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Orioles 9, Astros 6                                          2026-07-03 · #984
at Meadow Stadium
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                        1    R    H    E
Baltimore               9    9    8    0
Houston                 6    6    8    3

ORIOLES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Abajian     3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Foust       ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Samudio     rf ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.000
Ison        2b ......    4   0   3   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.750
Flowers     cf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
  a-López   pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Kagame      c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Kautz   ph ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Alison      1b ......    4   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.250
Roy         p  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Maloney     lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Barba   pr ......    1   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Michulk pr ......    2   2   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.500
  e-Purchas ph ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  f-Visser  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Adams       j  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.500
Thompson    j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  32   9   8   2   0   0   9   6   8   0   0  0.250
  2B: Ison (8), Alison (7).
  SB: Adams (4).
  HBP: Barba (1).
  GIDP: Flowers (6).
  a-Ran for Flowers in the 4th.
  b-Batted for Kagame in the 5th.
  c-Ran for Maloney in the 3rd.
  d-Ran in the 3rd.
  e-Batted for López in the 6th.
  f-Grounded out for Barba in the 7th.

ASTROS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Neely       ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Arboled ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Maier       cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Patridge    rf ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Kingsbury   lf ......    3   1   2   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.667
  b-Farrow  pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Rivas       3b ......    3   1   3   2   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Henríqu pr ......    1   2   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Thom        2b ......    4   0   2   1   0   0   2   0   2   0   0  0.500
Daniels     1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Morales ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Wiesner     c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Edmonso pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Faber       p  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  f-Konig   pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  g-Gómez   pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  h-Humphre pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Oliveira    j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  28   6   8   4   0   0   6   6  12   0   0  0.286
  2B: Rivas 2 (10), Thom (9), Henríquez (4).
  CS: Konig (2), Gómez (8), Edmonson (4).
  E: Arboleda (2), Oliveira 2 (7).
  a-Grounded out for Neely in the 4th.
  b-Ran for Kingsbury in the 6th.
  c-Ran for Rivas in the 6th.
  d-Walked for Daniels in the 4th.
  e-Ran for Wiesner in the 4th.
  f-Ran in the 5th.
  g-Ran for Arboleda in the 7th.
  h-Ran for Morales in the 4th.

ORIOLES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Roy (W, 10-5) .......    24   19  70%    6    4    4    3   10    0   95    -
Luqueño (F, 26) .....    10    8  30%    2    2    2    3    2    0   37  1-0

ASTROS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Faber ...............    11    7  26%    2    2    2    2    2    0   50    -
Vildoza (L, 2-3) ....     4    1   4%    2    3    3    1    1    0   17  2-2
Romero ..............    13   10  37%    2    2    1    1    2    0   44  2-1
Reliford ............    11    9  33%    2    2    2    2    3    0   46  2-2

ORIOLES DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Roy (Outs 1-19) → Luqueño (Outs 20-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Kagame (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Alison (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Ison (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Abajian (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Foust (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Maloney (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Flowers (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Samudio (Outs 1-27)

ASTROS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Faber (Outs 1-7) → Vildoza (Outs 8-8) → Romero (Outs 9-18) → Reliford (Outs 19-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Wiesner (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Daniels (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Thom (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Rivas (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Neely (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Kingsbury (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Maier (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Patridge (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Astros (home) batted second; Orioles batted first.
  First pitch 6:00 PM CT. Weather: 94°F · Wind calm · Clear. seed 197087.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 7 Jason Adams Geoff Michulka (3B) 1–0
T 7 Jason Adams Ulises Barba (2B) 2–0
T 7 Kristian Alison Ulises Barba (3B) 3–0
T 7 Kristian Alison Jason Adams (2B) 4–0
T 8 Korey Flowers Geoff Michulka (3B) 5–0
T 8 Dyllan Ison Kristian Alison (3B) 6–0
T 18 Rónald Samudio Edson López (3B) 7–0
T 19 Destyn Thompson Dylan Purchase (3B) 8–0
T 25 Dyllan Ison Rónald Samudio (3B) 9–0
B 0 Scoville Rivas Marcos Kingsbury (1B) 9–1
B 14 Scoville Rivas Cedrick Konig (1B) 9–2
B 15 Marcos Kingsbury Scoville Rivas (2B) 9–3
B 19 Iapani Thom Angel Henríquez (2B) 9–4
B 24 Angel Henríquez Everett Farrow (1B) 9–5
B 25 Iapani Thom Angel Henríquez (2B) 9–6
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Meadow Stadium's actual outfield dimensions (LF 374' · CF 430' · RF 367' · 8' wall). The Hourglass.
Hand-Operated Scoreboard Ivy Wall
Orioles — Batted Balls
19 BIP· 6 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
374' 430' 367' Dyllan Ison — single · EV 64 mph · LA -4° · 61 ft Korey Flowers — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +5° · 72 ft Alan Maloney — error · EV 64 mph · LA +9° · 60 ft Jason Adams — single · EV 76 mph · LA +14° · 111 ft Ulises Barba — error · EV 76 mph · LA -6° · 72 ft Geoff Michulka — single · EV 92 mph · LA -4° · 87 ft Rill Kautz — line_out · EV 58 mph · LA +19° · 80 ft Rick Visser — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +10° · 79 ft Dylan Purchase — line_out · EV 53 mph · LA +14° · 60 ft Kristian Alison — double · EV 92 mph · LA +19° · 212 ft Korey Flowers — single · EV 76 mph · LA +8° · 68 ft Dyllan Ison — infield_single · EV 66 mph · LA +6° · 62 ft Rónald Samudio — error · EV 76 mph · LA +20° · 146 ft Rill Kautz — single · EV 79 mph · LA +5° · 75 ft Kristian Alison — fly_out · EV 94 mph · LA +42° · 348 ft Dyllan Ison — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +9° · 71 ft Sidney Foust — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -12° · 72 ft Kristian Alison — line_out · EV 82 mph · LA +18° · 158 ft Dyllan Ison — double · EV 92 mph · LA +21° · 229 ft
Astros — Batted Balls
14 BIP· 4 1B · 4 XBH · 0 HR
374' 430' 367' Marcos Kingsbury — single · EV 88 mph · LA -4° · 84 ft Scoville Rivas — double · EV 97 mph · LA +14° · 177 ft Shawn Daniels — ground_out · EV 72 mph · LA +21° · 137 ft Rhys Faber — fly_out · EV 89 mph · LA +29° · 266 ft Yasniel Arboleda — fielders_choice · EV 100 mph · LA +4° · 95 ft Cedrick Konig — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -14° · 72 ft Mayer Gómez — ground_out · EV 85 mph · LA +19° · 177 ft Angel Henríquez — double · EV 98 mph · LA +38° · 368 ft Scoville Rivas — double · EV 94 mph · LA +33° · 324 ft Marcos Kingsbury — single · EV 100 mph · LA -2° · 95 ft Scoville Rivas — single · EV 88 mph · LA -16° · 84 ft Iapani Thom — double · EV 99 mph · LA +20° · 251 ft Rhys Faber — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA -14° · 73 ft Iapani Thom — single · EV 94 mph · LA +26° · 281 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Orioles
72% deserve-to-win  ·  7.4 expected runs
actual 9 runs  ·  +1.6 vs expected
contact: 8.7 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 10.0 (+1.3 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.5 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Kristian Alison 94 / +42° Center Out 1.1 → 0 -1.12
Kristian Alison 92 / +19° Pull Double 0.9 → 2 +1.10
Dyllan Ison 92 / +21° Pull Double 0.9 → 2 +1.10
Dyllan Ison 64 / -4° Center Single 0.1 → 1 +0.89
Dyllan Ison 66 / +6° Pull Single 0.1 → 1 +0.89
Astros
28% deserve-to-win  ·  4.6 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  +1.4 vs expected
contact: 9.5 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 12.0 (+2.5 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 3 CS (-2.1 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Scoville Rivas 94 / +33° Oppo Double 0.9 → 2 +1.08
Scoville Rivas 97 / +14° Oppo Double 1.1 → 2 +0.89
Iapani Thom 99 / +20° Pull Double 1.2 → 2 +0.76
Rhys Faber 89 / +29° Center Out 0.7 → 0 -0.74
Scoville Rivas 88 / -16° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.66
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