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Beavers 2, Rockies 1                                         2026-06-29 · #945
at The Oval
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                        1    R    H    E
Colorado                1    1    3    0
Portland                2    2    4    1

ROCKIES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Martinho    ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Otamend pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Diatta      rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Chaves      1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Herr    pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Touchard    c  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Alderman    cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Kaiuway ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Porteño     3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Denson      p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1  0.000
Goss        2b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Lewis       lf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
  d-Farquha ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Dowell      j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Oh          j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Valencia    j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  25   1   3   0   0   0   1   5  12   0   1  0.120
  SB: Lewis (6), Otamendi (3).
  CS: Lewis 2 (8).
  GIDP: Diatta (5), Denson (2).
  a-Ran for Martinho in the 6th.
  b-Ran for Chaves in the 7th.
  c-Grounded out for Alderman in the 7th.
  d-Walked for Valencia in the 8th.

BEAVERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Tessema     2b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  a-Clement ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Maripán     c  ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Vahaly      ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Turenne     rf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Hydrick     1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Guerra      cf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  b-Okey    pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Aktaş       3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Vidal       lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Holzwor ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Henríquez   p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Smith   pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  e-Streko  ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Velazquez   j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Redmayne    j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Abate       j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  18   2   4   1   0   0   2   3   7   0   0  0.222
  2B: Maripán (3).
  E: Velazquez (3).
  HBP: Maripán (1).
  GIDP: Henríquez (2), Clement (3).
  a-Grounded out for Tessema in the 5th.
  b-Ran for Guerra in the 5th.
  c-Struck out for Vidal in the 6th.
  d-Ran in the 7th.
  e-Walked in the 6th.

ROCKIES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Denson (L, 11-4) ....    22   19  70%    4    2    2    3    7    0   94    -

BEAVERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Henríquez (W, 6-6) ..    30   27 100%    3    1    1    5   12    0  118    -

ROCKIES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-19)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Denson (Outs 1-19)
CATCHER (C)       | Touchard (Outs 1-19)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Chaves (Outs 1-19)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Goss (Outs 1-19)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Porteño (Outs 1-19)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Martinho (Outs 1-19)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Lewis (Outs 1-19)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Alderman (Outs 1-19)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Diatta (Outs 1-19)

BEAVERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Henríquez (Outs 1-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Maripán (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Hydrick (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Tessema (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Aktaş (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Vahaly (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Vidal (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Guerra (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Turenne (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Beavers (home) batted second; Rockies batted first.
  First pitch 7:15 PM PT. Weather: 58°F · Wind calm · Overcast. seed 52496.
  Powerplays: Beavers — Streko NF (O5)
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 22 Vladimir Valencia Ronald Herr (2B) 1–0
B 14 Sydney Redmayne Rhyne Okey (2B) 1–1
B 19 Karl-Anthony Maripán Ricki Smith (1B) 1–2
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to The Oval's actual outfield dimensions (LF 326' · CF 455' · RF 395' · 14' wall). Cavernous.
Hand-Operated Scoreboard
Rockies — Batted Balls
10 BIP· 3 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
326' 455' 395' Wall 14' John Diatta — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +24° · 255 ft Allen Alderman — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA -8° · 72 ft Dozie Denson — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +4° · 72 ft Thomas Lewis — single · EV 76 mph · LA +21° · 152 ft Justin Kaiuway — error · EV 52 mph · LA -14° · 49 ft Vladimir Valencia — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -2° · 49 ft Jahmari Touchard — single · EV 80 mph · LA +18° · 150 ft Jeyland Chaves — line_out · EV 83 mph · LA +15° · 139 ft John Diatta — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA -11° · 49 ft Ahkhari Goss — single · EV 76 mph · LA +24° · 174 ft
Beavers — Batted Balls
8 BIP· 3 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
326' 455' 395' Wall 14' Édison Henríquez — double_play · EV 79 mph · LA -0° · 75 ft Karl-Anthony Maripán — fly_out · EV 84 mph · LA +38° · 272 ft Val Clement — double_play · EV 69 mph · LA -27° · 66 ft Wilmer Velazquez — single · EV 93 mph · LA +14° · 156 ft Sydney Redmayne — ground_out · EV 56 mph · LA -4° · 53 ft Levar De Turenne — single · EV 81 mph · LA +9° · 83 ft Yadier Guerra — single · EV 82 mph · LA -17° · 78 ft Karl-Anthony Maripán — double · EV 85 mph · LA +33° · 265 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Rockies
45% deserve-to-win  ·  2.1 expected runs
actual 1 run  ·  -1.1 vs expected
contact: 3.5 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 3.0 (-0.5 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 2 CS (-0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Ahkhari Goss 76 / +24° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.84
John Diatta 92 / +24° Oppo Out 0.7 → 0 -0.74
Jeyland Chaves 83 / +15° Oppo Out 0.6 → 0 -0.59
Thomas Lewis 76 / +21° Oppo Single 0.5 → 1 +0.46
Jahmari Touchard 80 / +18° Oppo Single 0.6 → 1 +0.37
Beavers
55% deserve-to-win  ·  2.3 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  -0.3 vs expected
contact: 3.1 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (+1.9 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Karl-Anthony Maripán 85 / +33° Pull Double 0.4 → 2 +1.56
Yadier Guerra 82 / -17° Oppo Single 0.3 → 1 +0.66
Karl-Anthony Maripán 84 / +38° Pull Out 0.4 → 0 -0.44
Levar De Turenne 81 / +9° Pull Single 0.6 → 1 +0.41
Édison Henríquez 79 / +0° Center Double Play 0.2 → 0 -0.23
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