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Giants 12, Marlins 3                                         2026-06-29 · #940
at Kolenda Field
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Miami                   3      -    3    4    0
San Francisco          12      0   12    8    0

MARLINS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Corzo       3b ......    4   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   3   0   0  0.250
Enterline   rf ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Vildoza     ss ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Yanagi      p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Mangin  ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   .000
Ashley      c  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Suggs       cf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Narazaki    2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Trevino     1b ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.250
Suárez      lf ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.250
Totals                  28   3   4   1   0   0   2   1  12   0   1  0.143
  2B: Corzo (6).
  HBP: Vildoza (1).
  a-Pinch-hit for Yanagi in the 6th.

GIANTS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Kelley      2b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Figuero pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Braxton     lf ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   1   1   3   0   0  0.250
Leininger   rf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Estrada     cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1  0.000
Fornaroli   1b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Rosado  pr ......    2   3   1   0   1   0   3   0   1   0   0  0.500
Arbeloa     3b ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.250
Connelly    c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Matos   ph ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Short       ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  d-Gallowa ph ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Mateas      p  ......    2   2   2   1   0   0   3   1   0   0   1  1.000
  e-Reyes   ph ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   2   1   1   0   0  0.500
  f-Anger   ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  g-Mantía  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Sundling    j  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  31  12   8   1   1   0  12   8  15   0   2  0.258
  2B: Mateas (4).
  3B: Rosado (1).
  HBP: Rosado (1).
  a-Ran for Kelley in the 4th.
  b-Ran for Fornaroli in the 3rd.
  c-Walked for Connelly in the 9th.
  d-Walked for Short in the 9th.
  e-Batted for Sundling in the 5th.
  f-Batted for Sundling in the 9th.
  g-Struck out in the 9th.

MARLINS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Yanagi (L, 1-12) ....    33   26  96%    6    9    9    5   14    0  114    -
Offord ..............     6    1   4%    2    3    3    3    1    0   28  1-1

GIANTS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Mateas (W, 10-5) ....    12   12  44%    1    0    0    0    6    0   40    -
Clements ............    13   11  41%    2    2    2    1    6    0   49    -
Vaca (F, 12) ........     4    4  15%    1    1    1    0    0    0   14  2-1

MARLINS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Yanagi (Outs 1-26) → Offord (Outs 27-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Ashley (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Trevino (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Narazaki (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Corzo (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Vildoza (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Suárez (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Suggs (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Enterline (Outs 1-27)

GIANTS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Mateas (Outs 1-12) → Clements (Outs 13-23) → Vaca (Outs 24-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Connelly (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Fornaroli (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Kelley (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Arbeloa (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Short (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Braxton (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Estrada (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Leininger (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Giants (home) batted first; Marlins batted second.
  Seconds: SFG o26 (12-0).
  First pitch 6:30 PM PT. Weather: 78°F · Wind calm · Clear. seed 593524.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 7 Alafia Kelley Reuben Leininger (3B) 0–1
B 7 Alafia Kelley Ignacio Rosado (2B) 0–2
B 14 Tally Mateas Ignacio Rosado (2B) 0–3
B 16 Jhonny Reyes Tally Mateas (3B) 0–4
B 16 Jhonny Reyes Manolo Figueroa (2B) 0–5
B 25 Ignacio Rosado Jhonny Reyes (3B) 0–6
B 25 Ignacio Rosado Tally Mateas (2B) 0–7
B 25 Ignacio Rosado Chase Sundling (1B) 0–8
B 25 Cas Arbeloa Ignacio Rosado (3B) 0–9
B 25 Tally Mateas Cas Arbeloa (3B) 0–10
B 25 Tally Mateas Antolín Matos (2B) 0–11
B 26 Stefan Braxton Brad Galloway (3B) 0–12
T 20 Israel Trevino Carson Suggs (3B) 1–12
T 21 Kendall Suárez Norm Ashley (3B) 2–12
T 25 Wilmer Corzo Máximo Vildoza (3B) 3–12
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Kolenda Field's actual outfield dimensions (LF 322' · CF 445' · RF 350' · 13' wall). Balanced.
Wire Basket
Marlins — Batted Balls
15 BIP· 3 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
322' 445' 350' Norm Ashley — fly_out · EV 73 mph · LA +37° · 206 ft Carson Suggs — line_out · EV 77 mph · LA +17° · 133 ft Keishiro Narazaki — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -2° · 72 ft Kendall Suárez — single · EV 79 mph · LA +7° · 75 ft Wallace Enterline — ground_out · EV 69 mph · LA +6° · 65 ft Wallace Enterline — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +1° · 87 ft Keishiro Narazaki — fly_out · EV 81 mph · LA +29° · 222 ft Norm Ashley — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +38° · 224 ft Carson Suggs — ground_out · EV 79 mph · LA -1° · 75 ft Norm Ashley — single · EV 78 mph · LA +17° · 137 ft Israel Trevino — single · EV 93 mph · LA +23° · 247 ft Wallace Enterline — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -1° · 73 ft Kendall Suárez — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +26° · 184 ft Wilmer Corzo — double · EV 96 mph · LA +18° · 218 ft Israel Trevino — fielders_choice · EV 100 mph · LA +6° · 95 ft
Giants — Batted Balls
14 BIP· 6 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
322' 445' 350' Pramod Estrada — fly_out · EV 88 mph · LA +20° · 202 ft Tarni Fornaroli — single · EV 82 mph · LA +6° · 78 ft Alafia Kelley — single · EV 82 mph · LA -3° · 78 ft Tally Mateas — double · EV 110 mph · LA +13° · 211 ft Chase Sundling — ground_out · EV 94 mph · LA -20° · 89 ft Jhonny Reyes — single · EV 88 mph · LA -10° · 84 ft Cas Arbeloa — fly_out · EV 94 mph · LA +37° · 344 ft Alexander Connelly — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA +38° · 276 ft Ignacio Rosado — triple · EV 116 mph · LA +11° · 206 ft Tally Mateas — single · EV 82 mph · LA +1° · 78 ft Cas Arbeloa — ground_out · EV 119 mph · LA +5° · 113 ft Alexander Connelly — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +8° · 95 ft Cas Arbeloa — single · EV 117 mph · LA -20° · 111 ft Stefan Braxton — single · EV 115 mph · LA -6° · 109 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Marlins
7% deserve-to-win  ·  2.6 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  +0.4 vs expected
contact: 5.9 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (-0.9 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Wilmer Corzo 96 / +18° Center Double 1.2 → 2 +0.76
Kendall Suárez 79 / +7° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.74
Carson Suggs 77 / +17° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.54
Israel Trevino 100 / +6° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.50
Norm Ashley 78 / +17° Oppo Single 0.5 → 1 +0.46
Giants
93% deserve-to-win  ·  9.3 expected runs
actual 12 runs  ·  +2.7 vs expected
contact: 11.2 est bases + 9 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 11.0 (-0.2 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Ignacio Rosado 116 / +11° Pull Triple 1.6 → 3 +1.44
Cas Arbeloa 117 / -20° Center Single 2.2 → 1 -1.21
Cas Arbeloa 94 / +37° Pull Out 0.9 → 0 -0.92
Pramod Estrada 88 / +20° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.90
Cas Arbeloa 119 / +5° Pull Out 0.7 → 0 -0.71
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