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Orcas 11, Guardians 7                                        2026-07-04 · #996
at Cleveland Coliseum
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Vancouver              11      -   11    8    0
Cleveland               7      0    7   13    0

ORCAS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Badger      3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Valdivia    ss ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Peavy       cf ......    4   2   1   0   0   1   2   0   2   0   0  0.250
Godín       c  ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.000
Alonso-Corc rf ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.333
Balotelli   2b ......    4   1   2   0   1   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Quintero    lf ......    2   3   1   1   0   0   2   2   1   0   0  0.500
Granberry   1b ......    4   1   1   0   1   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.250
Waidner     p  ......    4   2   2   1   0   1   3   0   1   0   0  0.500
  a-Garcés  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  32  11   8   2   2   2  11   4  10   0   0  0.250
  2B: Quintero (2), Waidner (2).
  3B: Balotelli (1), Granberry (1).
  HR: Peavy (2), off Ricard; Waidner (2), off Robles.
  SB: Godín (6), Quintero 3 (7).
  a-Struck out in the 6th.

GUARDIANS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Granberry   2b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
  a-Druz    pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Hutson      3b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.333
Brymer      cf ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Bannatyne   ss ......    3   3   4   1   0   0   1   1   0   1   0  1.333
Navarro     rf ......    4   0   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Solórzano   1b ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.250
Batt        lf ......    3   2   1   0   0   1   2   1   2   0   0  0.333
Feitshans   c  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Ricard      p  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   1   2   0   0  0.333
Velez       c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Gonzále ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  30   7  13   2   0   1   6   4  10   1   0  0.433
  2B: Brymer (3), Bannatyne (2).
  HR: Batt (1), off Ormeño.
  SB: Hutson 2 (10), Bannatyne (2), Solórzano (1).
  GIDP: Hutson (3).
  a-Ran for Granberry in the 6th.
  b-Grounded out in the 5th.

ORCAS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Waidner (W, 3-3) ....    14   13  48%    3    1    1    1    7    0   56    -
Ormeño ..............    13    8  30%    6    5    4    2    2    1   40    -
Bolaños (F, 6) ......     7    6  22%    3    1    1    1    2    0   32  2-1

GUARDIANS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Ricard (L, 9-8) .....    12    6  22%    4    6    6    2    1    1   39    -
Harthan .............    13   11  41%    2    3    2    2    3    0   54  1-1
Robles ..............     9   10  37%    1    2    2    0    6    1   39  1-1

ORCAS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Waidner (Outs 1-13) → Ormeño (Outs 14-21) → Bolaños (Outs 22-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Godín (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Granberry (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Balotelli (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Badger (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Valdivia (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Quintero (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Peavy (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Alonso-Corcelles (Outs 1-27)

GUARDIANS DEFENSIVE LOG (OUTS 1-27)
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POSITION          | FIELD COVERAGE BY OUT-ENVELOPE
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PITCHER (P)       | Ricard (Outs 1-6) → Harthan (Outs 7-17) → Robles (Outs 18-27)
CATCHER (C)       | Velez (Outs 1-27)
FIRST BASE (1B)   | Solórzano (Outs 1-27)
SECOND BASE (2B)  | Granberry (Outs 1-27)
THIRD BASE (3B)   | Hutson (Outs 1-27)
SHORTSTOP (SS)    | Bannatyne (Outs 1-27)
LEFT FIELD (LF)   | Batt (Outs 1-27)
CENTER FIELD (CF) | Brymer (Outs 1-27)
RIGHT FIELD (RF)  | Navarro (Outs 1-27)

  Batting order: Guardians (home) batted second; Orcas batted first.
  Seconds: CLE o26 (7-11).
  First pitch 6:30 PM ET. Weather: 96°F · Wind calm · Clear. seed 926949.
  Walk-Back runs: off Ormeño 1, off Harthan 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 4 Karim Balotelli Kreigh Alonso-Corcelles (1B) 1–0
T 4 Prakash Granberry Karim Balotelli (3B) 2–0
T 4 Prakash Granberry Jonás Quintero (1B) 3–0
T 4 Dwight Waidner Prakash Granberry (3B) 4–0
T 6 Andrea Peavy Dwight Waidner (2B) 5–0
T 6 Andrea Peavy Andrea Peavy (HR) 6–0
T 6 Omar Godín Andrea Peavy (3B) 7–0
T 16 Jonás Quintero Omar Godín (2B) 8–0
T 16 Jonás Quintero Jonás Quintero (3B) 9–0
T 17 Dwight Waidner Jonás Quintero (3B) 10–0
T 17 Dwight Waidner Dwight Waidner (HR) 11–0
B 4 Oren Hutson Doug Bannatyne (2B) 11–1
B 16 Kemari Granberry Doug Bannatyne (2B) 11–2
B 17 Doug Bannatyne Hubert Druz (2B) 11–3
B 19 Chet Batt Doug Bannatyne (2B) 11–4
B 19 Chet Batt Chet Batt (HR) 11–5
B 20 Lawson Ricard Chet Batt (3B) 11–6
B 21 Eddie Velez Oren Hutson (3B) 11–7
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Cleveland Coliseum's actual outfield dimensions (LF 315' · CF 410' · RF 349' · 9' wall). Balanced.
Flag Pole in Play
Orcas — Batted Balls
16 BIP· 1 1B · 4 XBH · 2 HR
315' 410' 349' Louis Badger — ground_out · EV 118 mph · LA +15° · 279 ft Moisés Valdivia — line_out · EV 84 mph · LA +24° · 213 ft Omar Godín — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA -6° · 80 ft Karim Balotelli — triple · EV 117 mph · LA +21° · 364 ft Prakash Granberry — triple · EV 100 mph · LA +22° · 281 ft Dwight Waidner — double · EV 88 mph · LA +27° · 249 ft Jonás Quintero — double · EV 113 mph · LA +20° · 331 ft Moisés Valdivia — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +23° · 292 ft Andrea Peavy — hr · EV 117 mph · LA +37° · 480 ft Omar Godín — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA +20° · 175 ft Karim Balotelli — single · EV 88 mph · LA -8° · 84 ft Dwight Waidner — fly_out · EV 117 mph · LA +12° · 214 ft Karim Balotelli — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +15° · 200 ft Prakash Granberry — line_out · EV 100 mph · LA +16° · 210 ft Dwight Waidner — hr · EV 114 mph · LA +34° · 480 ft Moisés Valdivia — fly_out · EV 73 mph · LA +45° · 215 ft
Guardians — Batted Balls
19 BIP· 9 1B · 2 XBH · 1 HR
315' 410' 349' Anthony Brymer — double · EV 108 mph · LA +16° · 251 ft Doug Bannatyne — single · EV 80 mph · LA -7° · 76 ft Jeyland Solórzano — fly_out · EV 88 mph · LA +35° · 294 ft Oren Hutson — ground_out · EV 64 mph · LA -18° · 61 ft Dick Feitshans — single · EV 84 mph · LA +14° · 129 ft José González — fly_out · EV 84 mph · LA +39° · 276 ft Oren Hutson — double_play · EV 68 mph · LA -3° · 64 ft Jeyland Solórzano — single · EV 84 mph · LA +18° · 167 ft Ramón Navarro — single · EV 78 mph · LA +21° · 162 ft Doug Bannatyne — single · EV 92 mph · LA +3° · 88 ft Kemari Granberry — ground_out · EV 83 mph · LA +15° · 139 ft Chet Batt — hr · EV 101 mph · LA +39° · 401 ft Eddie Velez — ground_out · EV 93 mph · LA +5° · 88 ft Doug Bannatyne — double · EV 103 mph · LA +14° · 196 ft Ramón Navarro — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +31° · 203 ft Lawson Ricard — single · EV 100 mph · LA +11° · 150 ft Oren Hutson — single · EV 94 mph · LA +4° · 89 ft Doug Bannatyne — single · EV 87 mph · LA +8° · 83 ft Ramón Navarro — single · EV 105 mph · LA +5° · 100 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Orcas
60% deserve-to-win  ·  12.2 expected runs
actual 11 runs  ·  -1.2 vs expected
contact: 21.6 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 19.0 (-2.6 on contact)
running: 4 SB · 0 CS (+1.9 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Prakash Granberry 100 / +22° Oppo Triple 1.4 → 3 +1.58
Louis Badger 118 / +15° Pull Out 1.6 → 0 -1.56
Dwight Waidner 117 / +12° Center Out 1.6 → 0 -1.56
Moisés Valdivia 100 / +23° Pull Out 1.4 → 0 -1.42
Karim Balotelli 117 / +21° Pull Triple 1.7 → 3 +1.29
Guardians
40% deserve-to-win  ·  9.9 expected runs
actual 7 runs  ·  -2.9 vs expected
contact: 13.1 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 17.0 (+3.9 on contact)
running: 4 SB · 0 CS (+1.9 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Chet Batt 101 / +39° Pull Home Run 2.0 → 4 +2.05
Jeyland Solórzano 88 / +35° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.92
Doug Bannatyne 103 / +14° Oppo Double 1.2 → 2 +0.75
Doug Bannatyne 80 / -7° Oppo Single 0.3 → 1 +0.66
Kemari Granberry 83 / +15° Oppo Out 0.6 → 0 -0.59
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