ph ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Bailey      p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Sapriss ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Nealon  ph ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
  e-Hollowe pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  f-Wambach pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Conn        j  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Schellenger j  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  30   6   8   1   0   0   5   5   9   0   0  0.267
  2B: Nealon (5).
  CS: Coto (9), Mueller (9).
  a-Ran for Maxson in the 5th.
  b-Batted for Seol in the 7th.
  c-Singled for Conn in the 7th.
  d-Doubled for Mueller in the 7th.
  e-Ran for Saprissa in the 7th.
  f-Ran for Nealon in the 7th.

ROYALS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Kortovich (W, 8-2) ..    22   20  74%    5    0    0    1    5    0   72    -
Branstine ...........     8    2   7%    2    5    5    4    1    0   28  2-1
Weil ................     5    5  19%    1    1    1    0    3    0   22  3-1

CUBS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Bailey (L, 1-5) .....    17   12  44%    6    4    4    1    6    0   62    -
Bay-Regula ..........     5    2   7%    3    3    3    1    1    0   16  2-1

ROYALS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Kortovich (Outs 1-20) → Branstine (Outs 21-22) → Weil (Outs 23-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Tanguilig (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Ekic (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Monson (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Rosales (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Sabella (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Graham (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Vera (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Hsia (Outs 1-27)

CUBS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-14)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Bailey (Outs 1-12) → Bay-Regula (Outs 13-14)
CATCHER (C)       | Heinze (Outs 1-14)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Seol (Outs 1-14)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Santana (Outs 1-14)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Maxson (Outs 1-14)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Palermo (Outs 1-14)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | May (Outs 1-14)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Coto (Outs 1-14)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Segovia (Outs 1-14)

  Batting order: Cubs (home) batted first; Royals batted second.
  First pitch 7:05 PM CT. Weather: 63°F · Wind cross · Overcast. seed 976094.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 20 Phillip Nealon Wyatt Conn (3B) 0–1
B 20 Phillip Nealon Maurice Hollowell (2B) 0–2
B 20 Harold Palermo Floyd Myers (3B) 0–3
B 22 Jaume Santana Kendrick Wambach (3B) 0–4
B 22 Teófilo Segovia Ryan Schellenger (3B) 0–5
B 22 Tomas Heinze Erick May (3B) 0–6
T 7 Roscoe Kortovich Eugenio Vera (3B) 1–6
T 7 Roscoe Kortovich Beau Devens (2B) 2–6
T 9 Kael Monson Ramon Altamirano (1B) 3–6
T 12 Eugenio Vera Rich Linnehan (3B) 4–6
T 14 Chris Selden Mario Espinoza (3B) 5–6
T 14 Chris Selden Eugenio Vera (2B) 6–6
T 14 Tripp Ekic Chris Selden (2B) 7–6
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Ivanov-Smolensky Coliseum's actual outfield dimensions (LF 311' · CF 428' · RF 340' · 13' wall). Balanced.
Hand-Operated Scoreboard Crescent Grandstand
Royals — Batted Balls
11 BIP· 7 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
311' 428' 340' Eugenio Vera — single · EV 117 mph · LA +6° · 111 ft Roscoe Kortovich — line_out · EV 91 mph · LA +24° · 247 ft Luis Rosales — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA -7° · 95 ft Efraín Sabella — double · EV 97 mph · LA +10° · 134 ft Chris Selden — single · EV 89 mph · LA +3° · 84 ft Ramon Altamirano — single · EV 88 mph · LA -10° · 84 ft Roscoe Kortovich — single · EV 97 mph · LA +8° · 105 ft Yung-chi Hsia — single · EV 94 mph · LA +17° · 199 ft Kael Monson — double · EV 117 mph · LA +13° · 235 ft Eugenio Vera — single · EV 97 mph · LA +16° · 197 ft Tripp Ekic — single · EV 98 mph · LA +2° · 93 ft
Cubs — Batted Balls
19 BIP· 7 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
311' 428' 340' Jaume Santana — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +0° · 72 ft Julian Coto — single · EV 93 mph · LA +4° · 88 ft Harold Palermo — single · EV 52 mph · LA +17° · 60 ft Hezekiah Maxson — ground_out · EV 70 mph · LA -7° · 67 ft Yong-soo Seol — line_out · EV 54 mph · LA +13° · 60 ft Nathaniel Bailey — line_out · EV 79 mph · LA +17° · 139 ft Wyatt Conn — ground_out · EV 69 mph · LA +4° · 66 ft Ryan Schellenger — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +40° · 227 ft Ivan Saprissa — single · EV 77 mph · LA +11° · 90 ft Phillip Nealon — double · EV 107 mph · LA +15° · 233 ft Nathaniel Bailey — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA -6° · 73 ft Yong-soo Seol — ground_out · EV 89 mph · LA +8° · 93 ft Harold Palermo — fly_out · EV 60 mph · LA +30° · 123 ft Teófilo Segovia — fielders_choice · EV 78 mph · LA +8° · 67 ft Tomas Heinze — single · EV 107 mph · LA +8° · 101 ft Wyatt Conn — single · EV 73 mph · LA -15° · 69 ft Harold Palermo — ground_out · EV 89 mph · LA +2° · 85 ft Teófilo Segovia — single · EV 76 mph · LA +18° · 135 ft Tomas Heinze — single · EV 92 mph · LA +16° · 177 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Royals
72% deserve-to-win  ·  7.4 expected runs
actual 7 runs  ·  -0.4 vs expected
contact: 9.3 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 11.0 (+1.7 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 1 CS (+0.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Roscoe Kortovich 91 / +24° Oppo Out 0.9 → 0 -0.90
Efraín Sabella 97 / +10° Oppo Double 1.1 → 2 +0.89
Ramon Altamirano 88 / -10° Pull Single 0.4 → 1 +0.61
Chris Selden 89 / +3° Oppo Single 0.4 → 1 +0.58
Luis Rosales 100 / -7° Pull Out 0.5 → 0 -0.54
Cubs
28% deserve-to-win  ·  4.7 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  +1.3 vs expected
contact: 8.6 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 9.0 (+0.4 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 2 CS (-1.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Yong-soo Seol 89 / +8° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.83
Wyatt Conn 73 / -15° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.76
Julian Coto 93 / +4° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.58
Harold Palermo 52 / +17° Pull Single 0.4 → 1 +0.57
Phillip Nealon 107 / +15° Pull Double 1.4 → 2 +0.56
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