==============================================================================
Padres 3, Nationals 2                                        2026-06-29 · #935
at Tannery Yards
==============================================================================

                        1    R    H    E
San Diego               3    3    3    0
Washington              2    2    3    0

PADRES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Fehr        cf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   1   .000
MacCracken  2b ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Fernández   lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Batt        c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Atehortua   1b ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Alemu       3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Andrade     ss ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Schwinger   rf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Wada        p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                   7   3   3   0   0   0   3   1   2   0   1  0.429



NATIONALS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Miguelito   lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Houston     c  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
  a-Baloy   ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Pastore     2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Devezin     rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Thompkins   cf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Jones-W pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Cheng       ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Morel       1b ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Ferrie      3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  c-Bartlet ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Folds       p  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Fabra   pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  e-DeMelo  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  f-Cruz    ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Mayer       j  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Ebun        j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  26   2   3   0   0   0   0   4  15   0   0  0.115
  CS: Houston (1), Cheng (4).
  GIDP: Devezin (3).
  a-Struck out for Houston in the 8th.
  b-Ran for Thompkins in the 3rd.
  c-Walked for Ferrie in the 9th.
  d-Ran for Folds in the 3rd.
  e-Struck out in the 9th.
  f-Struck out for Fabra in the 9th.

PADRES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Wada (W, 8-6) .......    31   27 100%    2    2    2    4   17    0  116    -

NATIONALS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Folds (L, 0-1) ......     6    5  19%    2    3    3    1    2    0   21    -

PADRES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Wada (Outs 1-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Batt (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Atehortua (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | MacCracken (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Alemu (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Andrade (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Fernández (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Fehr (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Schwinger (Outs 1-27)

NATIONALS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-5)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Folds (Outs 1-5)
CATCHER (C)       | Houston (Outs 1-5)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Morel (Outs 1-5)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Pastore (Outs 1-5)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Ferrie (Outs 1-5)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Cheng (Outs 1-5)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Miguelito (Outs 1-5)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Thompkins (Outs 1-5)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Devezin (Outs 1-5)

  Batting order: Nationals (home) batted first; Padres batted second.
  First pitch 6:00 PM ET. Weather: 91°F · Wind out · Clear · Light rain · Humid. seed 671128.
==============================================================================
Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 7 Sammy Houston Carl Jones-Wesley (3B) 0–1
B 7 Sammy Houston Oscar Fabra (3B) 0–2
T 3 Cary Schwinger Ludlow MacCracken (3B) 1–2
T 3 Cary Schwinger Keshav Atehortua (2B) 2–2
T 4 Hal Fehr Haxzel Andrade (3B) 3–2
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Tannery Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 331' · CF 438' · RF 348' · 9' wall). Cavernous.
Padres — Batted Balls
3 BIP· 2 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
331' 438' 348' Ludlow MacCracken — single · EV 91 mph · LA +25° · 253 ft Teferi Alemu — fly_out · EV 70 mph · LA +37° · 186 ft Cary Schwinger — single · EV 88 mph · LA +17° · 172 ft
Nationals — Batted Balls
8 BIP· 2 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
331' 438' 348' Damion Thompkins — single · EV 79 mph · LA +12° · 99 ft Diehl Ferrie — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +19° · 144 ft Gerry Folds — single · EV 54 mph · LA +19° · 74 ft Carl Jones-Wesley — ground_out · EV 58 mph · LA -15° · 55 ft Rill Devezin — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA -6° · 49 ft Oscar Fabra — fielders_choice · EV 64 mph · LA +8° · 61 ft Yoel Morel — ground_out · EV 65 mph · LA -10° · 62 ft Marcos Pastore — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +15° · 114 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Padres
100% deserve-to-win  ·  0.9 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  +2.1 vs expected
contact: 1.6 est bases + 1 walk/HBP  ·  actual batted 2.0 (+0.4 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Ludlow MacCracken 91 / +25° Pull Single 0.7 → 1 +0.26
Cary Schwinger 88 / +17° Oppo Single 0.9 → 1 +0.10
Teferi Alemu 70 / +37° Oppo Out 0.0 → 0 +0.00
Nationals
0% deserve-to-win  ·  0.0 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  +2.0 vs expected
contact: 2.4 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 2.0 (-0.4 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 2 CS (-1.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Gerry Folds 54 / +19° Pull Single 0.4 → 1 +0.57
Diehl Ferrie 76 / +19° Oppo Out 0.5 → 0 -0.54
Damion Thompkins 79 / +12° Oppo Single 0.5 → 1 +0.52
Marcos Pastore 76 / +15° Pull Out 0.5 → 0 -0.48
Rill Devezin 52 / -6° Center Double Play 0.1 → 0 -0.11
Compare basket · 0 max 4
Compare →