==============================================================================
Istanbul Police 13, Lviv Beysbolnyi Klub 8                   2046-04-20 · #909
at Flores Yards
==============================================================================

                        1      2    R    H    E
Istanbul                9      4   13   10    0
Lviv                    8      0    8    9    0

ISTANBUL POLICE
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Raharison   3b ......    3   2   1   0   0   0   2   1   1   0   0  0.333
  a-Sacko   nf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Zerihun     ss ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.500
Asefa       c  ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Belhaj      rf ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.333
Kalou       2b ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
  b-Sima    pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Beach       lf ......    3   2   1   1   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.333
Bendeck     1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  c-Zaki    lf ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Maïga       cf ......    2   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Straton     p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Boudiaf ph ......    2   2   1   1   0   0   3   1   0   0   0  0.500
Getahun     j  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
Onumonu     j  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   1   1   1   0  0.500
Mhlawuli    j  ......    2   1   2   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  34  13  10   5   0   0  11   9  12   1   0  0.294
  2B: Zerihun (9), Kalou (2), Beach (1), Boudiaf (7), Mhlawuli (6).
  HBP: Zerihun (2), Maïga (1).
  GIDP: Kalou (1).
  a-Replaced Raharison at NF in the 8th.
  b-Ran for Kalou in the 5th.
  c-Replaced Bendeck at LF in the 9th.
  d-Batted for Straton in the 5th.

LVIV BEYSBOLNYI KLUB
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Cooper      ss ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
Nogueira    1b ......    3   3   1   0   0   1   3   0   0   0   0  0.333
Muntari     cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Sibaya      3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Chauvin     lf ......    4   1   2   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Mansour     2b ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0  0.000
Kouassi     rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Selvaratnam p  ......    2   0   2   0   0   0   1   1   0   1   0  1.000
  a-Degu    c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Gunter      j  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Omondi      j  ......    4   1   2   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Kuria       j  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
Totals                  31   8   9   2   0   1   6   6  14   1   0  0.290
  2B: Chauvin (4), Omondi (3).
  HR: Nogueira (3), off Straton.
  CS: Cooper (5), Selvaratnam (1).
  HBP: Gunter (1).
  GIDP: Omondi (4).
  a-Entered at C in the 7th.

ISTANBUL POLICE PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Straton (W, 3-0) ....    32   24  89%    8    7    7    3   13    1  126    -
Dotson ..............     5    3  11%    0    1    1    3    1    0   11  1-1

LVIV BEYSBOLNYI KLUB PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Selvaratnam (L, 1-1)     31   16  59%    9   10   10    8   10    0  113    -
Onyedika ............    14   11  41%    1    3    3    1    2    0   38  2-2

  Batting order: Lviv Beysbolnyi Klub (home) batted second; Istanbul Police batted first.
  Seconds: IP o25 (9-0), LBK o25 (8-9).
  First pitch 6:30 PM. Weather: 70°F · Wind calm · Clear · Light rain. seed 57402.
  Powerplays: Istanbul Police — Sacko NF (O10)
  Walk-Back runs: off Dotson 1.
==============================================================================
Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 4 Tom Beach Nomenjanahary Raharison (3B) 1–0
T 11 Ivane Kalou Rachid Belhaj (1B) 2–0
T 13 Stephane Onumonu Elisha Sima (3B) 3–0
T 14 Mothobi Mhlawuli Facinet Maïga (3B) 4–0
T 14 Nomenjanahary Raharison Mohammed Getahun (3B) 5–0
T 14 Nomenjanahary Raharison Oussama Boudiaf (2B) 6–0
T 15 Abraham Zerihun Mothobi Mhlawuli (3B) 7–0
T 18 Tom Beach Nomenjanahary Raharison (3B) 8–0
T 24 Rachid Belhaj Tom Beach (2B) 9–0
B 8 Deepak Selvaratnam Gildo Nogueira (3B) 9–1
B 9 Zack Chauvin Marnus Cooper (3B) 9–2
B 10 Owino Omondi Rashid Mansour (3B) 9–3
B 15 Rashid Mansour Zack Chauvin (3B) 9–4
B 22 Gildo Nogueira Owino Omondi (3B) 9–5
B 22 Gildo Nogueira Dafydd Gunter (1B) 9–6
B 22 Gildo Nogueira Gildo Nogueira (HR) 9–7
B 23 Owino Omondi Gildo Nogueira (3B) 9–8
seconds_first 1 Oussama Boudiaf Tom Beach (3B) 10–8
seconds_first 1 Oussama Boudiaf Marwan Zaki (2B) 11–8
seconds_first 1 Oussama Boudiaf Facinet Maïga (1B) 12–8
seconds_first 1 Mothobi Mhlawuli Oussama Boudiaf (2B) 13–8
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Flores Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 275' · CF 371' · RF 286' · 11' wall). The Bandbox.
Knothole Gates
Istanbul Police — Batted Balls
22 BIP· 5 1B · 5 XBH · 0 HR
275' 371' 286' Rachid Belhaj — single · EV 84 mph · LA +16° · 152 ft Ivane Kalou — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -10° · 72 ft Amiel Straton — ground_out · EV 83 mph · LA -8° · 79 ft Mohammed Getahun — single · EV 76 mph · LA +23° · 166 ft Stephane Onumonu — single · EV 70 mph · LA +16° · 102 ft Mothobi Mhlawuli — single · EV 56 mph · LA +21° · 82 ft Oussama Boudiaf — fly_out · EV 96 mph · LA +36° · 346 ft Stephane Onumonu — ground_out · EV 56 mph · LA -13° · 54 ft Abdi Asefa — fly_out · EV 104 mph · LA +15° · 216 ft Ivane Kalou — double · EV 81 mph · LA +41° · 263 ft Nomenjanahary Raharison — single · EV 76 mph · LA +13° · 104 ft Mohammed Getahun — fly_out · EV 64 mph · LA +36° · 155 ft Abraham Zerihun — double · EV 82 mph · LA +32° · 240 ft Rachid Belhaj — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +37° · 222 ft Facinet Maïga — ground_out · EV 60 mph · LA -14° · 57 ft Oussama Boudiaf — double · EV 118 mph · LA +26° · 435 ft Mothobi Mhlawuli — double · EV 97 mph · LA +36° · 358 ft Godfrey Bendeck — ground_out · EV 70 mph · LA -10° · 66 ft Nomenjanahary Raharison — line_out · EV 77 mph · LA +22° · 169 ft Rachid Belhaj — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA +7° · 78 ft Tom Beach — double · EV 100 mph · LA +16° · 217 ft Abdi Asefa — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +20° · 150 ft
Lviv Beysbolnyi Klub — Batted Balls
15 BIP· 5 1B · 2 XBH · 1 HR
275' 371' 286' Zack Chauvin — line_out · EV 63 mph · LA +13° · 69 ft Dafydd Gunter — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -13° · 72 ft Mwaniki Kuria — single · EV 76 mph · LA +22° · 159 ft Gildo Nogueira — fielders_choice · EV 65 mph · LA +1° · 62 ft Marnus Cooper — single · EV 52 mph · LA +16° · 60 ft Márcio Muntari — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -9° · 72 ft Deepak Selvaratnam — single · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 91 ft Owino Omondi — double_play · EV 54 mph · LA +6° · 51 ft Zack Chauvin — double · EV 92 mph · LA +24° · 256 ft Marnus Cooper — line_out · EV 52 mph · LA +15° · 60 ft Deepak Selvaratnam — single · EV 100 mph · LA +0° · 95 ft Owino Omondi — double · EV 92 mph · LA +18° · 202 ft Gildo Nogueira — hr · EV 92 mph · LA +40° · 334 ft Owino Omondi — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -5° · 49 ft Zack Chauvin — single · EV 119 mph · LA +21° · 382 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Istanbul Police
84% deserve-to-win  ·  11.3 expected runs
actual 13 runs  ·  +1.7 vs expected
contact: 15.7 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 15.0 (-0.7 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Abraham Zerihun 82 / +32° Pull Double 0.4 → 2 +1.61
Oussama Boudiaf 96 / +36° Center Out 1.5 → 0 -1.52
Abdi Asefa 104 / +15° Center Out 1.4 → 0 -1.41
Ivane Kalou 81 / +41° Oppo Double 0.6 → 2 +1.37
Oussama Boudiaf 118 / +26° Oppo Double 3.0 → 2 -0.97
Lviv Beysbolnyi Klub
16% deserve-to-win  ·  4.9 expected runs
actual 8 runs  ·  +3.1 vs expected
contact: 8.8 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 13.0 (+4.2 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 2 CS (-1.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Gildo Nogueira 92 / +40° Pull Home Run 1.2 → 4 +2.84
Zack Chauvin 92 / +24° Center Double 0.8 → 2 +1.20
Owino Omondi 92 / +18° Oppo Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Zack Chauvin 119 / +21° Pull Single 1.7 → 1 -0.72
Deepak Selvaratnam 76 / +12° Pull Stay 0.5 → 1 +0.49
Compare basket · 0 max 4
Compare →