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Cubs 1, Tigers 0                                             2026-06-29 · #939
at Ivanov-Smolensky Coliseum
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                        1    R    H    E
Detroit                 0    0    3    0
Chicago                 1    1    3    0

TIGERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Peavy       lf ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Cotzumalgua 3b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Zheng       ss ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
  a-Acebo   pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Grimaldo    2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   1  0.000
  b-Delatte pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Kuchiki     1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Sears       rf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Lutmer      c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
McMichael   cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Monroe  pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Ali         p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Whorisk ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  23   0   3   0   0   0   0   3  12   0   1  0.130
  SB: Acebo (9).
  CS: Sears (2), Delatte (13), Monroe (4).
  a-Ran for Zheng in the 6th.
  b-Ran for Grimaldo in the 6th.
  c-Ran for McMichael in the 9th.
  d-Struck out for Acebo in the 7th.

CUBS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Wambach     1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Campaz      p  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
May         lf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Segovia     c  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Heinze  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Santana     2b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Myers       ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Hollowe pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Maxson      3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Sarkissian  rf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   .000
Seol        cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  10   1   3   0   0   0   1   0   3   0   1  0.300
  CS: Hollowell (7).
  HBP: Campaz (1).
  a-Struck out for Segovia in the 7th.
  b-Ran for Myers in the 3rd.

TIGERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Ali (L, 4-5) ........    11   10  37%    3    1    1    0    3    0   39    -

CUBS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Campaz (W, 7-6) .....    26   27 100%    2    0    0    3   13    0  105    -

TIGERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-10)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Ali (Outs 1-10)
CATCHER (C)       | Lutmer (Outs 1-10)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Kuchiki (Outs 1-10)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Grimaldo (Outs 1-10)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Cotzumalguapa (Outs 1-10)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Zheng (Outs 1-10)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Peavy (Outs 1-10)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | McMichael (Outs 1-10)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Sears (Outs 1-10)

CUBS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Campaz (Outs 1-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Segovia (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Wambach (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Santana (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Maxson (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Myers (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | May (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Seol (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Sarkissian (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Cubs (home) batted second; Tigers batted first.
  First pitch 7:10 PM CT. Weather: 90°F · Wind calm · Clear · Humid. seed 965199.
  Chase (RRR/3O — runs per 3 outs needed to win):
    Starting 0.11    Peak faced 0.18
    27 outs left: 0.11
    18 outs left: 0.17
     9 outs left: 0.00
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score RRR/3O
B 10 Erick May Isaiah Campaz (2B) 0–1 0.00
Chase — Pressure Curve (RRR/3O)

Runs per 3 outs the second-batting side needed to win (cricket-over analog; league pace is ~1.3 per 3 outs).

Starting 0.11
Peak faced 0.18
27 outs left 0.11
18 outs left 0.17
9 outs left 0.00
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Ivanov-Smolensky Coliseum's actual outfield dimensions (LF 311' · CF 428' · RF 340' · 13' wall). Balanced.
Hand-Operated Scoreboard Crescent Grandstand
Tigers — Batted Balls
9 BIP· 2 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
311' 428' 340' Ricki Sears — single · EV 69 mph · LA +12° · 78 ft Barry McMichael — line_out · EV 84 mph · LA +24° · 206 ft Turner Ali — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA +9° · 86 ft Barry McMichael — ground_out · EV 71 mph · LA -1° · 68 ft Zixuan Zheng — single · EV 77 mph · LA +24° · 178 ft Ed Peavy — line_out · EV 88 mph · LA +17° · 175 ft Yimmi Cotzumalguapa — ground_out · EV 69 mph · LA +0° · 66 ft Rocky Kuchiki — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -4° · 49 ft Ricki Sears — fly_out · EV 68 mph · LA +28° · 150 ft
Cubs — Batted Balls
6 BIP· 3 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
311' 428' 340' Teófilo Segovia — single · EV 77 mph · LA +2° · 73 ft Jaume Santana — single · EV 96 mph · LA +19° · 229 ft Erick May — ground_out · EV 71 mph · LA -17° · 67 ft Floyd Myers — fielders_choice · EV 100 mph · LA -1° · 95 ft Jaume Santana — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -15° · 84 ft Erick May — single · EV 92 mph · LA -7° · 87 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Tigers
3% deserve-to-win  ·  0.2 expected runs
actual 0 runs  ·  -0.2 vs expected
contact: 3.2 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 2.0 (-1.2 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 3 CS (-1.6 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Ricki Sears 69 / +12° Oppo Single 0.3 → 1 +0.67
Barry McMichael 84 / +24° Pull Out 0.6 → 0 -0.61
Ed Peavy 88 / +17° Pull Out 0.6 → 0 -0.61
Turner Ali 84 / +9° Pull Out 0.6 → 0 -0.58
Zixuan Zheng 77 / +24° Center Single 0.5 → 1 +0.46
Cubs
97% deserve-to-win  ·  0.9 expected runs
actual 1 run  ·  +0.1 vs expected
contact: 2.9 est bases + 1 walk/HBP  ·  actual batted 3.0 (+0.1 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Teófilo Segovia 77 / +2° Oppo Single 0.3 → 1 +0.75
Erick May 92 / -7° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.61
Floyd Myers 100 / -1° Pull Out 0.5 → 0 -0.45
Jaume Santana 88 / -15° Oppo Out 0.4 → 0 -0.37
Erick May 71 / -17° Pull Out 0.2 → 0 -0.24
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