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Brewers 7, Tigers 5                                          2026-07-03 · #985
at Bussaglia Grounds
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                        1    R    H    E
Detroit                 5    5    8    0
Milwaukee               7    7   10    0

TIGERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Delatte     ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  a-McMicha pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Whoriskey   2b ......    4   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Peavy       lf ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.333
Zheng       3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Cotzuma pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Marion      cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Acebo   pr ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Ndiaye      c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Albright    1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  d-Takuma  ph ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Sears       rf ......    3   0   2   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.667
Ali         p  ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
  e-Monroe  pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  f-Lutmer  ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  g-Verón   pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  h-Grimald ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Soldan      j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Kuhler      j  ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  28   5   8   4   0   0   5   4   7   0   0  0.286
  2B: Peavy (9), Sears (6), Ali (2), Kuhler (4).
  CS: Monroe (5), Sears (4), Acebo (9), Cotzumalguapa (6).
  HBP: Marion (3).
  a-Ran for Delatte in the 6th.
  b-Ran for Zheng in the 5th.
  c-Ran for Marion in the 5th.
  d-Singled for Albright in the 7th.
  e-Ran for Ali in the 6th.
  f-Walked for McMichael in the 8th.
  g-Ran for Lutmer in the 8th.
  h-Grounded out for Kuhler in the 9th.

BREWERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Irving      lf ......    3   2   3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Edwards     3b ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Kaplan      ss ......    3   1   2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.667
Williams    1b ......    3   1   1   0   0   1   3   0   1   0   0  0.333
Prather     2b ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Kollen      p  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Gentry      cf ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Bangoura    rf ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Yani        c  ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.250
Nava        j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Ayers       j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  31   7  10   1   0   1   6   2   6   0   0  0.323
  2B: Kaplan (3).
  HR: Williams (5), off Ali.
  GIDP: Prather (6).


TIGERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Ali (L, 4-6) ........    14   10  37%    3    5    5    2    3    1   54    -
Malin ...............    16   13  48%    6    2    2    0    3    0   63    -
Kobak ...............     4    4  15%    1    0    0    0    1    0   14  1-0

BREWERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Kollen (W, 13-1) ....    33   27 100%    8    5    5    4    7    0  122    -

TIGERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Ali (Outs 1-10) → Malin (Outs 11-23) → Kobak (Outs 24-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Ndiaye (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Albright (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Whoriskey (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Zheng (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Delatte (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Peavy (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Marion (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Sears (Outs 1-27)

BREWERS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITCHER (P)       | Kollen (Outs 1-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Yani (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Williams (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Prather (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Edwards (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Kaplan (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Irving (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Gentry (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Bangoura (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Brewers (home) batted first; Tigers batted second.
  First pitch 6:00 PM CT. Weather: 90°F · Wind calm · Overcast · Light rain · Dry. seed 929455.
  Powerplays: Tigers — McMichael NF (O24), Lutmer NF
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 1 Jesse Williams Clifford Irving (2B) 0–1
B 1 Jesse Williams Daniel Edwards (1B) 0–2
B 1 Jesse Williams Jesse Williams (HR) 0–3
B 5 Graydon Yani Johan Bangoura (2B) 0–4
B 9 Cannon Prather Graydon Yani (3B) 0–5
B 11 Daniel Edwards Steven Kaplan (3B) 0–6
B 15 Robby Kollen Clifford Irving (3B) 0–7
T 17 Turner Ali Barry McMichael (1B) 1–7
T 20 Raymond Acebo Kentaro Takuma (2B) 2–7
T 22 Ed Peavy Yimmi Cotzumalguapa (2B) 3–7
T 24 Kenyatta Soldan Youstin Verón (2B) 4–7
T 26 Kevin Kuhler Thai-Son Whoriskey (1B) 5–7
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Bussaglia Grounds's actual outfield dimensions (LF 344' · CF 415' · RF 304' · 12' wall). Short Porch (Right).
Tigers — Batted Balls
20 BIP· 4 1B · 4 XBH · 0 HR
344' 415' 304' Aleksandar Delatte — fielders_choice · EV 100 mph · LA -23° · 95 ft Thai-Son Whoriskey — ground_out · EV 97 mph · LA -15° · 92 ft Karl Marion — ground_out · EV 87 mph · LA -19° · 82 ft Kentaro Takuma — single · EV 88 mph · LA +1° · 84 ft Raymond Acebo — single · EV 88 mph · LA -22° · 84 ft Youstin Verón — ground_out · EV 90 mph · LA -15° · 86 ft Kenyatta Soldan — single · EV 100 mph · LA +1° · 95 ft Kevin Kuhler — double · EV 100 mph · LA +22° · 276 ft Jon Grimaldo — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -14° · 84 ft Turner Ali — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA +0° · 74 ft Ricki Sears — double · EV 100 mph · LA +13° · 173 ft Gardnar Ndiaye — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -15° · 84 ft Zixuan Zheng — error · EV 78 mph · LA +4° · 75 ft Thai-Son Whoriskey — ground_out · EV 65 mph · LA -15° · 62 ft Ed Peavy — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -1° · 84 ft Turner Ali — double · EV 119 mph · LA +15° · 283 ft Ricki Sears — single · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 93 ft Thai-Son Whoriskey — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA -2° · 95 ft Ed Peavy — double · EV 100 mph · LA +18° · 234 ft Thai-Son Whoriskey — fielders_choice · EV 72 mph · LA -1° · 68 ft
Brewers — Batted Balls
19 BIP· 8 1B · 1 XBH · 1 HR
344' 415' 304' Clifford Irving — single · EV 98 mph · LA +11° · 149 ft Jesse Williams — hr · EV 98 mph · LA +34° · 358 ft Cannon Prather — ground_out · EV 74 mph · LA +4° · 70 ft Graydon Yani — single · EV 79 mph · LA +13° · 109 ft Johan Bangoura — ground_out · EV 74 mph · LA -12° · 70 ft Daniel Edwards — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +10° · 118 ft Percy Nava — single · EV 80 mph · LA +1° · 76 ft Terry Ayers — single · EV 79 mph · LA +2° · 75 ft Noel Gentry — ground_out · EV 93 mph · LA +8° · 100 ft Cannon Prather — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +0° · 72 ft Jesse Williams — ground_out · EV 98 mph · LA +6° · 93 ft Steven Kaplan — double · EV 89 mph · LA +13° · 142 ft Clifford Irving — single · EV 105 mph · LA +22° · 312 ft Robby Kollen — single · EV 100 mph · LA +9° · 122 ft Daniel Edwards — ground_out · EV 61 mph · LA -5° · 58 ft Cannon Prather — double_play · EV 70 mph · LA +6° · 67 ft Steven Kaplan — single · EV 84 mph · LA +7° · 79 ft Clifford Irving — single · EV 61 mph · LA +16° · 80 ft Robby Kollen — fly_out · EV 68 mph · LA +45° · 187 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Tigers
51% deserve-to-win  ·  5.4 expected runs
actual 5 runs  ·  -0.4 vs expected
contact: 11.5 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 12.0 (+0.5 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 4 CS (-2.8 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Ricki Sears 100 / +13° Pull Double 1.2 → 2 +0.75
Raymond Acebo 88 / -22° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.61
Kentaro Takuma 88 / +1° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.58
Ed Peavy 100 / +18° Center Double 1.4 → 2 +0.58
Kevin Kuhler 100 / +22° Pull Double 1.4 → 2 +0.58
Brewers
49% deserve-to-win  ·  5.4 expected runs
actual 7 runs  ·  +1.6 vs expected
contact: 11.3 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 14.0 (+2.7 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Jesse Williams 98 / +34° Pull Home Run 1.4 → 4 +2.57
Steven Kaplan 89 / +13° Pull Double 0.8 → 2 +1.17
Noel Gentry 93 / +8° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.83
Daniel Edwards 92 / +10° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.83
Percy Nava 80 / +1° Oppo Single 0.3 → 1 +0.74
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