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Dodgers 4, Giants 3                                          2026-07-01 · #967
at Kolenda Field
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                        1    R    H    E
Los Angeles             4    4    7    0
San Francisco           3    3    0    0

DODGERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Ochoa       ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Roby    ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Tena        lf ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
  b-Richey  pr ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Mokiao-Atim 2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Guarner ph ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Eggleston   1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Gerardy     rf ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Boyajya ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Manaia      c  ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Gilbert     cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Bender      3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Fitzgibbon  p  ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  e-Bertram pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  f-Lepchen ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  g-Swanson pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  h-Querrey pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Kromah      j  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  20   4   7   3   0   0   4   1   7   0   0  0.350
  2B: Tena (9), Manaia (13), Fitzgibbon (3).
  CS: Manaia (2).
  a-Walked for Ochoa in the 7th.
  b-Ran for Tena in the 7th.
  c-Batted for Mokiao-Atimalala in the 3rd.
  d-Struck out for Gerardy in the 6th.
  e-Ran for Fitzgibbon in the 3rd.
  f-Singled in the 6th.
  g-Ran for Roby in the 5th.
  h-Ran in the 6th.

GIANTS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Kelley      1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Cardozo     2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Matos   ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Braxton     lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Mantía  ph ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Leininger   rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Estrada     cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Reyes   ph ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Arbeloa     3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-McNeal  ph ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Connelly    c  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  e-Rosado  pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Short       ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  f-Figuero pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Guerrant    p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   1  0.000
  g-Gallowa ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  h-Fornaro ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.000
Sundling    j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Totals                  24   3   0   0   0   0   3   5  13   0   1  0.000
  HBP: Short (2).
  GIDP: Kelley (7).
  a-Batted for Cardozo in the 4th.
  b-Walked for Braxton in the 8th.
  c-Batted for Estrada in the 5th.
  d-Grounded out for Arbeloa in the 8th.
  e-Ran for Connelly in the 4th.
  f-Ran for Short in the 8th.
  g-Batted for Rosado in the 6th.
  h-Grounded out for Matos in the 9th.

DODGERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Fitzgibbon (W, 5-2) .    26   25  93%    0    1    1    4   12    0  103    -
Goss ................     2    1   4%    0    0    0    1    1    0   10  2-0
Heinrich ............     1    1   4%    0    2    2    0    0    0    1  3-2

GIANTS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Guerrant (L, 9-5) ...    17   13  48%    5    3    3    1    5    0   57    -
Moore ...............     4    3  11%    2    1    1    0    2    0   16  1-0

DODGERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Fitzgibbon (Outs 1-25) → Goss (Outs 26-26) → Heinrich (Outs 27-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Manaia (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Eggleston (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Mokiao-Atimalala (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Bender (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Ochoa (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Tena (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Gilbert (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Gerardy (Outs 1-27)

GIANTS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-16)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Guerrant (Outs 1-13) → Moore (Outs 14-16)
CATCHER (C)       | Connelly (Outs 1-16)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Kelley (Outs 1-16)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Cardozo (Outs 1-16)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Arbeloa (Outs 1-16)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Short (Outs 1-16)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Braxton (Outs 1-16)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Estrada (Outs 1-16)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Leininger (Outs 1-16)

  Batting order: Giants (home) batted first; Dodgers batted second.
  First pitch 8:10 PM PT. Weather: 71°F · Wind calm · Clear · Humid. seed 165258.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 22 Parker McNeal Jaume La Mantía (3B) 0–1
B 26 Tarni Fornaroli Jhonny Reyes (3B) 0–2
B 26 Tarni Fornaroli Parker McNeal (2B) 0–3
T 3 Hemi Manaia Tanner Gerardy (1B) 1–3
T 7 Paolo Tena Dylan Bertrams (2B) 2–3
T 12 Andy Lepchenko Tomm Kromah (2B) 3–3
T 16 Wyatt Guarnera Daylan Querrey (2B) 4–3
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Kolenda Field's actual outfield dimensions (LF 322' · CF 445' · RF 350' · 13' wall). Balanced.
Wire Basket
Dodgers — Batted Balls
12 BIP· 4 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
322' 445' 350' Ben Mokiao-Atimalala — line_out · EV 67 mph · LA +11° · 69 ft Tanner Gerardy — fielders_choice · EV 91 mph · LA +2° · 87 ft Hemi Manaia — double · EV 112 mph · LA +20° · 328 ft Marlon Fitzgibbon — double · EV 112 mph · LA +16° · 263 ft Wyatt Guarnera — ground_out · EV 86 mph · LA -8° · 81 ft Tomm Kromah — single · EV 85 mph · LA -13° · 81 ft Andy Lepchenko — single · EV 97 mph · LA -13° · 92 ft Welby Richey — single · EV 52 mph · LA -12° · 49 ft Paolo Tena — double · EV 102 mph · LA +16° · 217 ft Lenny Eggleston — ground_out · EV 66 mph · LA +2° · 63 ft Hemi Manaia — ground_out · EV 94 mph · LA -29° · 90 ft Wyatt Guarnera — single · EV 92 mph · LA +12° · 143 ft
Giants — Batted Balls
7 BIP· 0 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
322' 445' 350' Parker McNeal — fielders_choice · EV 61 mph · LA -13° · 58 ft Tarni Fornaroli — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +9° · 71 ft Stefan Braxton — ground_out · EV 56 mph · LA -13° · 53 ft Antolín Matos — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +31° · 204 ft Brad Galloway — fly_out · EV 79 mph · LA +30° · 215 ft Alafia Kelley — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA -14° · 49 ft Reuben Leininger — fielders_choice · EV 53 mph · LA -12° · 50 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Dodgers
81% deserve-to-win  ·  2.9 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  +1.1 vs expected
contact: 7.7 est bases + 1 walk/HBP  ·  actual batted 10.0 (+2.3 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Welby Richey 52 / -12° Center Single 0.1 → 1 +0.89
Paolo Tena 102 / +16° Oppo Double 1.2 → 2 +0.75
Tomm Kromah 85 / -13° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.66
Marlon Fitzgibbon 112 / +16° Pull Double 1.4 → 2 +0.56
Andy Lepchenko 97 / -13° Pull Single 0.4 → 1 +0.55
Giants
19% deserve-to-win  ·  1.4 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  +1.6 vs expected
contact: 1.2 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 0.0 (-1.2 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Tarni Fornaroli 76 / +9° Oppo Out 0.5 → 0 -0.48
Antolín Matos 76 / +31° Oppo Out 0.2 → 0 -0.16
Brad Galloway 79 / +30° Oppo Out 0.2 → 0 -0.16
Stefan Braxton 56 / -13° Center Out 0.1 → 0 -0.11
Alafia Kelley 52 / -14° Center Double Play 0.1 → 0 -0.11
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