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Braves 6, Stars 5                                            2026-06-25 · #893
at The Citadel
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                        1    R    H    E
Nashville               5    5    6    0
Atlanta                 6    6    7    0

STARS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Cooper      lf ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.250
Mendez      c  ......    4   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.250
Karouani    1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Caballe pr ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Sappington  ss ......    2   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Fusano      3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Beers       2b ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.000
Boattin     cf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Gamboa  pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Gayton      rf ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
Valencia    p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   1  0.000
Giannou     j  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Morariu     j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  28   5   6   1   0   0   4   3  11   0   1  0.214
  2B: Mendez (4).
  SB: Sappington (3).
  CS: Cooper (6), Caballero (7).
  a-Ran for Karouani in the 4th.
  b-Ran for Boattin in the 3rd.

BRAVES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Ramon-Edwar c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Almeida ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Sauerbrunn  3b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.500
Allison     cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Kalogeropou lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Spencer     1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Bray        rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Lamar   pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Cocotos     ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Sherman     2b ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
  c-Martín  pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Popovich    p  ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Chu     pr ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  e-Togashi ph ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   3   0   0   0   0  1.000
  f-Alvelo  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Weah        j  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   .000
Ortiz       j  ......    2   2   2   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
María       j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  24   6   7   5   0   0   6   7   6   0   0  0.292
  2B: Chu (24), Togashi (2), Ortiz (4), Sherman (8), Popovich (1).
  SB: Chu (19).
  CS: Kalogeropoulos (7).
  GIDP: Kalogeropoulos (4).
  a-Grounded out for Ramon-Edwards in the 6th.
  b-Ran for Bray in the 8th.
  c-Ran for Sherman in the 6th.
  d-Ran for Popovich in the 7th.
  e-Doubled in the 9th.
  f-Grounded out in the 7th.

STARS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Valencia (L, 1-2) ...    18   15  56%    3    3    3    2    6    0   62    -
Forrest .............    12    9  33%    3    3    3    5    0    0   40  1-0

BRAVES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Popovich ............     8    5  19%    1    1    1    1    3    0   30    -
Kyle ................    10    9  33%    1    3    3    2    3    0   35  2-1
Merrill (W, 2-2) ....    13   13  48%    4    1    1    0    5    0   42  1-1

STARS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-24)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Valencia (Outs 1-15) → Forrest (Outs 16-24)
CATCHER (C)       | Mendez (Outs 1-24)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Karouani (Outs 1-24)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Beers (Outs 1-24)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Fusano (Outs 1-24)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Sappington (Outs 1-24)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Cooper (Outs 1-24)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Boattin (Outs 1-24)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Gayton (Outs 1-24)

BRAVES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Popovich (Outs 1-5) → Kyle (Outs 6-14) → Merrill (Outs 15-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Ramon-Edwards (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Spencer (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Sherman (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Sauerbrunn (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Cocotos (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Kalogeropoulos (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Allison (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Bray (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Braves (home) batted second; Stars batted first.
  First pitch 7:15 PM CT. Weather: 86°F · Wind cross · Clear · Heavy rain. seed 519166.
  Powerplays: Braves — Togashi NF (O5)
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 4 Pepe Boattin Wallace Sappington (2B) 1–0
T 9 Wallace Sappington Sandy Beers (3B) 2–0
T 10 Sandy Beers Tony Caballero (2B) 3–0
T 13 Roan Valencia Wallace Sappington (3B) 4–0
T 16 Samuel Giannou Edwin Gayton (3B) 5–0
B 9 Edgar Ortiz Todd Chu (3B) 5–1
B 9 Edgar Ortiz Cormani Weah (1B) 5–2
B 15 Mac Sherman Edgar Ortiz (3B) 5–3
B 24 Kanata Togashi Edgar Ortiz (3B) 5–4
B 24 Kanata Togashi Dennis Lamar (2B) 5–5
B 24 Kanata Togashi Joseph Martín (1B) 5–6
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to The Citadel's actual outfield dimensions (LF 368' · CF 355' · RF 345' · 10' wall). The Crescent — Inverted.
Crescent Grandstand
Stars — Batted Balls
14 BIP· 5 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
368' 355' 345' Bruno Cooper — line_out · EV 80 mph · LA +19° · 156 ft Khosilot El Karouani — ground_out · EV 70 mph · LA +6° · 67 ft Wallace Sappington — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA +1° · 72 ft Pepe Boattin — single · EV 76 mph · LA +20° · 149 ft Sandy Beers — ground_out · EV 81 mph · LA -9° · 77 ft Samuel Giannou — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +19° · 140 ft Nat Morariu — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -12° · 72 ft Tony Caballero — single · EV 77 mph · LA -1° · 73 ft Bruno Cooper — fly_out · EV 80 mph · LA +27° · 203 ft Edwin Gayton — single · EV 85 mph · LA +14° · 139 ft Samuel Giannou — single · EV 82 mph · LA +5° · 78 ft Facundo Mendez — double · EV 92 mph · LA +32° · 306 ft Tracy Fusano — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +42° · 230 ft Bruno Cooper — single · EV 76 mph · LA +14° · 107 ft
Braves — Batted Balls
16 BIP· 1 1B · 5 XBH · 0 HR
368' 355' 345' Cameron Allison — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +22° · 160 ft Kreigh Kalogeropoulos — double_play · EV 88 mph · LA +2° · 84 ft Zack Spencer — ground_out · EV 85 mph · LA +15° · 147 ft Sean Ramon-Edwards — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA +14° · 136 ft Justin Popovich — double · EV 108 mph · LA +20° · 296 ft Edgar Ortiz — double · EV 99 mph · LA +12° · 165 ft Wilson Almeida — ground_out · EV 90 mph · LA -1° · 86 ft Todd Chu — double · EV 100 mph · LA +39° · 392 ft Mirko Alvelo — ground_out · EV 91 mph · LA +4° · 86 ft Kanata Togashi — double · EV 107 mph · LA +36° · 432 ft Cameron Allison — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA +3° · 77 ft Hugo Bray — line_out · EV 88 mph · LA +10° · 110 ft Mac Sherman — double · EV 102 mph · LA +20° · 267 ft Kreigh Kalogeropoulos — ground_out · EV 91 mph · LA +10° · 110 ft Edgar Ortiz — single · EV 98 mph · LA +7° · 93 ft Bruce Cocotos — ground_out · EV 71 mph · LA -16° · 67 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Stars
3% deserve-to-win  ·  2.0 expected runs
actual 5 runs  ·  +3.0 vs expected
contact: 5.6 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 7.0 (+1.4 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 2 CS (-0.9 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Facundo Mendez 92 / +32° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.08
Tony Caballero 77 / -1° Pull Single 0.2 → 1 +0.77
Samuel Giannou 82 / +5° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.69
Bruno Cooper 80 / +19° Pull Out 0.5 → 0 -0.54
Samuel Giannou 76 / +19° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.54
Braves
97% deserve-to-win  ·  11.2 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  -5.2 vs expected
contact: 14.8 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 11.0 (-3.8 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Kanata Togashi 107 / +36° Pull Double 3.0 → 2 -0.95
Edgar Ortiz 99 / +12° Center Double 1.1 → 2 +0.89
Hugo Bray 88 / +10° Pull Out 0.8 → 0 -0.83
Kreigh Kalogeropoulos 91 / +10° Pull Out 0.8 → 0 -0.83
Zack Spencer 85 / +15° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.59
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