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Bridgetown Royal Provisioners 14, Itelka Beysbol'nyy Klub 3  2046-04-20 · #908
at Billa Grounds
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                        1    R    H    E
Itelka                  3    3    4    1
Bridgetown             14   14   13    0

ITELKA BEYSBOL'NYY KLUB
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Kukushkin   3b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Pepelyaeva  1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Muzaev      lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Kulikov     rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Matsukevich cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Henry       ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Samsonova   c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Jonesov     2b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Furshmanov  p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   1  0.000
Chalova     j  ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.250
Fitzgibbon  j  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Difo        j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Totals                  28   3   4   0   0   0   3   1  14   0   1  0.143
  SB: Chalova 2 (7), Fitzgibbon (1).
  E: Muzaev (1).
  GIDP: Samsonova (1).
  Squeeze: Kukushkin (1 RBI).


BRIDGETOWN ROYAL PROVISIONERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Moulton     rf ......    5   1   2   1   0   1   2   0   1   0   0  0.400
MacCracken  ss ......    5   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
McKinzie    3b ......    3   3   2   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.667
Eakin       c  ......    3   2   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.333
Céspedes    1b ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Cardona ph ......    3   1   2   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.667
Germán      lf ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   4   3   0   0   0  1.000
Moten       cf ......    3   2   1   1   0   0   2   1   1   0   0  0.333
Ramos       2b ......    4   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   2   0   0  0.250
Shibasaki   p  ......    2   1   1   0   0   1   2   0   0   0   1  0.500
Ison        j  ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   1   1   1   1   0  0.333
Totals                  33  14  13   6   0   2  14   7   8   1   1  0.394
  2B: Moulton (9), McKinzie (10), Ison (7), Germán (1), Moten (1), Ramos (1).
  HR: Moulton (4), off Furshmanov; Shibasaki (1), off Smolina.
  SB: McKinzie (1).
  GIDP: Ramos (1).
  a-Batted for Céspedes in the 4th.

ITELKA BEYSBOL'NYY KLUB PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Furshmanov ..........     7    3  11%    3    2    2    2    0    1   28    -
Fomin (L, 2-2) ......     9    8  30%    1    4    4    2    4    0   33  3-2
Smolina .............    13    8  30%    6    5    2    1    4    1   58  1-1
Kanterov ............    12    8  30%    3    3    3    2    1    0   47  1-0

BRIDGETOWN ROYAL PROVISIONERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Shibasaki (W, 3-1) ..    28   27 100%    2    3    3    1   14    0  109    -

  Batting order: Bridgetown Royal Provisioners (home) batted first; Itelka Beysbol'nyy Klub batted second.
  First pitch 6:00 PM. Weather: 81°F · Wind calm · Clear · Humid. seed 605380.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 0 Guerby Moulton Guerby Moulton (HR) 0–1
B 3 Albert Germán Basil McKinzie (3B) 0–2
B 5 Eiji Shibasaki Kallen Eakin (3B) 0–3
B 11 Albert Germán Luis Céspedes (3B) 0–4
B 11 Albert Germán Basil McKinzie (2B) 0–5
B 11 Albert Germán Clifford Ison (1B) 0–6
B 11 Hubertus Moten Albert Germán (2B) 0–7
B 13 Guerby Moulton Hubertus Moten (2B) 0–8
B 15 Clifford Ison Knahlij MacCracken (3B) 0–9
B 16 Martín Cardona Basil McKinzie (3B) 0–10
B 19 Eiji Shibasaki Eiji Shibasaki (HR) 0–11
B 23 Hubertus Moten Kallen Eakin (3B) 0–12
B 24 Jefferson Ramos Martín Cardona (3B) 0–13
B 24 Jefferson Ramos Hubertus Moten (1B) 0–14
T 10 Sergei Kukushkin Semyon Chalova (3B) 1–14
T 18 Chase Jonesov Sergei Kukushkin (3B) 2–14
T 18 Kevin Furshmanov Rick Fitzgibbon (3B) 3–14
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Billa Grounds's actual outfield dimensions (LF 376' · CF 430' · RF 379' · 5' wall). Oval — Cricket-Ground Revival.
Itelka Beysbol'nyy Klub — Batted Balls
8 BIP· 2 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
376' 430' 379' Maxim Pepelyaeva — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +38° · 224 ft Alex Kulikov — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +35° · 218 ft Taras Samsonova — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -14° · 49 ft Rick Fitzgibbon — single · EV 76 mph · LA +22° · 161 ft Bastien Henry — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 95 ft Taras Samsonova — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA +4° · 49 ft Chase Jonesov — single · EV 76 mph · LA +15° · 118 ft Alex Kulikov — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +8° · 72 ft
Bridgetown Royal Provisioners — Batted Balls
23 BIP· 5 1B · 6 XBH · 2 HR
376' 430' 379' Guerby Moulton — hr · EV 110 mph · LA +32° · 441 ft Knahlij MacCracken — ground_out · EV 68 mph · LA +3° · 64 ft Basil McKinzie — single · EV 90 mph · LA +7° · 85 ft Clifford Ison — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +28° · 191 ft Luis Céspedes — single · EV 111 mph · LA +7° · 105 ft Hubertus Moten — fly_out · EV 82 mph · LA +28° · 227 ft Albert Germán — double · EV 100 mph · LA +43° · 398 ft Eiji Shibasaki — hr · EV 104 mph · LA +37° · 410 ft Guerby Moulton — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA -15° · 74 ft Hubertus Moten — double · EV 101 mph · LA +31° · 358 ft Basil McKinzie — double · EV 97 mph · LA +36° · 357 ft Clifford Ison — double · EV 89 mph · LA +11° · 115 ft Martín Cardona — infield_single · EV 66 mph · LA +4° · 63 ft Eiji Shibasaki — fielders_choice · EV 85 mph · LA -1° · 81 ft Guerby Moulton — double · EV 104 mph · LA +13° · 187 ft Knahlij MacCracken — error · EV 100 mph · LA +15° · 201 ft Jefferson Ramos — double_play · EV 64 mph · LA +10° · 60 ft Basil McKinzie — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA +9° · 80 ft Kallen Eakin — single · EV 92 mph · LA +18° · 198 ft Martín Cardona — single · EV 80 mph · LA +11° · 93 ft Guerby Moulton — line_out · EV 86 mph · LA +10° · 105 ft Knahlij MacCracken — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA -3° · 73 ft Jefferson Ramos — double · EV 92 mph · LA +16° · 180 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Itelka Beysbol'nyy Klub
0% deserve-to-win  ·  0.8 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  +2.2 vs expected
contact: 2.5 est bases + 1 walk/HBP  ·  actual batted 2.0 (-0.5 on contact)
running: 3 SB · 0 CS (+0.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Bastien Henry 76 / +12° Oppo Out 0.5 → 0 -0.51
Chase Jonesov 76 / +15° Center Single 0.5 → 1 +0.49
Rick Fitzgibbon 76 / +22° Pull Single 0.6 → 1 +0.39
Alex Kulikov 76 / +8° Oppo Out 0.3 → 0 -0.28
Taras Samsonova 52 / -14° Pull Out 0.2 → 0 -0.17
Bridgetown Royal Provisioners
100% deserve-to-win  ·  14.0 expected runs
actual 14 runs  ·  as expected
contact: 20.7 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 24.0 (+3.3 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.1 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Eiji Shibasaki 104 / +37° Pull Home Run 2.0 → 4 +1.98
Knahlij MacCracken 100 / +15° Oppo Reached on Error 1.2 → 0 -1.16
Jefferson Ramos 92 / +16° Pull Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Martín Cardona 66 / +4° Pull Single 0.1 → 1 +0.86
Guerby Moulton 104 / +13° Pull Double 1.2 → 2 +0.76
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