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Guardians 7, Marlins 5                                       2026-07-01 · #962
at Cleveland Coliseum
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                        1    R    H    E
Miami                   5    5    6    0
Cleveland               7    7   11    0

MARLINS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Enterline   rf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  a-Beasley pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Suárez      lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Corzo       3b ......    3   2   1   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.333
Baird       p  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
  b-Narazak pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Mangin      1b ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   2   2   0   0   0  0.500
Trevino     ss ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.333
Todd-Willia 2b ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Ashley      c  ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Enquist     cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Vildoza ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  25   5   6   3   0   0   4   7   7   0   0  0.240
  2B: Mangin (9), Trevino (4), Ashley (8).
  CS: Mangin (6).
  GIDP: Narazaki (2), Enquist 2 (13).
  a-Ran for Enterline in the 5th.
  b-Ran for Baird in the 5th.
  c-Batted for Beasley in the 7th.

GUARDIANS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Gazzaniga   c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Mayotte pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Granberry   2b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Druz    pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Cabrera     ss ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  c-Bronaug pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Hutson      lf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   .000
  d-Feitsha ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Solórzano   1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  e-DeLong  ph ......    3   1   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.667
Navarro     cf ......    4   2   2   1   1   0   4   0   0   0   0  0.500
Velez       3b ......    4   0   2   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.500
González    rf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
  f-Bannaty ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Lue         p  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   1  1.000
  g-Barg    pr ......    1   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  28   7  11   1   1   0   6   5   5   0   2  0.393
  2B: Navarro (9).
  3B: Navarro (1).
  SB: Mayotte (2).
  CS: González (7), DeLong (9).
  a-Ran for Gazzaniga in the 4th.
  b-Ran for Granberry in the 4th.
  c-Ran for Cabrera in the 4th.
  d-Singled for Hutson in the 4th.
  e-Batted for Solórzano in the 4th.
  f-Grounded out for González in the 9th.
  g-Ran for Feitshans in the 4th.

MARLINS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Baird (L, 3-13) .....    31   26  96%   10    6    6    5    5    0  105    -
Entringer ...........     1    1   4%    0    1    1    0    0    0    3  2-1

GUARDIANS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Lue (W, 2-1) ........    19   15  56%    4    2    2    3    5    0   69    -
Robles (F, 12) ......    14   12  44%    2    3    3    4    3    0   43  2-2

MARLINS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Baird (Outs 1-26) → Entringer (Outs 27-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Ashley (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Mangin (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Todd-Williams (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Corzo (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Trevino (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Suárez (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Enquist (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Enterline (Outs 1-27)

GUARDIANS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Lue (Outs 1-15) → Robles (Outs 16-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Gazzaniga (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Solórzano (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Granberry (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Velez (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Cabrera (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Hutson (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Navarro (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | González (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Guardians (home) batted first; Marlins batted second.
  First pitch 7:10 PM ET. Weather: 57°F · Wind calm · Clear · Light rain. seed 273224.
  Powerplays: Marlins — Beasley NF (O1)
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 10 Dick Feitshans Hubert Druz (2B) 0–1
B 11 Ramón Navarro Clint Bronaugh (3B) 0–2
B 11 Ramón Navarro Justin Barg (1B) 0–3
B 13 Gardnar Lue Ramón Navarro (3B) 0–4
B 26 Ramón Navarro Justin Barg (2B) 0–5
B 26 Ramón Navarro Tobias DeLong (1B) 0–6
B 26 Doug Bannatyne Ramón Navarro (3B) 0–7
T 13 Devon Mangin Israel Trevino (2B) 1–7
T 13 Treston Baird Wilmer Corzo (3B) 2–7
T 15 Norm Ashley Devon Mangin (3B) 3–7
T 16 Norm Ashley Alexander Beasley (3B) 4–7
T 22 Devon Mangin Wilmer Corzo (3B) 5–7
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Cleveland Coliseum's actual outfield dimensions (LF 315' · CF 410' · RF 349' · 9' wall). Balanced.
Flag Pole in Play
Marlins — Batted Balls
17 BIP· 3 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
315' 410' 349' Treston Baird — ground_out · EV 86 mph · LA -2° · 81 ft Bob Todd-Williams — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA -3° · 73 ft Norm Ashley — double · EV 84 mph · LA +43° · 282 ft Jason Enquist — double_play · EV 58 mph · LA -25° · 55 ft Devon Mangin — double · EV 92 mph · LA +21° · 230 ft Máximo Vildoza — single · EV 87 mph · LA -10° · 83 ft Keishiro Narazaki — double_play · EV 61 mph · LA -5° · 58 ft Kendall Suárez — ground_out · EV 72 mph · LA -16° · 68 ft Norm Ashley — fly_out · EV 91 mph · LA +28° · 273 ft Wilmer Corzo — single · EV 83 mph · LA +21° · 188 ft Treston Baird — single · EV 95 mph · LA +13° · 157 ft Israel Trevino — double · EV 100 mph · LA +34° · 371 ft Devon Mangin — fly_out · EV 80 mph · LA +33° · 235 ft Jason Enquist — double_play · EV 82 mph · LA -6° · 78 ft Norm Ashley — ground_out · EV 94 mph · LA -16° · 89 ft Bob Todd-Williams — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA -10° · 73 ft Bob Todd-Williams — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +0° · 72 ft
Guardians — Batted Balls
20 BIP· 8 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
315' 410' 349' Kemari Granberry — single · EV 98 mph · LA -5° · 93 ft Jeyland Solórzano — line_out · EV 88 mph · LA +20° · 200 ft Ramón Navarro — fly_out · EV 90 mph · LA +30° · 280 ft José González — single · EV 84 mph · LA +25° · 212 ft Dick Feitshans — single · EV 87 mph · LA +16° · 165 ft Justin Barg — line_out · EV 104 mph · LA +16° · 228 ft Hubert Druz — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA -14° · 79 ft Benoit Mayotte — ground_out · EV 93 mph · LA -5° · 88 ft Doug Bannatyne — ground_out · EV 89 mph · LA -5° · 84 ft Sekou Cabrera — single · EV 87 mph · LA +22° · 208 ft Ramón Navarro — triple · EV 98 mph · LA +14° · 179 ft José González — line_out · EV 87 mph · LA +24° · 226 ft Tobias DeLong — single · EV 86 mph · LA +12° · 122 ft Hubert Druz — line_out · EV 87 mph · LA +18° · 178 ft Clint Bronaugh — ground_out · EV 101 mph · LA -10° · 96 ft Eddie Velez — single · EV 91 mph · LA +24° · 248 ft Ramón Navarro — ground_out · EV 96 mph · LA +14° · 174 ft Tobias DeLong — single · EV 82 mph · LA +21° · 183 ft Ramón Navarro — double · EV 92 mph · LA +39° · 331 ft Eddie Velez — single · EV 95 mph · LA +19° · 226 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Marlins
33% deserve-to-win  ·  6.5 expected runs
actual 5 runs  ·  -1.5 vs expected
contact: 8.8 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 9.0 (+0.2 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Norm Ashley 84 / +43° Center Double 0.7 → 2 +1.32
Devon Mangin 92 / +21° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.10
Norm Ashley 91 / +28° Oppo Out 0.7 → 0 -0.74
Máximo Vildoza 87 / -10° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.66
Devon Mangin 80 / +33° Oppo Out 0.4 → 0 -0.44
Guardians
67% deserve-to-win  ·  9.2 expected runs
actual 7 runs  ·  -2.2 vs expected
contact: 14.0 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 13.0 (-1.0 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 2 CS (-0.9 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Ramón Navarro 98 / +14° Oppo Triple 1.1 → 3 +1.89
Justin Barg 104 / +16° Pull Out 1.2 → 0 -1.25
Ramón Navarro 96 / +14° Oppo Out 1.1 → 0 -1.11
Ramón Navarro 92 / +39° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.08
Ramón Navarro 90 / +30° Oppo Out 0.7 → 0 -0.74
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