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Dodgers 3, Giants 2                                          2026-06-27 · #915
at Kolenda Field
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                        1    R    H    E
Los Angeles             3    3    3    1
San Francisco           2    2    1    0

DODGERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Eggleston   3b ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Roby        ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Saffold     1b ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Bertrams    rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Gerardy     cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Manaia      c  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Bender      2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Lepchenko   lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Tapia       p  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                   8   3   3   1   0   0   3   1   3   0   0  0.375
  2B: Saffold (8).
  E: Roby (3).


GIANTS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Matos       rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  a-Rosado  pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Kelley      ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.000
Galloway    lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Cardozo     1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
McNeal      c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Braxton     2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Jimenez ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Estrada     cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Reyes   ph ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Leininger   3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Warburg     p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  d-Mantía  ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   .000
  e-Arbeloa pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  f-Fornaro ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Sundling    j  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Totals                  26   2   1   0   0   0   2   3  15   0   0  0.038
  CS: Reyes (2).
  HBP: Kelley (3).
  GIDP: Kelley (6).
  a-Ran for Matos in the 7th.
  b-Grounded out for Braxton in the 8th.
  c-Batted for Estrada in the 4th.
  d-Walked for Warburg in the 9th.
  e-Ran in the 9th.
  f-Grounded out for Rosado in the 9th.

DODGERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Tapia ...............    10   10  37%    0    0    0    0    9    0   33    -
McDuffie (W, 4-4) ...    16   13  48%    1    0    0    2    6    0   58    -
Aupiu ...............     4    4  15%    0    2    2    1    0    0   21  3-1

GIANTS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Warburg (L, 6-7) ....     8    5  19%    2    3    3    1    3    0   37    -

DODGERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Tapia (Outs 1-10) → McDuffie (Outs 11-23) → Aupiu (Outs 24-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Manaia (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Saffold (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Bender (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Eggleston (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Roby (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Lepchenko (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Gerardy (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Bertrams (Outs 1-27)

GIANTS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-5)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Warburg (Outs 1-5)
CATCHER (C)       | McNeal (Outs 1-5)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Cardozo (Outs 1-5)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Braxton (Outs 1-5)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Leininger (Outs 1-5)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Kelley (Outs 1-5)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Galloway (Outs 1-5)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Estrada (Outs 1-5)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Matos (Outs 1-5)

  Batting order: Giants (home) batted first; Dodgers batted second.
  First pitch 7:10 PM PT. Weather: 61°F · Wind calm · Clear · Humid. seed 460384.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 24 Jaume La Mantía Ignacio Rosado (3B) 0–1
B 25 Alafia Kelley Cas Arbeloa (3B) 0–2
T 2 Jerome Saffold Lenny Eggleston (2B) 1–2
T 2 Jerome Saffold Hemi Manaia (1B) 2–2
T 5 Rafael Tapia Jerome Saffold (2B) 3–2
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Kolenda Field's actual outfield dimensions (LF 322' · CF 445' · RF 350' · 13' wall). Balanced.
Wire Basket
Dodgers — Batted Balls
4 BIP· 1 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
322' 445' 350' Dylan Bertrams — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA -10° · 78 ft Jerome Saffold — double · EV 100 mph · LA +35° · 377 ft Eugene Roby — ground_out · EV 81 mph · LA +22° · 186 ft Rafael Tapia — single · EV 76 mph · LA +7° · 73 ft
Giants — Batted Balls
6 BIP· 1 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
322' 445' 350' Stefan Braxton — ground_out · EV 71 mph · LA -33° · 67 ft Jhonny Reyes — single · EV 86 mph · LA +13° · 133 ft Reuben Leininger — error · EV 81 mph · LA +20° · 171 ft Antolín Matos — fielders_choice · EV 98 mph · LA -11° · 94 ft Parker McNeal — ground_out · EV 65 mph · LA -1° · 61 ft Alafia Kelley — double_play · EV 68 mph · LA +15° · 95 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Dodgers
84% deserve-to-win  ·  1.6 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  +1.4 vs expected
contact: 3.2 est bases + 1 walk/HBP  ·  actual batted 3.0 (-0.2 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Rafael Tapia 76 / +7° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.74
Eugene Roby 81 / +22° Oppo Out 0.6 → 0 -0.63
Dylan Bertrams 82 / -10° Pull Out 0.3 → 0 -0.34
Jerome Saffold 100 / +35° Pull Double 2.0 → 2 +0.05
Giants
16% deserve-to-win  ·  0.7 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  +1.3 vs expected
contact: 2.4 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 1.0 (-1.4 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Reuben Leininger 81 / +20° Oppo Reached on Error 0.6 → 0 -0.63
Antolín Matos 98 / -11° Oppo Out 0.4 → 0 -0.45
Jhonny Reyes 86 / +13° Center Single 0.6 → 1 +0.41
Alafia Kelley 68 / +15° Pull Double Play 0.3 → 0 -0.34
Stefan Braxton 71 / -33° Oppo Out 0.2 → 0 -0.24
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