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Tigers 6, Cubs 3                                             2026-07-01 · #963
at Ivanov-Smolensky Coliseum
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                        1    R    H    E
Detroit                 6    6    6    1
Chicago                 3    3    5    0

TIGERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Delatte     ss ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Peavy       lf ......    2   0   1   0   1   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
  a-Cotzuma pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Monroe      3b ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Marion      1b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Whorisk ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Sears       rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Lutmer      c  ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.000
McMichael   cf ......    1   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Takuma      2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Grimald ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Muriel      p  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Acebo   pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Albright    rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Verón   pr ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Soldan      j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  28   6   6   0   1   0   5   4  11   0   0  0.214
  3B: Peavy (1).
  SB: McMichael (4), Cotzumalguapa (13).
  E: Muriel (1).
  HBP: Monroe (3), McMichael (2).
  GIDP: Lutmer (2).
  a-Ran for Peavy in the 4th.
  b-Singled for Marion in the 4th.
  c-Singled for Takuma in the 7th.
  d-Ran for Muriel in the 4th.
  e-Ran for Whoriskey in the 4th.

CUBS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Palermo     ss ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Wambach     2b ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.000
Segovia     c  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Sapriss ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Myers       3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  b-Santana pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Coto        cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Maxson      1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Sarkissian  rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Seol        lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Heinze  ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Schnugg     p  ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.250
  d-Hollowe pr ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Conn        j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  27   3   5   0   0   0   3   4  12   0   0  0.185
  SB: Wambach (2), Heinze 2 (14).
  CS: Santana (13).
  GIDP: Schnugg (1).
  a-Grounded out for Segovia in the 6th.
  b-Ran for Myers in the 6th.
  c-Walked for Seol in the 7th.
  d-Ran for Heinze in the 6th.

TIGERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Muriel (W, 9-2) .....    31   27 100%    5    3    3    4   12    0  114    -

CUBS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Schnugg (L, 3-8) ....    26   20  74%    5    5    5    4    8    0   92    -
Reemsnyder ..........     8    7  26%    1    1    1    0    3    0   30  1-1

TIGERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Muriel (Outs 1-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Lutmer (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Marion (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Takuma (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Monroe (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Delatte (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Peavy (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | McMichael (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Albright (Outs 1-27)

CUBS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Schnugg (Outs 1-20) → Reemsnyder (Outs 21-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Segovia (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Maxson (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Wambach (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Myers (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Palermo (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Seol (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Coto (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Sarkissian (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Cubs (home) batted second; Tigers batted first.
  First pitch 6:30 PM CT. Weather: 73°F · Wind calm · Overcast · Humid. seed 191357.
  Powerplays: Cubs — Saprissa NF (O21)
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 9 Ed Peavy Raymond Acebo (1B) 1–0
T 9 Thai-Son Whoriskey Yimmi Cotzumalguapa (3B) 2–0
T 9 Liam Lutmer Cooper Monroe (3B) 3–0
T 12 Aleksandar Delatte Youstin Verón (3B) 4–0
T 19 Barry McMichael Sean Albright (3B) 5–0
T 20 Jon Grimaldo Barry McMichael (2B) 6–0
B 23 Rill Schnugg Harold Palermo (3B) 6–1
B 23 Rill Schnugg Maurice Hollowell (2B) 6–2
B 24 Kendrick Wambach Kendrick Wambach (3B) 6–3
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Ivanov-Smolensky Coliseum's actual outfield dimensions (LF 311' · CF 428' · RF 340' · 13' wall). Balanced.
Hand-Operated Scoreboard Crescent Grandstand
Tigers — Batted Balls
15 BIP· 5 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
311' 428' 340' Aleksandar Delatte — ground_out · EV 96 mph · LA +9° · 111 ft Karl Marion — single · EV 86 mph · LA +15° · 152 ft Kentaro Takuma — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA -8° · 73 ft Wilmar Muriel — single · EV 79 mph · LA +17° · 138 ft Thai-Son Whoriskey — single · EV 96 mph · LA +10° · 128 ft Kenyatta Soldan — ground_out · EV 87 mph · LA -4° · 83 ft Youstin Verón — single · EV 76 mph · LA +3° · 72 ft Jon Grimaldo — single · EV 86 mph · LA +0° · 82 ft Ed Peavy — triple · EV 101 mph · LA +16° · 221 ft Liam Lutmer — double_play · EV 81 mph · LA +18° · 157 ft Aleksandar Delatte — fielders_choice · EV 75 mph · LA +1° · 71 ft Cooper Monroe — line_out · EV 79 mph · LA +10° · 87 ft Ricki Sears — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -12° · 73 ft Aleksandar Delatte — ground_out · EV 90 mph · LA -15° · 85 ft Liam Lutmer — ground_out · EV 69 mph · LA -22° · 66 ft
Cubs — Batted Balls
14 BIP· 5 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
311' 428' 340' Teófilo Segovia — single · EV 88 mph · LA +3° · 84 ft Kendrick Wambach — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA -11° · 74 ft Rill Schnugg — double_play · EV 64 mph · LA -9° · 60 ft Ivan Saprissa — line_out · EV 80 mph · LA +12° · 99 ft Maurice Hollowell — single · EV 88 mph · LA +24° · 230 ft Wyatt Conn — single · EV 81 mph · LA +19° · 160 ft Hezekiah Maxson — line_out · EV 102 mph · LA +11° · 157 ft Maurice Hollowell — fly_out · EV 91 mph · LA +37° · 319 ft Floyd Myers — error · EV 63 mph · LA -7° · 60 ft Julian Coto — ground_out · EV 73 mph · LA -20° · 69 ft Harold Palermo — single · EV 84 mph · LA -9° · 79 ft Rill Schnugg — ground_out · EV 72 mph · LA -16° · 69 ft Kendrick Wambach — ground_out · EV 72 mph · LA +2° · 69 ft Rill Schnugg — single · EV 81 mph · LA +20° · 165 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Tigers
68% deserve-to-win  ·  7.0 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  -1.0 vs expected
contact: 8.0 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 8.0
running: 2 SB · 0 CS (+1.0 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Ed Peavy 101 / +16° Pull Triple 1.4 → 3 +1.58
Aleksandar Delatte 96 / +9° Oppo Out 1.1 → 0 -1.11
Youstin Verón 76 / +3° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.74
Jon Grimaldo 86 / +0° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.69
Liam Lutmer 81 / +18° Pull Double Play 0.6 → 0 -0.63
Cubs
32% deserve-to-win  ·  4.9 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  -1.9 vs expected
contact: 6.8 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (-1.8 on contact)
running: 3 SB · 1 CS (+0.8 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Hezekiah Maxson 102 / +11° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.25
Maurice Hollowell 91 / +37° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.92
Harold Palermo 84 / -9° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.66
Teófilo Segovia 88 / +3° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.58
Ivan Saprissa 80 / +12° Pull Out 0.5 → 0 -0.48
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