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Orcas 10, Stars 9                                            2026-06-28 · #934
at Abdurakhmanov Park
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                        1    R    H    E
Nashville               9    9    7    0
Vancouver              10   10    8    1

STARS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Cantey      c  ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.333
Cooper      lf ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Mendez      3b ......    3   3   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.333
Karouani    1b ......    4   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.250
Fusano      ss ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.250
Spence      rf ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.000
Beers       cf ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.250
Santamaría  2b ......    2   3   0   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0  0.000
Langenfeld  p  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1  0.333
Giannou     j  ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  32   9   7   3   0   0   7   4  11   0   1  0.219
  2B: Cantey (29), Karouani (17), Giannou (6).


ORCAS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Valdivia    ss ......    2   2   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
  a-Noonan  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Peavy       lf ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.333
Godín       c  ......    2   2   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
Balotelli   2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1  0.000
  b-Millar  ph ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Prince      rf ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.500
Garcés      cf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   1   .000
  c-Teeguar pr ......    0   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Irvin       1b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  d-Whitley pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Corona      3b ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.333
Magee       p  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  e-Badger  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  f-Alonso- pr ......    2   2   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Roker       j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  20  10   8   4   0   1  10   5   4   0   2  0.400
  2B: Prince (11), Corona (3), Alonso-Corcelles (5), Millar (2).
  HR: Valdivia (2), off Langenfeld.
  SB: Peavy (7).
  E: Valdivia (2).
  GIDP: Badger (5).
  Squeeze: Godín.
  a-Grounded out for Valdivia in the 4th.
  b-Doubled for Balotelli in the 5th.
  c-Ran for Garcés in the 3rd.
  d-Ran for Irvin in the 2nd.
  e-Grounded out for Magee in the 2nd.
  f-Ran for Whitley in the 3rd.

STARS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Langenfeld (L, 3-11)      7    4  15%    3    4    3    2    1    1   26    -
Forrest .............     7    6  22%    3    3    3    1    2    0   19  2-0
Alston ..............    10    7  26%    2    3    3    2    1    0   40  1-1

ORCAS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Magee ...............    13    7  26%    5    5    5    4    0    0   46    -
Israel (W, 2-8) .....    15   12  44%    2    3    2    0    5    0   65  1-1
Quevedo .............     8    8  30%    0    1    1    0    6    0   26  1-1

STARS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-17)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Langenfeld (Outs 1-4) → Forrest (Outs 5-10) → Alston (Outs 11-17)
CATCHER (C)       | Cantey (Outs 1-17)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Karouani (Outs 1-17)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Santamaría (Outs 1-17)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Mendez (Outs 1-17)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Fusano (Outs 1-17)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Cooper (Outs 1-17)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Beers (Outs 1-17)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Spence (Outs 1-17)

ORCAS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Magee (Outs 1-7) → Israel (Outs 8-19) → Quevedo (Outs 20-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Godín (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Irvin (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Balotelli (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Corona (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Valdivia (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Peavy (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Garcés (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Prince (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Orcas (home) batted second; Stars batted first.
  First pitch 2:00 PM PT. Weather: 84°F · Wind calm · Clear. seed 662844.
  Powerplays: Orcas — Noonan NF (O14)
  Walk-Back runs: off Langenfeld 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 2 Tracy Fusano Facundo Mendez (3B) 1–0
T 2 Sean Spence Khosilot El Karouani (3B) 2–0
T 6 Samuel Giannou Nestor Santamaría (2B) 3–0
T 6 Sandy Beers Samuel Giannou (3B) 4–0
T 6 Sean Spence Nestor Santamaría (3B) 5–0
T 10 Oliver Cantey Sandy Beers (3B) 6–0
T 10 Oliver Cantey Facundo Mendez (3B) 7–0
T 16 Bruno Cooper Nestor Santamaría (2B) 8–0
T 24 Facundo Mendez Facundo Mendez (3B) 9–0
B 0 Moisés Valdivia Moisés Valdivia (HR) 9–1
B 0 Andrea Peavy Moisés Valdivia (3B) 9–2
B 2 Tony Garcés Omar Godín (3B) 9–3
B 4 Hugh Magee Jeff Prince (2B) 9–4
B 7 Kreigh Alonso-Corcelles Kreigh Alonso-Corcelles (2B) 9–5
B 7 Jeff Prince Kreigh Alonso-Corcelles (2B) 9–6
B 9 Andrea Peavy Ivan Teeguarden (3B) 9–7
B 14 John Millar Andrea Peavy (2B) 9–8
B 14 John Millar Omar Godín (1B) 9–9
B 17 Lautaro Corona Ivan Teeguarden (2B) 9–10
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Abdurakhmanov Park's actual outfield dimensions (LF 282' · CF 485' · RF 283' · 12' wall). Bathtub.
Tal's Hill
Stars — Batted Balls
18 BIP· 4 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
282' 485' 283' Khosilot El Karouani — double · EV 93 mph · LA +37° · 333 ft Tracy Fusano — single · EV 87 mph · LA +11° · 118 ft Sean Spence — ground_out · EV 89 mph · LA -2° · 84 ft Sandy Beers — ground_out · EV 90 mph · LA -15° · 86 ft Samuel Giannou — double · EV 104 mph · LA +22° · 305 ft Andre Langenfeld — infield_single · EV 88 mph · LA -2° · 84 ft Facundo Mendez — single · EV 76 mph · LA +10° · 75 ft Oliver Cantey — double · EV 97 mph · LA +18° · 226 ft Nestor Santamaría — error · EV 87 mph · LA +8° · 86 ft Sandy Beers — single · EV 83 mph · LA +14° · 131 ft Sean Spence — ground_out · EV 66 mph · LA -6° · 63 ft Bruno Cooper — line_out · EV 80 mph · LA +18° · 153 ft Facundo Mendez — fielders_choice · EV 54 mph · LA -20° · 51 ft Sandy Beers — line_out · EV 90 mph · LA +12° · 133 ft Bruno Cooper — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -6° · 84 ft Andre Langenfeld — ground_out · EV 80 mph · LA +20° · 165 ft Oliver Cantey — fly_out · EV 91 mph · LA +48° · 332 ft Khosilot El Karouani — line_out · EV 95 mph · LA +26° · 282 ft
Orcas — Batted Balls
13 BIP· 3 1B · 4 XBH · 1 HR
282' 485' 283' Moisés Valdivia — hr · EV 114 mph · LA +46° · 480 ft Andrea Peavy — fly_out · EV 99 mph · LA +16° · 214 ft Omar Godín — single · EV 97 mph · LA +7° · 92 ft Hugh Magee — single · EV 93 mph · LA +21° · 226 ft Louis Badger — double_play · EV 63 mph · LA -8° · 59 ft Kreigh Alonso-Corcelles — double · EV 111 mph · LA +37° · 475 ft Jeff Prince — double · EV 102 mph · LA +19° · 259 ft Earthna Roker — fly_out · EV 88 mph · LA +40° · 302 ft John Millar — double · EV 95 mph · LA +13° · 153 ft Andrea Peavy — single · EV 79 mph · LA +0° · 75 ft Jeff Prince — ground_out · EV 63 mph · LA -13° · 60 ft Kreigh Alonso-Corcelles — ground_out · EV 56 mph · LA -4° · 53 ft Lautaro Corona — double · EV 88 mph · LA +19° · 193 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Stars
35% deserve-to-win  ·  6.6 expected runs
actual 9 runs  ·  +2.4 vs expected
contact: 11.2 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 10.0 (-1.2 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Khosilot El Karouani 93 / +37° Oppo Double 0.9 → 2 +1.08
Sandy Beers 90 / +12° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.83
Oliver Cantey 97 / +18° Center Double 1.2 → 2 +0.76
Khosilot El Karouani 95 / +26° Center Out 0.7 → 0 -0.74
Bruno Cooper 80 / +18° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.63
Orcas
65% deserve-to-win  ·  9.0 expected runs
actual 10 runs  ·  +1.0 vs expected
contact: 14.1 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 15.0 (+0.9 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.5 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Kreigh Alonso-Corcelles 111 / +37° Center Double 3.4 → 2 -1.44
Andrea Peavy 99 / +16° Pull Out 1.2 → 0 -1.24
John Millar 95 / +13° Pull Double 0.8 → 2 +1.17
Lautaro Corona 88 / +19° Oppo Double 0.9 → 2 +1.10
Andrea Peavy 79 / +0° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.74
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