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Orcas 4, Royals 2                                            2026-07-03 · #980
at Abdurakhmanov Park
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                        1    R    H    E
Kansas City             2    2    3    0
Vancouver               4    4    3    0

ROYALS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Vera        cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Tanguilig   lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Rosales     3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Ekic        1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Monson  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Savarino    rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Graham  ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Hsia        c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Gregory ph ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Selden      2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Devens  pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Farley      ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Sabella ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Simon       p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  f-Altamir pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  g-Bortolo pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  h-Fontes  ph ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  i-Inglis  pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Coates      j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Press       j  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Florenzo    j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  28   2   3   1   0   0   2   2  11   0   0  0.107
  2B: Fontes (14).
  SB: Devens (7), Altamirano (18), Inglis (3), Press (3).
  CS: Vera (3).
  a-Grounded out for Ekic in the 5th.
  b-Batted for Savarino in the 5th.
  c-Batted for Hsia in the 4th.
  d-Ran for Selden in the 3rd.
  e-Batted for Farley in the 3rd.
  f-Ran for Simon in the 3rd.
  g-Ran in the 4th.
  h-Doubled for Inglis in the 5th.
  i-Ran in the 6th.

ORCAS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Prince      lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Peavy       cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Valdivia    ss ......    1   2   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Balotelli   2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Granberry   1b ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Noonan      c  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Garcés      rf ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                   6   4   3   1   0   1   4   1   2   0   0  0.500
  2B: Garcés (5).
  HR: Valdivia (3), off Simon.


ROYALS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Simon (L, 4-5) ......     7    3  11%    3    4    3    1    2    1   22    -

ORCAS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Velez (W, 10-9) .....    30   27 100%    3    2    2    2   11    0  114    -

ROYALS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-3)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Simon (Outs 1-3)
CATCHER (C)       | Hsia (Outs 1-3)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Ekic (Outs 1-3)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Selden (Outs 1-3)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Rosales (Outs 1-3)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Farley (Outs 1-3)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Tanguilig (Outs 1-3)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Vera (Outs 1-3)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Savarino (Outs 1-3)

ORCAS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Velez (Outs 1-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Noonan (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Granberry (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Balotelli (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | —
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Valdivia (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Prince (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Peavy (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Garcés (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Orcas (home) batted second; Royals batted first.
  First pitch 5:45 PM PT. Weather: 85°F · Wind calm · Overcast · Humid. seed 122112.
  Walk-Back runs: off Simon 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 16 Chico Press Ramon Altamirano (3B) 1–0
T 26 Yamil Fontes Barry Bortolotti (1B) 2–0
B 0 Moisés Valdivia Moisés Valdivia (HR) 2–1
B 1 Karim Balotelli Moisés Valdivia (3B) 2–2
B 3 Tony Garcés Prakash Granberry (2B) 2–3
B 3 Tony Garcés Herb Noonan (1B) 2–4
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Abdurakhmanov Park's actual outfield dimensions (LF 282' · CF 485' · RF 283' · 12' wall). Bathtub.
Tal's Hill
Royals — Batted Balls
14 BIP· 2 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
282' 485' 283' Chris Selden — fielders_choice · EV 65 mph · LA +7° · 62 ft Efraín Sabella — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA +10° · 80 ft George Graham — line_out · EV 84 mph · LA +12° · 112 ft Kael Monson — fielders_choice · EV 83 mph · LA -16° · 79 ft Chico Press — single · EV 90 mph · LA -5° · 86 ft Ramon Altamirano — ground_out · EV 74 mph · LA -4° · 71 ft Patrik Florenzo — ground_out · EV 91 mph · LA +13° · 147 ft Yamil Fontes — double · EV 100 mph · LA +21° · 265 ft Luis Rosales — line_out · EV 81 mph · LA +10° · 93 ft Efraín Sabella — line_out · EV 93 mph · LA +14° · 163 ft Beau Devens — fly_out · EV 95 mph · LA +33° · 326 ft Thomas Gregory — single · EV 96 mph · LA -2° · 91 ft George Graham — fly_out · EV 114 mph · LA +23° · 366 ft Luis Rosales — ground_out · EV 87 mph · LA +3° · 83 ft
Orcas — Batted Balls
4 BIP· 1 1B · 1 XBH · 1 HR
282' 485' 283' Moisés Valdivia — hr · EV 106 mph · LA +47° · 453 ft Karim Balotelli — fly_out · EV 96 mph · LA +50° · 361 ft Prakash Granberry — single · EV 95 mph · LA +20° · 230 ft Tony Garcés — double · EV 88 mph · LA +46° · 306 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Royals
84% deserve-to-win  ·  5.7 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  -3.7 vs expected
contact: 9.3 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 4.0 (-5.3 on contact)
running: 4 SB · 1 CS (+1.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
George Graham 114 / +23° Center Out 1.7 → 0 -1.71
Beau Devens 95 / +33° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.92
Efraín Sabella 93 / +14° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.83
Patrik Florenzo 91 / +13° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.83
Chico Press 90 / -5° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.61
Orcas
16% deserve-to-win  ·  2.5 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  +1.5 vs expected
contact: 5.5 est bases + 1 walk/HBP  ·  actual batted 7.0 (+1.5 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Tony Garcés 88 / +46° Pull Double 0.7 → 2 +1.32
Moisés Valdivia 106 / +47° Pull Home Run 3.3 → 4 +0.70
Karim Balotelli 96 / +50° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.61
Prakash Granberry 95 / +20° Center Single 0.9 → 1 +0.10
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