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Canaries 22, Red Sox 20  (2 SI)                              2026-07-03 · #982
at New Jersey Yards
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                        1      S    R    H    E
Boston                 20      0   20   16    0
New Jersey             20      2   22   17    0

RED SOX
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Suazo       2b ......    5   2   2   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.400
Merrill     lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Núñez       1b ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
  a-Bektas  pr ......    3   4   2   1   0   1   6   0   0   0   0  0.667
Falby       ss ......    4   3   2   1   0   0   1   2   2   0   0  0.500
Cameron     rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Venegas ph ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Saravia     3b ......    5   2   1   0   0   1   2   0   1   0   0  0.200
Hack        c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Kamara  ph ......    4   1   2   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Cordano     cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Pezzell ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Martín      p  ......    1   0   1   0   1   0   3   0   0   0   0  1.000
  e-Rowley  ph ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0  0.000
  f-Pope    pr ......    3   3   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
  g-Echever pr ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
  h-Norton  ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  i-Hodges  pr ......    2   2   1   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.500
Totals                  41  20  16   4   1   3  19   9  11   0   0  0.390
  2B: Falby (14), Echeverría (2), Venegas (14), Bektas (1).
  3B: Martín (1).
  HR: Saravia (2), off Tesfaye; Pope (1), off Estrada; Bektas (1), off Estrada.
  CS: Rowley (1), Pope (1).
  a-Ran for Núñez in the 6th.
  b-Doubled for Cameron in the 6th.
  c-Batted for Hack in the 2nd.
  d-Singled for Cordano in the 2nd.
  e-Batted for Martín in the 2nd.
  f-Ran for Pezzella in the 2nd.
  g-Ran for Venegas in the 6th.
  h-Walked in the 6th.
  i-Ran for Norton in the 6th.

CANARIES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Kerr        rf ......    4   3   2   1   0   1   3   1   0   0   0  0.500
Braun       3b ......    2   2   1   0   1   0   2   3   0   0   1  0.500
Brickhandle 1b ......    4   4   3   0   0   1   2   2   0   0   0  0.750
Kramer      2b ......    1   3   1   0   0   1   3   2   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Hollenb pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Campos      ss ......    6   4   3   0   0   2   4   0   0   0   0  0.500
Ali         lf ......    3   0   3   0   0   0   4   1   0   0   0  1.000
Israel      p  ......    2   2   2   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   4  1.000
Fishbach    cf ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   3   1   0   0  0.000
Barron      c  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
  b-Hlavack pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
  c-Cordero ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Lacava  pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  33  22  17   2   1   5  22  13   4   0   5  0.515
  2B: Kerr (16), Israel (1).
  3B: Braun (3).
  HR: Kerr (16), off Hardy; Brickhandler (14), off Martín; Kramer (10), off Barnhill; Campos 2 (6), off Martín, Johnson.
  SB: Braun (7), Brickhandler 3 (17), Hollenbeck (6).
  CS: Campos (1), Ali 3 (12), Fishbach (3), Hollenbeck (3).
  HBP: Hollenbeck (5).
  a-Ran for Kramer in the 5th.
  b-Ran for Cordero in the 4th.
  c-Singled in the 4th.
  d-Ran in the 8th.

RED SOX PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Martín (L, 4-8) .....    17   10  37%    5    7    6    5    1    2   66    -
Barnhill ............     6    4  15%    2    5    5    3    0    1   28  1-1
Hardy ...............     8    5  19%    5    4    3    0    1    1   25  1-1
Johnson .............     6    4  15%    2    3    2    2    1    1   17  1-0
Annacone ............     5    4  15%    1    2    2    2    1    0   13  1-0
Schellenger .........     5    5  19%    2    1    1    1    0    0   16  1-1

CANARIES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Israel (W, 3-8) .....    31   23  85%    8    6    6    7    9    0  118    -
Estrada .............    11    6  22%    5    8    6    2    1    2   41  3-2
Tesfaye .............     7    4  15%    3    6    5    0    1    1   19  2-2

RED SOX DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-32)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Martín (Outs 1-10) → Barnhill (Outs 11-14) → Hardy (Outs 15-19) → Johnson (Outs 20-23) → Annacone (Outs 24-27) → Schellenger (Outs 28-32)
CATCHER (C)       | Hack (Outs 1-32)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Núñez (Outs 1-32)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Suazo (Outs 1-32)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Saravia (Outs 1-32)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Falby (Outs 1-32)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Merrill (Outs 1-32)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Cordano (Outs 1-32)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Cameron (Outs 1-32)

CANARIES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-33)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Israel (Outs 1-23) → Estrada (Outs 24-29) → Tesfaye (Outs 30-33)
CATCHER (C)       | Barron (Outs 1-33)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Brickhandler (Outs 1-33)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Kramer (Outs 1-33)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Braun (Outs 1-33)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Campos (Outs 1-33)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Ali (Outs 1-33)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Fishbach (Outs 1-33)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Kerr (Outs 1-33)

  Batting order: Canaries (home) batted second; Red Sox batted first.
  Super-innings: 2.
  First pitch 6:00 PM ET. Weather: 91°F · Wind calm · Clear · Light rain. seed 833869.
  Powerplays: Canaries — Cordero NF
  Walk-Back runs: off Martín 1, off Hardy 1, off Johnson 1, off Estrada 2, off Tesfaye 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 5 Hector Martín Manuel Suazo (3B) 1–0
T 5 Hector Martín Walter Núñez (2B) 2–0
T 5 Hector Martín Jide Falby (1B) 3–0
T 5 Teófilo Pezzella Ferdi Pope (3B) 4–0
T 17 Kervin Venegas Craig Kamara (2B) 5–0
T 17 Michail Norton Denis Echeverría (3B) 6–0
T 19 Jacob Hodges Jide Falby (3B) 7–0
T 19 Phillip Bektas Jacob Hodges (2B) 8–0
T 19 Phillip Bektas Jacob Hodges (2B) 9–0
T 19 Phillip Bektas Phillip Bektas (3B) 10–0
T 19 Phillip Bektas Phillip Bektas (—) 11–0
T 20 Denis Echeverría Phillip Bektas (3B) 12–0
T 23 Ferdi Pope Ferdi Pope (HR) 13–0
T 23 Manuel Suazo Ferdi Pope (3B) 14–0
T 24 Phillip Bektas Raymond Rowley (2B) 15–0
T 24 Phillip Bektas Manuel Suazo (1B) 16–0
T 24 Jide Falby Phillip Bektas (2B) 17–0
T 25 Diego Saravia Jide Falby (2B) 18–0
T 25 Diego Saravia Diego Saravia (HR) 19–0
T 25 Craig Kamara Diego Saravia (3B) 20–0
B 0 Jerome Kerr Andrea Kramer (1B) 20–1
B 1 Hugo Campos Jerome Kerr (3B) 20–2
B 1 Hugo Campos Hugo Campos (HR) 20–3
B 1 Raziel Israel Hugo Campos (3B) 20–4
B 5 Brandon Barron Gianluca Braun (2B) 20–5
B 7 Rodmond Ali Brandon Barron (3B) 20–6
B 7 Rodmond Ali Deylin Fishbach (2B) 20–7
B 9 Andrea Kramer Jam Brickhandler (2B) 20–8
B 9 Andrea Kramer Jerome Kerr (1B) 20–9
B 9 Andrea Kramer Andrea Kramer (HR) 20–10
B 9 Grant Cordero Andrea Kramer (3B) 20–11
B 12 Rodmond Ali Raziel Israel (2B) 20–12
B 14 Jerome Kerr Jam Brickhandler (1B) 20–13
B 14 Jerome Kerr Jerome Kerr (HR) 20–14
B 18 Hugo Campos Jam Brickhandler (3B) 20–15
B 18 Hugo Campos Hugo Campos (HR) 20–16
B 18 Rodmond Ali Hugo Campos (3B) 20–17
B 22 Gianluca Braun Roberto Lacava (2B) 20–18
B 22 Gianluca Braun Jared Hlavacka (1B) 20–19
B 22 Raziel Israel Gianluca Braun (3B) 20–20
SB 32 Jam Brickhandler Raziel Israel (2B) 20–21
SB 32 Jam Brickhandler Jam Brickhandler (HR) 20–22
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to New Jersey Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 341' · CF 403' · RF 324' · 40' wall). Balanced.
Red Sox — Batted Balls
28 BIP· 8 1B · 5 XBH · 3 HR
341' 403' 324' Wall 40' Manuel Suazo — single · EV 100 mph · LA +20° · 261 ft Walter Núñez — single · EV 97 mph · LA -6° · 93 ft Eliot Hack — line_out · EV 64 mph · LA +8° · 61 ft Vinicius Cordano — line_out · EV 100 mph · LA +13° · 178 ft Hector Martín — triple · EV 108 mph · LA +15° · 230 ft Teófilo Pezzella — single · EV 111 mph · LA +8° · 141 ft Ferdi Pope — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA -1° · 95 ft Kervin Venegas — double · EV 111 mph · LA +18° · 290 ft Phillip Bektas — hr · EV 106 mph · LA +33° · 410 ft Denis Echeverría — double · EV 97 mph · LA +12° · 150 ft Diego Saravia — fly_out · EV 80 mph · LA +31° · 228 ft Walter Núñez — ground_out · EV 98 mph · LA +14° · 187 ft Craig Kamara — single · EV 100 mph · LA +15° · 205 ft Manuel Suazo — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +1° · 87 ft Ferdi Pope — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +34° · 480 ft Phillip Bektas — double · EV 100 mph · LA +12° · 164 ft Denis Echeverría — fly_out · EV 86 mph · LA +29° · 251 ft Raymond Rowley — line_out · EV 84 mph · LA +16° · 154 ft Jacob Hodges — single · EV 97 mph · LA -17° · 92 ft Craig Kamara — single · EV 100 mph · LA +15° · 200 ft Jide Falby — double · EV 109 mph · LA +11° · 182 ft Ferdi Pope — fielders_choice · EV 86 mph · LA +7° · 82 ft Phillip Bektas — ground_out · EV 59 mph · LA -10° · 56 ft Diego Saravia — ground_out · EV 97 mph · LA +33° · 345 ft Manuel Suazo — single · EV 89 mph · LA -5° · 85 ft Craig Kamara — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA +4° · 84 ft Jide Falby — single · EV 76 mph · LA +24° · 171 ft Diego Saravia — hr · EV 100 mph · LA +49° · 395 ft
Canaries — Batted Balls
23 BIP· 9 1B · 3 XBH · 5 HR
341' 403' 324' Wall 40' Jerome Kerr — double · EV 119 mph · LA +26° · 445 ft Jam Brickhandler — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +30° · 349 ft Hugo Campos — hr · EV 114 mph · LA +44° · 480 ft Rodmond Ali — single · EV 100 mph · LA +14° · 187 ft Andrea Kramer — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +40° · 480 ft Grant Cordero — single · EV 119 mph · LA +19° · 344 ft Gianluca Braun — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA -0° · 95 ft Raziel Israel — double · EV 88 mph · LA +26° · 243 ft Roberto Lacava — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA -4° · 80 ft Brandon Barron — single · EV 88 mph · LA +15° · 157 ft Rodmond Ali — single · EV 100 mph · LA +25° · 306 ft Jam Brickhandler — single · EV 100 mph · LA +31° · 353 ft Jerome Kerr — hr · EV 100 mph · LA +40° · 394 ft Gianluca Braun — triple · EV 98 mph · LA +24° · 283 ft Raziel Israel — single · EV 104 mph · LA +9° · 138 ft Roberto Lacava — ground_out · EV 69 mph · LA +15° · 93 ft Jerome Kerr — fly_out · EV 119 mph · LA +22° · 392 ft Rodmond Ali — single · EV 100 mph · LA +35° · 375 ft Jam Brickhandler — single · EV 100 mph · LA +14° · 193 ft Deylin Fishbach — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -23° · 49 ft Hugo Campos — hr · EV 109 mph · LA +38° · 458 ft Jam Brickhandler — hr · EV 113 mph · LA +34° · 475 ft Hugo Campos — single · EV 119 mph · LA +10° · 192 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Red Sox
38% deserve-to-win  ·  18.0 expected runs
actual 20 runs  ·  +2.0 vs expected
contact: 28.4 est bases + 9 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 31.0 (+2.6 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 2 CS (-1.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Diego Saravia 100 / +49° Center Home Run 0.6 → 4 +3.39
Hector Martín 108 / +15° Pull Triple 1.4 → 3 +1.56
Diego Saravia 97 / +33° Pull Out 1.4 → 0 -1.43
Vinicius Cordano 100 / +13° Pull Out 1.2 → 0 -1.25
Walter Núñez 98 / +14° Pull Out 1.1 → 0 -1.11
Canaries
62% deserve-to-win  ·  23.0 expected runs
actual 22 runs  ·  -1.0 vs expected
contact: 37.8 est bases + 12 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 36.0 (-1.8 on contact)
running: 4 SB · 5 CS (-1.5 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Jerome Kerr 100 / +40° Center Home Run 2.0 → 4 +2.05
Gianluca Braun 98 / +24° Oppo Triple 1.1 → 3 +1.92
Jerome Kerr 119 / +22° Center Out 1.7 → 0 -1.71
Jam Brickhandler 100 / +30° Center Out 1.3 → 0 -1.34
Raziel Israel 88 / +26° Pull Double 0.7 → 2 +1.26
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