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Guardians 7, Athletics 6                                     2026-06-29 · #936
at Cleveland Coliseum
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Oakland                 6      0    6    7    1
Cleveland               7      0    7    2    1

ATHLETICS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Banuelos    3b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  a-Leat    pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Zago        ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Molina  ph ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.500
Pagán       c  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.333
Sinclair    1b ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Korda       lf ......    4   0   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Moros       cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Sawchuk ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Weeks       2b ......    4   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   2   0   0  0.250
Fink        rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Diémé   ph ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Jenkins     p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Caspers ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  f-Noel    pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  g-Gerlach ph ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.500
  h-Saunder pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.000
Taygan      j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Ghannam     j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  31   6   7   2   0   0   6   5  13   0   0  0.226
  2B: Sinclair (13), Weeks (5).
  E: Pagán (1).
  HBP: Pagán (3).
  GIDP: Moros (2), Saunders (1).
  a-Ran for Banuelos in the 3rd.
  b-Batted for Zago in the 4th.
  c-Walked for Moros in the 5th.
  d-Batted for Fink in the 4th.
  e-Batted for Jenkins in the 3rd.
  f-Ran for Sawchuk in the 6th.
  g-Batted for Leat in the 5th.
  h-Ran in the 6th.

GUARDIANS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Harthan     p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Ardón   pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Granberry   2b ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
DeLong      1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   1  0.000
González    rf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  b-Navarro pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Bannatyne   cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   3   0   1  0.000
Cabrera     ss ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   .000
  c-Barg    pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Maier       lf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Feitshans   3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Gazzaniga   c  ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Rollins pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  e-Mayotte ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  f-Bronaug pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  g-Anwunah ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   1   0  1.000
Nieto       j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Suggs       j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  24   7   2   1   0   0   6   8  17   1   2  0.083
  2B: Gazzaniga (1).
  E: Barg (1).
  HBP: Maier (3).
  GITP: Granberry (1).
  a-Ran for Harthan in the 6th.
  b-Ran for González in the 3rd.
  c-Ran for Cabrera in the 4th.
  d-Ran for Gazzaniga in the 3rd.
  e-Batted for Rollins in the 3rd.
  f-Ran in the 3rd.
  g-Singled for Ardón in the 8th.

ATHLETICS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Jenkins (L, 7-0) ....    13   10  37%    1    2    2    4    6    0   60    -
MacPhie .............    13   11  41%    0    3    1    3    6    0   39  2-2
Rowe ................     7    6  22%    1    2    2    1    5    0   26  2-1

GUARDIANS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Harthan (W, 5-9) ....    30   21  78%    6    6    6    4   10    0   95    -
Ovalle (F, 18) ......     6    6  22%    0    0    0    1    3    0   23  3-0

ATHLETICS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Jenkins (Outs 1-10) → MacPhie (Outs 11-21) → Rowe (Outs 22-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Pagán (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Sinclair (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Weeks (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Banuelos (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Zago (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Korda (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Moros (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Fink (Outs 1-27)

GUARDIANS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Harthan (Outs 1-21) → Ovalle (Outs 22-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Gazzaniga (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | DeLong (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Granberry (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Feitshans (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Cabrera (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Maier (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Bannatyne (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | González (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Guardians (home) batted first; Athletics batted second.
  Seconds: OAK o26 (6-7), CLE o26 (7-0).
  First pitch 6:30 PM ET. Weather: 77°F · Wind calm · Clear. seed 465751.
  Powerplays: Athletics — Noel NF (O18)
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 0.89    Peak faced 2.10
    27 outs left: 0.89
    18 outs left: 1.33
     9 outs left: 1.33
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
B 6 Alastair Gazzaniga Kemari Granberry (3B) 0–1 —
B 8 Quentin Maier Hal Rollins (2B) 0–2 —
B 10 Doug Bannatyne Ramón Navarro (3B) 0–3 —
B 17 Justin Barg Clint Bronaugh (3B) 0–4 —
B 19 Tobias DeLong Quentin Maier (2B) 0–5 —
B 21 Amir Anwunah Júnior Ardón (3B) 0–6 —
B 22 Kemari Granberry Justin Barg (3B) 0–7 —
T 15 Cannon Sinclair Martin Leat (3B) 1–7 1.75
T 17 Wilfredo Molina Chet Noel (3B) 2–7 1.80
T 17 Chad Weeks Keaton Saunders (3B) 3–7 1.50
T 17 Chad Weeks Modesto Pagán (2B) 4–7 1.20
T 19 Keaton Saunders Wilfredo Molina (3B) 5–7 1.12
T 20 Modesto Pagán Frank Gerlach (2B) 6–7 0.86
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 0.89
Peak faced 2.10
27 outs left 0.89
18 outs left 1.33
9 outs left 1.33
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Cleveland Coliseum's actual outfield dimensions (LF 315' · CF 410' · RF 349' · 9' wall). Balanced.
Flag Pole in Play
Athletics — Batted Balls
15 BIP· 4 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
315' 410' 349' Cannon Sinclair — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -10° · 72 ft Mirko Moros — double_play · EV 53 mph · LA -18° · 50 ft Chad Weeks — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +8° · 72 ft Alex Zago — error · EV 76 mph · LA -6° · 72 ft Wilfredo Molina — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +9° · 71 ft Rick Taygan — ground_out · EV 81 mph · LA +1° · 77 ft Keaton Saunders — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA -4° · 49 ft Randy Korda — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -5° · 72 ft Cannon Sinclair — double · EV 92 mph · LA +33° · 310 ft Mathis Diémé — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +25° · 258 ft Wilfredo Molina — single · EV 76 mph · LA -2° · 72 ft Frank Gerlach — single · EV 92 mph · LA +3° · 87 ft Chad Weeks — double · EV 94 mph · LA +27° · 281 ft Randy Korda — single · EV 79 mph · LA +3° · 75 ft Modesto Pagán — single · EV 83 mph · LA +15° · 137 ft
Guardians — Batted Balls
7 BIP· 0 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
315' 410' 349' Alastair Gazzaniga — double · EV 92 mph · LA +30° · 296 ft Stan Nieto — line_out · EV 77 mph · LA +25° · 184 ft Kemari Granberry — triple_play · EV 52 mph · LA -8° · 49 ft Justin Barg — error · EV 52 mph · LA -4° · 49 ft Amir Anwunah — error · EV 76 mph · LA +18° · 133 ft Quentin Maier — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -3° · 49 ft Tobias DeLong — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA +8° · 60 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Athletics
60% deserve-to-win  ·  3.6 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  +2.4 vs expected
contact: 5.8 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 8.0 (+2.2 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Chad Weeks 94 / +27° Center Double 0.7 → 2 +1.27
Cannon Sinclair 92 / +33° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.06
Wilfredo Molina 76 / -2° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.77
Randy Korda 79 / +3° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.75
Mathis Diémé 92 / +25° Oppo Out 0.7 → 0 -0.73
Guardians
40% deserve-to-win  ·  2.9 expected runs
actual 7 runs  ·  +4.1 vs expected
contact: 2.1 est bases + 9 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 3.0 (+0.9 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Alastair Gazzaniga 92 / +30° Pull Double 0.7 → 2 +1.27
Amir Anwunah 76 / +18° Oppo Stay 0.5 → 1 +0.46
Tobias DeLong 52 / +8° Oppo Out 0.3 → 0 -0.33
Stan Nieto 77 / +25° Center Out 0.2 → 0 -0.15
Quentin Maier 52 / -3° Center Out 0.1 → 0 -0.11
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