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Canaries 49, Dodgers 6                                       2026-06-29 · #944
at New Jersey Yards
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Los Angeles             6      0    6    9    1
New Jersey             49      0   49   38    1

DODGERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Bender      3b ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.250
Tena        lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Egglest pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Mokiao-Atim 1b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
  b-Bertram pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Gerardy     rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Manaia      c  ......    3   1   2   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.667
Ochoa       ss ......    2   0   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Richey  pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Gilbert     cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Guarner ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Lepchenko   2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Boyajya ph ......    3   1   2   0   0   0   3   0   1   0   0  0.667
Fariña      p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  f-Chang   ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
  g-Gleason ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  h-Roby    pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  i-Richard pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  31   6   9   0   0   0   6   4  12   0   0  0.290
  SB: Bender (2).
  E: Gleason (3).
  GIDP: Gleason (2), Bender (1), Gerardy (4), Lepchenko (2).
  a-Ran for Tena in the 4th.
  b-Ran for Mokiao-Atimalala in the 4th.
  c-Ran for Ochoa in the 4th.
  d-Grounded out for Gilbert in the 4th.
  e-Batted for Lepchenko in the 5th.
  f-Batted for Fariña in the 7th.
  g-Grounded out for Eggleston in the 5th.
  h-Ran in the 5th.
  i-Ran for Chang in the 7th.

CANARIES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Kramer      2b ......    4   3   4   2   0   0   5   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Hlavack pr ......    4   3   1   0   0   1   2   0   1   0   0  0.250
Kerr        rf ......    7   8   6   1   0   1   6   1   1   0   0  0.857
Brickhandle 1b ......    6   5   3   1   0   1   4   0   2   0   0  0.500
Campos      ss ......    6   9   5   2   0   2   9   2   0   0   0  0.833
Ali         lf ......    7   5   6   2   0   0   5   0   1   0   0  0.857
Cordero     c  ......    8   5   5   2   0   1   7   0   2   0   0  0.625
Lacava      3b ......    7   3   1   1   0   0   1   1   2   0   0  0.143
Bennette    p  ......    6   2   3   2   0   0   3   1   2   0   0  0.500
Tejeda      cf ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Akers   pr ......    1   2   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Fishbac ph ......    5   4   2   0   0   1   4   0   0   0   0  0.400
Totals                  62  49  38  15   0   7  47   5  11   0   0  0.613
  2B: Kramer 2 (32), Kerr (13), Brickhandler (18), Campos 2 (2), Ali 2 (32), Cordero 2 (30), Lacava (20), Bennette 2 (2), Tejeda (15), Akers (5).
  HR: Kerr (14), off Fariña; Brickhandler (12), off Aupiu; Campos 2 (2), off Aupiu, Heinrich; Cordero (19), off Tak; Fishbach (5), off Fitzgibbon; Hlavacka (1), off Richey.
  SB: Ali (9).
  E: Kramer (6).
  HBP: Brickhandler 2 (3), Ali (5).
  a-Ran for Kramer in the 4th.
  b-Ran for Tejeda in the 2nd.
  c-Batted in the 3rd.

DODGERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Fariña (L, 2-4) .....    18    8  30%    7   10   10    1    6    1   73  1-1
Goss ................    14    7  26%    8    7    6    1    3    0   53  2-1
Aupiu ...............     4    0   0%    4    6    4    0    0    2   19  1-1
Byrd ................     8    3  11%    4    4    4    1    0    0   32  1-1
Heinrich ............     5    0   0%    3    7    7    1    0    1   22  2-2
Tak .................     8    3  11%    4    5    1    1    1    1   30  1-1
Fitzgibbon ..........     7    4  15%    4    5    5    0    0    1   17  2-1
Richey ..............     6    2   7%    4    5    4    0    1    1   18  1-1

CANARIES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Bennette (W, 5-0) ...    18   14  52%    5    1    1    2    6    0   76    -
Tesfaye .............    13    9  33%    4    5    5    2    4    0   48  3-2
Arnoux (F, 57) ......     3    4  15%    0    0    0    0    2    0   12  2-0

DODGERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Fariña (Outs 1-8) → Goss (Outs 9-15) → Byrd (Outs 16-18) → Tak (Outs 19-21) → Fitzgibbon (Outs 22-25) → Richey (Outs 26-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Manaia (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Mokiao-Atimalala (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Lepchenko (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Bender (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Ochoa (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Tena (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Gilbert (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Gerardy (Outs 1-27)

CANARIES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Bennette (Outs 1-14) → Tesfaye (Outs 15-23) → Arnoux (Outs 24-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Cordero (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Brickhandler (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Kramer (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Lacava (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Campos (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Ali (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Tejeda (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Kerr (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Canaries (home) batted first; Dodgers batted second.
  Seconds: LAD o25 (6-49), NJC o25 (49-0).
  First pitch 6:30 PM ET. Weather: 68°F · Wind calm · Overcast. seed 997383.
  Walk-Back runs: off Goss 1, off Aupiu 2, off Tak 2, off Richey 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 2 Grant Cordero Andrea Kramer (3B) 0–1
B 2 Grant Cordero Jerome Kerr (2B) 0–2
B 2 Grant Cordero Hugo Campos (1B) 0–3
B 5 Fritz Akers Fritz Akers (2B) 0–4
B 6 Roberto Lacava Fritz Akers (3B) 0–5
B 7 Rodmond Ali Roberto Lacava (2B) 0–6
B 7 Hugo Campos Rodmond Ali (2B) 0–7
B 7 Hugo Campos Hugo Campos (HR) 0–8
B 7 Jam Brickhandler Hugo Campos (3B) 0–9
B 7 Jam Brickhandler Jam Brickhandler (HR) 0–10
B 7 Andrea Kramer Jam Brickhandler (3B) 0–11
B 7 Andrea Kramer Jerome Kerr (1B) 0–12
B 8 Warren Bennette Andrea Kramer (3B) 0–13
B 8 Grant Cordero Warren Bennette (2B) 0–14
B 8 Rodmond Ali Roberto Lacava (2B) 0–15
B 10 Jerome Kerr Grant Cordero (3B) 0–16
B 10 Andrea Kramer Rodmond Ali (3B) 0–17
B 10 Andrea Kramer Jerome Kerr (1B) 0–18
B 10 Andrea Kramer Andrea Kramer (2B) 0–19
B 10 Hugo Campos Jared Hlavacka (3B) 0–20
B 10 Hugo Campos Jerome Kerr (2B) 0–21
B 10 Hugo Campos Jam Brickhandler (1B) 0–22
B 10 Hugo Campos Hugo Campos (HR) 0–23
B 10 Rodmond Ali Hugo Campos (3B) 0–24
B 10 Grant Cordero Rodmond Ali (1B) 0–25
B 10 Grant Cordero Grant Cordero (HR) 0–26
B 11 Deylin Fishbach Grant Cordero (3B) 0–27
B 13 Jerome Kerr Deylin Fishbach (2B) 0–28
B 14 Hugo Campos Jerome Kerr (2B) 0–29
B 14 Rodmond Ali Hugo Campos (2B) 0–30
B 16 Warren Bennette Roberto Lacava (1B) 0–31
B 17 Deylin Fishbach Warren Bennette (2B) 0–32
B 17 Deylin Fishbach Deylin Fishbach (HR) 0–33
B 17 Warren Bennette Deylin Fishbach (3B) 0–34
B 19 Jam Brickhandler Grant Cordero (3B) 0–35
B 19 Jam Brickhandler Rodmond Ali (2B) 0–36
B 19 Jam Brickhandler Hugo Campos (1B) 0–37
B 21 Deylin Fishbach Jam Brickhandler (2B) 0–38
B 23 Grant Cordero Deylin Fishbach (1B) 0–39
B 23 Hugo Campos Grant Cordero (2B) 0–40
B 23 Jerome Kerr Rodmond Ali (3B) 0–41
B 23 Jerome Kerr Hugo Campos (2B) 0–42
B 23 Jerome Kerr Jam Brickhandler (1B) 0–43
B 23 Jerome Kerr Jerome Kerr (HR) 0–44
B 23 Jared Hlavacka Jerome Kerr (3B) 0–45
B 23 Jared Hlavacka Jared Hlavacka (HR) 0–46
B 24 Jam Brickhandler Jared Hlavacka (3B) 0–47
B 25 Hugo Campos Jerome Kerr (3B) 0–48
B 25 Rodmond Ali Hugo Campos (1B) 0–49
T 11 Wyatt Guarnera Lenny Eggleston (3B) 1–49
T 13 Chien-hao Chang Hemi Manaia (3B) 2–49
T 20 Douglas Bender Welby Richey (3B) 3–49
T 20 Jed Boyajyan Eugene Roby (3B) 4–49
T 21 Jed Boyajyan Douglas Bender (3B) 5–49
T 21 Jed Boyajyan Jed Boyajyan (2B) 6–49
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to New Jersey Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 341' · CF 403' · RF 324' · 40' wall). Balanced.
Dodgers — Batted Balls
17 BIP· 9 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
341' 403' 324' Wall 40' Bautista Ochoa — single · EV 80 mph · LA +18° · 149 ft Andy Lepchenko — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -9° · 72 ft Hemi Manaia — single · EV 76 mph · LA +18° · 138 ft Wyatt Guarnera — error · EV 52 mph · LA +7° · 49 ft Elliott Gleason — double_play · EV 65 mph · LA -10° · 62 ft Chien-hao Chang — single · EV 96 mph · LA -13° · 91 ft Paolo Tena — fielders_choice · EV 80 mph · LA +8° · 73 ft Ben Mokiao-Atimalala — single · EV 77 mph · LA +11° · 92 ft Tanner Gerardy — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -10° · 72 ft Bautista Ochoa — single · EV 92 mph · LA +12° · 139 ft Hemi Manaia — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA -10° · 73 ft Jed Boyajyan — single · EV 92 mph · LA +17° · 188 ft Tanner Gerardy — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -2° · 72 ft Douglas Bender — single · EV 92 mph · LA +18° · 195 ft Jed Boyajyan — single · EV 95 mph · LA +8° · 90 ft Hemi Manaia — single · EV 93 mph · LA -5° · 89 ft Douglas Bender — double_play · EV 59 mph · LA -13° · 56 ft
Canaries — Batted Balls
48 BIP· 16 1B · 15 XBH · 7 HR
341' 403' 324' Wall 40' Andrea Kramer — single · EV 86 mph · LA +11° · 109 ft Jerome Kerr — single · EV 97 mph · LA +26° · 293 ft Grant Cordero — double · EV 98 mph · LA +16° · 199 ft Warren Bennette — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA -2° · 74 ft Leonardo Tejeda — double · EV 87 mph · LA +30° · 258 ft Fritz Akers — double · EV 88 mph · LA +33° · 281 ft Hugo Campos — hr · EV 112 mph · LA +28° · 414 ft Jared Hlavacka — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA -14° · 80 ft Roberto Lacava — double · EV 109 mph · LA +10° · 163 ft Rodmond Ali — single · EV 92 mph · LA +17° · 187 ft Jam Brickhandler — hr · EV 100 mph · LA +42° · 397 ft Jerome Kerr — single · EV 114 mph · LA +26° · 405 ft Andrea Kramer — double · EV 110 mph · LA +23° · 345 ft Hugo Campos — fly_out · EV 108 mph · LA +26° · 366 ft Deylin Fishbach — error · EV 78 mph · LA +7° · 74 ft Warren Bennette — double · EV 98 mph · LA +14° · 180 ft Grant Cordero — single · EV 84 mph · LA +20° · 177 ft Rodmond Ali — single · EV 88 mph · LA +16° · 159 ft Jam Brickhandler — ground_out · EV 74 mph · LA +8° · 70 ft Jerome Kerr — single · EV 107 mph · LA +17° · 253 ft Andrea Kramer — double · EV 98 mph · LA +14° · 179 ft Hugo Campos — hr · EV 109 mph · LA +29° · 400 ft Jared Hlavacka — hr · EV 102 mph · LA +42° · 416 ft Andrea Kramer — single · EV 81 mph · LA +11° · 101 ft Rodmond Ali — single · EV 104 mph · LA +14° · 205 ft Grant Cordero — hr · EV 102 mph · LA +43° · 417 ft Jerome Kerr — single · EV 93 mph · LA +32° · 314 ft Jam Brickhandler — single · EV 115 mph · LA +19° · 330 ft Hugo Campos — double · EV 110 mph · LA +24° · 356 ft Roberto Lacava — fielders_choice · EV 80 mph · LA +1° · 76 ft Warren Bennette — double · EV 110 mph · LA +14° · 229 ft Deylin Fishbach — hr · EV 111 mph · LA +28° · 406 ft Jared Hlavacka — fielders_choice · EV 68 mph · LA +6° · 65 ft Rodmond Ali — double · EV 90 mph · LA +11° · 121 ft Grant Cordero — line_out · EV 104 mph · LA +21° · 288 ft Warren Bennette — single · EV 93 mph · LA +10° · 123 ft Roberto Lacava — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +60° · 350 ft Jam Brickhandler — double · EV 109 mph · LA +25° · 360 ft Deylin Fishbach — single · EV 97 mph · LA -3° · 92 ft Hugo Campos — double · EV 106 mph · LA +15° · 224 ft Grant Cordero — single · EV 89 mph · LA +1° · 84 ft Rodmond Ali — single · EV 97 mph · LA +27° · 300 ft Jerome Kerr — hr · EV 105 mph · LA +40° · 435 ft Hugo Campos — single · EV 93 mph · LA -7° · 88 ft Grant Cordero — double · EV 106 mph · LA +22° · 313 ft Jerome Kerr — double · EV 113 mph · LA +24° · 376 ft Rodmond Ali — double · EV 100 mph · LA +10° · 143 ft Roberto Lacava — ground_out · EV 81 mph · LA -15° · 77 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Dodgers
2% deserve-to-win  ·  4.5 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  +1.5 vs expected
contact: 7.2 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 9.0 (+1.8 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.5 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Hemi Manaia 93 / -5° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.61
Jed Boyajyan 95 / +8° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.58
Chien-hao Chang 96 / -13° Oppo Single 0.4 → 1 +0.55
Ben Mokiao-Atimalala 77 / +11° Center Single 0.5 → 1 +0.52
Paolo Tena 80 / +8° Oppo Out 0.5 → 0 -0.48
Canaries
98% deserve-to-win  ·  32.0 expected runs
actual 49 runs  ·  +17.0 vs expected
contact: 60.6 est bases + 8 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 74.0 (+13.4 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.5 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Hugo Campos 108 / +26° Oppo Out 2.2 → 0 -2.18
Jerome Kerr 114 / +26° Center Single 3.0 → 1 -1.96
Hugo Campos 109 / +29° Oppo Home Run 2.2 → 4 +1.82
Deylin Fishbach 111 / +28° Pull Home Run 2.2 → 4 +1.82
Leonardo Tejeda 87 / +30° Center Double 0.4 → 2 +1.60
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