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Cubs 1, Tigers 0                                             2026-06-25 · #901
at Ivanov-Smolensky Coliseum
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                        1    R    H    E
Detroit                 0    0    0    0
Chicago                 1    1    2    0

TIGERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Cotzumalgua 2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Monroe      3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Zheng       ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Grimaldo    lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Kuchiki     rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Marion      cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Lutmer      c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
McMichael   1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  a-Whorisk ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Ali         p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
  b-Peavy   ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Sears   ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Borden  pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Soldan      j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  27   0   0   0   0   0   0   2  20   0   0  0.000
  HBP: Zheng (3).
  GIDP: Kuchiki (4).
  a-Walked for McMichael in the 7th.
  b-Struck out in the 7th.
  c-Struck out in the 7th.
  d-Ran in the 9th.

CUBS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Palermo     ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Santana     2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Sarkissian  rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Heinze      c  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
May         1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Myers       3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Coto        cf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Seol        lf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                   7   1   2   0   0   0   1   1   4   0   0  0.286
  SB: Heinze (12).
  CS: Coto (10).


TIGERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Ali (L, 4-4) ........     7    6  22%    1    1    1    1    4    0   29    -

CUBS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Campaz (W, 6-6) .....    29   27 100%    0    0    0    2   20    0  103    -

TIGERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-6)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Ali (Outs 1-6)
CATCHER (C)       | Lutmer (Outs 1-6)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | McMichael (Outs 1-6)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Cotzumalguapa (Outs 1-6)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Monroe (Outs 1-6)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Zheng (Outs 1-6)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Grimaldo (Outs 1-6)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Marion (Outs 1-6)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Kuchiki (Outs 1-6)

CUBS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Campaz (Outs 1-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Heinze (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | May (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Santana (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Myers (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Palermo (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Seol (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Coto (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Sarkissian (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Cubs (home) batted second; Tigers batted first.
  First pitch 7:15 PM CT. Weather: 67°F · Wind calm · Overcast · Humid. seed 117048.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 6 Yong-soo Seol Tomas Heinze (3B) 0–1
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Ivanov-Smolensky Coliseum's actual outfield dimensions (LF 311' · CF 428' · RF 340' · 13' wall). Balanced.
Hand-Operated Scoreboard Crescent Grandstand
Tigers — Batted Balls
5 BIP· 0 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
311' 428' 340' Rocky Kuchiki — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA -11° · 49 ft Liam Lutmer — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA +6° · 73 ft Kenyatta Soldan — fly_out · EV 52 mph · LA +38° · 105 ft Liam Lutmer — fielders_choice · EV 59 mph · LA -11° · 56 ft Cooper Monroe — ground_out · EV 59 mph · LA -5° · 56 ft
Cubs — Batted Balls
2 BIP· 1 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
311' 428' 340' Erick May — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +34° · 217 ft Yong-soo Seol — single · EV 102 mph · LA +6° · 97 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Tigers
90% deserve-to-win  ·  0.3 expected runs
actual 0 runs  ·  -0.3 vs expected
contact: 0.6 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 0.0 (-0.6 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Liam Lutmer 77 / +6° Oppo Out 0.3 → 0 -0.26
Rocky Kuchiki 52 / -11° Oppo Double Play 0.1 → 0 -0.11
Liam Lutmer 59 / -11° Pull Out 0.1 → 0 -0.11
Cooper Monroe 59 / -5° Center Out 0.1 → 0 -0.11
Kenyatta Soldan 52 / +38° Center Out 0.0 → 0 +0.00
Cubs
10% deserve-to-win  ·  0.1 expected runs
actual 1 run  ·  +0.9 vs expected
contact: 0.6 est bases + 1 walk/HBP  ·  actual batted 1.0 (+0.4 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Yong-soo Seol 102 / +6° Center Single 0.5 → 1 +0.50
Erick May 76 / +34° Pull Out 0.1 → 0 -0.07
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